Impact of census on registration kgosietsile tshoke
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Impact of Census on Registration Kgosietsile Tshoke. June 2013. Registration changes vs Elections. Access to registration venues increased by 40%; Registration technology now used for other purposes as well in the electoral cycle!!!!!. What’s in the Numbers?. Gender Breakdown.

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Impact of Census on Registration Kgosietsile Tshoke

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Impact of census on registration kgosietsile tshoke

Impact of Census on Registration Kgosietsile Tshoke

June 2013

1


Registration changes vs elections

Registration changes vs Elections

  • Access to registration venues increased by 40%;

  • Registration technology now used for other purposes as well in the electoral cycle!!!!!

2


What s in the numbers

What’s in the Numbers?

3


Gender breakdown

Gender Breakdown

4


Breakdown by age groups

Breakdown by Age Groups

5


This is what the data tells us

This is what the data tells us!

  • There is an increased number of registered voters with every election for almost every age except for youth;

  • Growth in the number of registrations has not been uniform over the spectrum of age bands and has, in fact dropped significantly in the 20-24 year age band leading to a 6% decline in youth registration (18-29 years);

  • There is a relative decline in the number of young voters (below ±25 years) with every ensuing election;

  • There is also a gender base to the non-participation of youth to register as voters – there generally being a larger decline in the participation of males; and

  • There is an evident ‘aging’ of the voters roll.

6


Gender analysis new registrations

Gender Analysis: New Registrations

7


Vr analysis by year of registration

VR: Analysis by Year of Registration

Note:

1999, 2000, 2004,2006, 2009, 2011 indicate the year of first registration for verified voters,

Other included categories such as Deleted from Population Register, Non South African Citizen, Not on Population Register, Received after registration cut-off date, Still Under Age

8


Stability of voters on the vr

Stability of Voters on the VR

9


Year of registration vs stability analysis

Year of Registration vs. Stability: Analysis

  • 15.5 million of the 18.1 million voters registered in 1999 are still on the voters roll;

  • 9.9 million of them still live in the same voting district;

  • Continuous registration campaigns, including campaigns for by-elections, do not result in a sufficient number of new registrations;

  • Outside of general registration periods, it is possible to have a negative net growth on the VR; and

  • We get value for money opening registration stations for VR inspections, new registrations and re-registrations when there is an election in sight!

10


New additional vds

NEW/ADDITIONAL VDs

11


Impact of census on registration kgosietsile tshoke

Voter participation by Gender

12


Impact of census on registration kgosietsile tshoke

Voter participation by Age

13


Impact of census on registration kgosietsile tshoke

Registration Gap Analysis:

South Africa

14


Impact of census on registration kgosietsile tshoke

Registration Gap Analysis: Limpopo

15


Impact of census on registration kgosietsile tshoke

16


Impact of census on registration kgosietsile tshoke

  • Thank You

17


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