1 / 8

TFEIP projections expert panel

TFEIP projections expert panel. 5 th Meeting Vienna 12 th May 2009. Projections expert panel meeting agenda. 09:40 Welcome, meeting objectives and adoption of agenda 09:50 Update on the NECD and Gothenburg Protocol (Eduard Dame) 10:10 Ireland projections presentation (Stephan Leinert)

lise
Download Presentation

TFEIP projections expert panel

An Image/Link below is provided (as is) to download presentation Download Policy: Content on the Website is provided to you AS IS for your information and personal use and may not be sold / licensed / shared on other websites without getting consent from its author. Content is provided to you AS IS for your information and personal use only. Download presentation by click this link. While downloading, if for some reason you are not able to download a presentation, the publisher may have deleted the file from their server. During download, if you can't get a presentation, the file might be deleted by the publisher.

E N D

Presentation Transcript


  1. TFEIP projections expert panel 5th Meeting Vienna 12th May 2009

  2. Projections expert panel meeting agenda • 09:40 Welcome, meeting objectives and adoption of agenda • 09:50 Update on the NECD and Gothenburg Protocol (Eduard Dame) • 10:10 Ireland projections presentation (Stephan Leinert) • 10:35 Slovak projections presentation (Stanislava Nebusova) • 11:00 Coffee • 11:30 Feedback on recent meetings • 12:00 Guidebook maintenance discussion • 12:20 Discussion (including providing projections data, the web portal, 2009 workplan and AOB) • 12:30 Meeting finishes

  3. Update on the NECD and Gothenburg Protocol (Eduard Dame) • Revision NEC Directive will not be proposed by current College of Commissioners • WGSR 20 – 23 April 2009 invited relevant TF’s and EP’s to continue working on the issue of long term objectives • Revision of Gothenburg Protocol (countries sending baselines to CIAM before end May) • Work for PRIMES 2009 is ongoing and it can be used for NECD revision and for Gothenburg Protocol (gap filling in national projections or replace national projections for EU-27)

  4. Emission projections for NEC Gases –Ireland’s approach (Stephan Leinert) • Advantages: • Consistency with inventories/historic data • Consistency with national energy forecast • Consistency with GHG projections • Disadvantages: • Requires detailed activity data statistics (e.g. agriculture) • Transport projection is not straight forward • Fuel tourism causes conflict between consistency with energy forecast for fuel and realistic car population/mileage • Energy forecast currently at aggregated level (no breakdown within fuel types yet)

  5. Slovak emission projections related to NEC Directive (Stanislava Nebusová) • Summary: • National emission ceiling for year 2010 are feasible to achieve • Proposed national emission ceiling for year 2020 is not easily to fulfil without additional PAMs • Model MESSAGE is very good model for projections in energy sector • Next steps: • Implement other models for non energy sectors • Transport • Agriculture • LULUCF • Waste

  6. Feedback from other meetings NIAM/APRIL/UCL meeting. ‘Reducing the environmental impacts of transport with behavioural change’ 8-9 January 2009, London www.niam.scarp.se TFIAM/ACCENT workshop on non-binding aspirational scenarios for 2050. 5-6th March 2009, Utrecht http://iiasa.ac.at/rains/meetings/Aspiration2050/Presentations.html NIAM Meeting (in conjunction with EC4MACS project) 23-24 April 2009, IIASA www.niam.scarp.se

  7. Guidebook discussion Few minor issues were discussed: • 1. Definitions • 2. Cost-effectiveness • 3. Role of uncertainties and sensitivities

  8. AOB items • Workplan for 2009 • Finalise Guidebook Chapter • Decide maintenance/improvement plan • Improve Web Page • Links to other panels (TFIAM, NIAM, etc.) • Decide one aspect per year to focus on (discuss, share documentation, work on it…)

More Related