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Importance of Tennessee Agriculture

Importance of Tennessee Agriculture. Daryll E. Ray University of Tennessee Agricultural Policy Analysis Center. 2010 Tennessee Farmland Legacy Conference Pigeon Forge, TN November 11, 2010. Here Is What We Are Going To Do. Changes in population, per capita income and other characteristics

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Importance of Tennessee Agriculture

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  1. Importance ofTennessee Agriculture Daryll E. Ray University of Tennessee Agricultural Policy Analysis Center 2010 Tennessee Farmland Legacy Conference Pigeon Forge, TN November 11, 2010

  2. Here Is What We Are Going To Do • Changes in population, per capita income and other characteristics • Relative importance of TN Ag and Forestry • Changes in level and sources of Ag income • Changes in farm numbers and land in farms • Areas in TN with high quality farmland and its relative rate of development • How does TN Ag land conversion compare with other states? • Time lapse of Davidson County development

  3. Metro and Nonmetro Counties

  4. Population Growth 2000-2009 Tennessee’s Population grew 10.7% between 2000 and 2009 to 6.3 million (US Population grew 9.1% to 307 million) Source: US Census Bureau

  5. 2008 Poverty Rate Tennessee had a 15.5% poverty rate in 2008 Source: US Census Bureau

  6. Retirement Destination Counties 7 Metro 11 NonMetro “Number of residents 60 and older grew by 15 percent or more between 1990 and 2000 due to in-migration” (ERS, USDA)

  7. Per Capita Income in the U.S. and Tennessee, 1969-2004 (In 2004 Dollars) Map prepared by Rural Policy Institute (RUPRI)

  8. Per Capita Income in Metro and Nonmetro Counties, 1969-2004(In 2004 Dollars) Map Prepared by RUPRI

  9. Direct Economic Activity 8.9% Statewide Percentage of Economic Activity (Value of Production) from Direct Agriculture and Forestry, 2006 Source: Data and map from Menard et al. March 2009, UT Dept of Ag. Econ.

  10. Total Economic Activity 16.2% Statewide Percentage of Total Economic Activity (direct and secondary) from Total Agriculture and Forestry, 2006 Source: Data and map from Menard et al. March 2009, UT Dept of Ag. Econ.

  11. Crop and Livestock Shares of Cash Receipts Crops 48.6% Crops 60.0% Livestock 51.4% Livestock 40.0% Between 2000 and 2009 Total of Crop and Livestock Cash Receipts increased from $1.9 to $2.8 billion or 47% 2009 Crops $1.704 Bil. Livestock $1.137 Bil. 2000 Crops $0.936 Bil. Livestock $0.991 Bil. Source: USDA ERS

  12. Percentage of Cash Receipts All Livestock 40.0% All Livestock 51.4% All Crops 60.0% All Crops 48.6% Other Crops 8.7% Other Crops 8.4% Cattle & Calves 14.9% Tobacco 3.8% Cattle & Calves 21.6% Tobacco 10.4% Wheat 3.7% Wheat 2.5% Corn 8.8% Broilers 15.6% Corn 5.7% Broilers 11.9% Cotton 5.1% Cotton 4.2% Dairy 4.5% Soybeans 19.9% Soybeans 6.4% Other Livestock 5.0% Dairy 10.0% Other Livestock 7.9% Nursery 10.3% Nursery 10.6% 2000 2009 Source: USDA ERS

  13. Tennessee Net Farm Income Net Farm Income Million Dollars Net Farm Income Less Government Payments Source: USDA ERS

  14. Percentage Change in Number of Farms Percentage Change between 2002 to 2007 Tennessee’s number of farms declined 10.5% between 2002 and 2007 to 79 thousand farms Source: US Agricultural Census

  15. Percentage Change in Land in Farms Percentage Change between 2002 to 2007 Tennessee’s land in farms declined by 6.5% between 2000 and 2009 to 11 million acres Source: US Agricultural Census

  16. Percentage Change in Land in Farms Percentage Change between 2002 to 2007 Source: US Agricultural Census

  17. High-Quality Farmland & Development Areas Source: American Farmland Trust Using Data from USDA Natural Resources Inventory, 2006

  18. Where Does TN Rank?Acres of Ag Land Converted2002 to 2007 • Texas ( 658,700 acres) • Florida (322,800 acres) • California (312,400 acres) • Arizona (250,300 acres) • Colorado (139,000 acres) • Tennessee (125,600 acres) North Carolina (10th); Georgia (13th)

  19. Where Does TN Rank?Percent of Ag Land Converted2002 to 2007 • Rhode Island ( 7.19%) • Delaware (3.51%) • Florida (3.28%) • New Jersey (2.79%) • Maryland (1.91%) 10. Tennessee (1.31%) North Carolina (9th); Georgia (10th)

  20. Davidson County Development Through Time Source: Summary Data and Map courtesy of Cho Seong-Hoon, UT Dept. of Agr.

  21. Davidson County Development Through Time Source: Summary Data and Map courtesy of Cho Seong-Hoon, UT Dept. of Agr.

  22. Davidson County Development Through Time Source: Summary Data and Map courtesy of Cho Seong-Hoon, UT Dept. of Agr.

  23. Davidson County Development Through Time Source: Summary Data and Map courtesy of Cho Seong-Hoon, UT Dept. of Agr.

  24. Davidson County Development Through Time Source: Summary Data and Map courtesy of Cho Seong-Hoon, UT Dept. of Agr.

  25. Thank You

  26. Weekly Policy Column To receive an electronic version of our weekly ag policy column send an email to: dray@utk.edu requesting to be added to APAC’s Policy Pennings listserv

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