Panel discussion on corporate volunteerism closing plenary june 25 2003
This presentation is the property of its rightful owner.
Sponsored Links
1 / 17

Panel Discussion on Corporate Volunteerism Closing Plenary, June 25, 2003 PowerPoint PPT Presentation


  • 33 Views
  • Uploaded on
  • Presentation posted in: General

Panel Discussion on Corporate Volunteerism Closing Plenary, June 25, 2003. 2009 Summer AMS Community Meeting Aug 10-13 th , 2009. Picture. Nick Keener, CCM Director, Meteorology. Picture. DUKE ENERGY is one of the largest electric power companies in the US.

Download Presentation

Panel Discussion on Corporate Volunteerism Closing Plenary, June 25, 2003

An Image/Link below is provided (as is) to download presentation

Download Policy: Content on the Website is provided to you AS IS for your information and personal use and may not be sold / licensed / shared on other websites without getting consent from its author.While downloading, if for some reason you are not able to download a presentation, the publisher may have deleted the file from their server.


- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - E N D - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

Presentation Transcript


Panel discussion on corporate volunteerism closing plenary june 25 2003

Panel Discussion on Corporate

Volunteerism

Closing Plenary, June 25, 2003

2009 Summer AMS Community Meeting

Aug 10-13th, 2009

Picture

Nick Keener, CCM

Director, Meteorology

Picture


Duke energy is one of the largest electric power companies in the us

DUKE ENERGY is one of the largest electric power companies in the US.

  • Serves customers in 5 states: North and South Carolina, Indiana, Ohio and Kentucky.

  • 3.9 million retail electric customers

  • 500,000 retail gas customers

  • 47,000 square miles of Service Area

  • ~ 37,000 MW Generation in the US and 4,000 MW of Generation in Latin America


Duke energy north america power generation facilities

Duke Energy North America Power Generation Facilities


Panel discussion on corporate volunteerism closing plenary june 25 2003

Weather Forecasts, Mesoscale Observations and Climate information are used to make daily operational decisions in the following areas:

  • Load Forecasting that supports daily generation portfolio optimization

  • Optimization of Hydro Electric Resources

  • Hourly pricing

  • Weather Risk Analysis for load obligation

  • Monthly and seasonal forecasts for fuel inventories

  • Seasonal Forecasts for revenue projections

  • Support energy trading and marketing activities in both the regulated and non-regulated generation

  • Support Emergency Management for Storm Response


Load forecasting that supports daily generation portfolio optimization

Load Forecasting that supports daily generation portfolio optimization

  • Hourly forecasts of temperatures, dew points, wind speed and cloud cover for input into load forecast models

  • Real-time surface observations

  • Precipitation projections

  • Forecasts developed from NCEP models, MOS, and local forecast methods developed internally


Optimization of hydro electric resources

Optimization of Hydro Electric Resources

  • Twice daily QPF forecasts that are input into our Hydro Management System (1-3 days)

  • Medium range QPF projections for lake/river management (4 to 7 days)

  • Real-time QPE for inflow estimates

  • Seasonal forecasts for longer range planning and resource availability


Weather risk analysis for load obligation

Weather Risk Analysis for load obligation

  • Daily Weather forecast Scenario development to capture uncertainty and project a range of possible loads out to 3 days

  • Forecasts of convection, timing and coverage for possible load shedding

  • Temperature/wind forecasts for transmission line ratings and lake/river temperature thermal restrictions


Monthly and seasonal forecasts for fuel inventories

Monthly and seasonal forecasts for fuel inventories

  • Monthly/seasonal outlooks for temperature and precipitation are used for predicting coal inventories, gas storage numbers, and hydro availability

  • Seasonal forecasts of HDD and CDD are used to estimate revenue projections


Support trading and marketing of energy

Support trading and marketing of energy

  • Short and medium range forecasts are used for asset management (Day 1 through 5)

  • Daily market analysis based on region and national weather forecast.

  • Full suite of forecast projections for 35 cites in the 1 – 15 day range


Support emergency management for storm response

Support Emergency Management for Storm Response


Weather forecasts are utilized for resource scheduling in pre storm planning for utility operations

Weather Forecasts are utilized for resource scheduling in pre-storm planning for utility operations


Future weather forecast needs

Future weather forecast needs?

  • Implementation of a proposed National Digital Guidance Database (NDGD) which would provide probabilistic forecast information.

  • Improving Ensemble forecasts for both short and long range models and make them available through NOAA Port.

  • Improve the Ensemble MOS product past day 3 by removing climatology as a predictor.

  • Implement an Ensemble QPF forecast


Real time surface observations are used for the following operational decisions

Real-time surface observations are used for the following operational decisions:

  • System load management

  • System load modeling

  • Resource decisions related to on-going severe weather events

  • Inflow calculations for hydroelectric operations

  • Emergency response decisions related to non-routine releases


Future mesonet needs

Future Mesonet Needs?

  • Increased spatial resolution of surface observations

  • Real-time SFC data available from a national network via NOAA Port every 15 minutes

  • Atmospheric boundary layer measurements using remote sensing systems for characterizing the PBL in real-time.


Recommendations under the human dimension basc report

Recommendations under the Human Dimension – BASC Report

  • The stakeholders should commission an independent team of social and physical scientists to conduct end-user assessment for selected sectors. The assessment…………………added societal impact and value.

  • Themes –

  • Weather prediction and climate modeling

  • Support new applications in physical, dynamical, and chemical processes in expanding the user base

  • Integrated feedback mechanisms


Main driver in the energy sector

Main driver in the energy sector

  • Technology?


Panel discussion on corporate volunteerism closing plenary june 25 2003

Q&A


  • Login