Future landscapes
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FUTURE LANDSCAPES. The effects of changing demographics. Background. Our region is changing. Demographic facts: Rapid growth of the older population Increasing immigration Flexible, creative policies are the response to this increasing diversity “ Change is the only constant ”

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FUTURE LANDSCAPES

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Future landscapes

FUTURE LANDSCAPES

The effects of changing demographics


Background

Background


Our region is changing

Our region is changing

  • Demographic facts:

    • Rapid growth of the older population

    • Increasing immigration

  • Flexible, creative policies are the response to this increasing diversity

    • “Change is the only constant”

  • Maintaining an innovative, competitive workforce will be the key to a thriving, prosperous region


Are you a baby boomer

Are you a baby boomer?


Baby boomer quiz true or false

Baby boomer quiz: True or false?

  • The majority of boomers plan to work in some capacity during their retirement years

  • The top two boomer concerns about retirement are “being lonely” and “not being able to drive”


Future landscapes

1980

2040

2030

1970

1990

2000

2010

2020

1960

>

>

>

>

>

>

>

>

Aging of the U.S. baby boomer generation

1950

>

Source: US Census Bureau


Future landscapes

Growth of the “very old” (85+) population is particularly dramatic

0.4%

1.5%

3.9%

1950

2000

2040

Source: US Census Bureau


Future landscapes

Local growth of the age 60+ population 2004 - 2009

Broomfield

41%

Boulder

County

24%

Denver

10%

Gilpin

County

46%

Adams County

19%

Jefferson

County

18%

Clear Creek

County

40%

Arapahoe County

26%

Douglas

County

60%


Future landscapes

Most boomers say they want to “age in community” . . .

but communities are not generally set up for successful aging


Future landscapes

Even today, we are not meeting the needs of our region’s seniors

Percent of the older population facing problems


Future landscapes

A huge gap exists between needs and funding for aging services

Current and projected costs to meet identified needs

($ millions)

2006 funding level: $8 million


Our region s seniors are not getting their fair share of funding

Our region’s seniors are not getting their fair share of funding

  • Our region has 52% of the state’s population over 60, but receives only 47% of the funding

  • DRCOG is the only region in the state with long-term waiting lists for services

  • $3.2 million needed annually just to clear the current waiting list for services:

    • Home-delivered meals

    • In-home services

      • Household assistance

      • Personal care


As the u s born population ages immigration brings new families with new needs

As the U.S.-born population ages, immigration brings new families with new needs


U s foreign born population

U.S. foreign-born population

  • Increasing since 1970s

    • Back to levels typical of early 20th century

  • Substantially different

    • Past migrants – Europe

    • Today’s migrants – Latin America, Asia

      • More diverse ethnically, racially, culturally, linguistically

  • As boomers retire, immigrants will account for increasing share of the workforce


Most of our region s immigrants are from latin america

Most of our region’s immigrants are from Latin America

Percent of the Denver region’s immigrant population

by place of birth


Net population change in denver metro area by race and hispanic or latino origin 2000 2005

Net population change in Denver metro area by race and Hispanic or Latino origin, 2000-2005


Latin american immigrants are more likely to live in poverty and suffer from disabilities

Latin-American immigrants are more likely to live in poverty and suffer from disabilities

Source: US Census Bureau


Latin american immigrants have less access to vehicles and are more likely to take transit

Latin-American immigrants have less access to vehicles and are more likely to take transit

Source: US Census Bureau


Latin american immigrants are less likely to attend college or speak english fluently

Latin-American immigrants are less likely to attend college or speak English fluently


Latin american immigrants are more likely to live in households with children

Latin-American immigrants are more likely to live in households with children

Source: US Census Bureau


Latin american immigrants are more likely to rent homes and live in multifamily housing

Latin-American immigrants are more likely to rent homes and live in multifamily housing

Source: US Census Bureau


Latin american immigrants tend to live in larger households

Latin-American immigrants tend to live in larger households

Source: US Census Bureau


Policy implications

Policy implications


Flexible creative public policy

Flexible, creative public policy

  • Policies supporting a diversity of options

    • Housing

    • Transportation

    • Human services

  • Policies that support a united regional economy

    • Globally competitive


Diverse housing options

Diverse housing options

  • “Livable Communities”

    • Affordable

    • Multifamily

    • Assisted-living senior housing

    • Family-friendly housing

    • Located near transit

  • Communities that enable all to be active, independent, productive members of society


Diverse transportation options

Diverse transportation options

  • Transit

  • Specialized transportation for elderly, people with disabilities

  • Pedestrian and bicycle facilities

  • Safe lighting, street design

  • Connectivity


Diverse human services

Diverse human services

  • Senior centers

  • Workforce training

  • Day care

  • Bi-lingual education

  • Dispersed into immigrant neighborhoods and accessible by transit


Maintaining a competitive workforce

Maintaining a competitive workforce

  • Able to retain the knowledge of the boomer generation

  • Able to compete for skilled labor in a shrinking pool

    • “Place” matters

  • Able to support local businesses to be competitive in a global marketplace


Maintaining a competitive region

Maintaining a competitive region

  • Able to retain our region’s unique sense of “place” and quality of life

    • Key to attracting/retaining skilled workers


Action items

Action items


Early action items

Early action items

  • Advocate at federal, state and local levels for needed resources

    • Meet with representatives

    • Testify at hearings

    • Meet with editorial boards, other members of the press


Early action items1

Early action items

  • Complete and disseminate livable communities development guidelines

    • Strengthen Metro Vision policies

    • Help local governments incorporate into comprehensive plans


Early action items2

Early action items

  • Adopt and distribute findings of DRCOG’s EPA-funded smart growth and aging study

    • Barriers to senior-friendly development

    • Case studies senior-friendly land-use codes

  • Seek funding for similar study of immigrant needs


Early action items3

Early action items

  • Formulate a comprehensive outreach program

    • Raise awareness of demographic changes and implications

    • Work with other non-profits to engage seniors and immigrant community in Metro Vision process


Longer term efforts

Longer-term efforts

  • Work to secure long-term funding for aging services commensurate with needs

  • Track and highlight best practices within and outside the region

  • Research issues related to attracting and developing a competitive workforce


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