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FUTURE LANDSCAPES. The effects of changing demographics. Background. Our region is changing. Demographic facts: Rapid growth of the older population Increasing immigration Flexible, creative policies are the response to this increasing diversity “ Change is the only constant ”

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Future landscapes

FUTURE LANDSCAPES

The effects of changing demographics



Our region is changing
Our region is changing

  • Demographic facts:

    • Rapid growth of the older population

    • Increasing immigration

  • Flexible, creative policies are the response to this increasing diversity

    • “Change is the only constant”

  • Maintaining an innovative, competitive workforce will be the key to a thriving, prosperous region



Baby boomer quiz true or false
Baby boomer quiz: True or false?

  • The majority of boomers plan to work in some capacity during their retirement years

  • The top two boomer concerns about retirement are “being lonely” and “not being able to drive”


1980

2040

2030

1970

1990

2000

2010

2020

1960

>

>

>

>

>

>

>

>

Aging of the U.S. baby boomer generation

1950

>

Source: US Census Bureau


Growth of the “very old” (85+) population is particularly dramatic

0.4%

1.5%

3.9%

1950

2000

2040

Source: US Census Bureau


Local growth of the age 60+ population 2004 - 2009 particularly dramatic

Broomfield

41%

Boulder

County

24%

Denver

10%

Gilpin

County

46%

Adams County

19%

Jefferson

County

18%

Clear Creek

County

40%

Arapahoe County

26%

Douglas

County

60%


Most boomers say they want to “age in community” . . . particularly dramatic

but communities are not generally set up for successful aging


Even today, we are not meeting the needs of our region’s seniors

Percent of the older population facing problems


A huge gap exists between needs and funding for aging services

Current and projected costs to meet identified needs

($ millions)

2006 funding level: $8 million


Our region s seniors are not getting their fair share of funding
Our region’s seniors are not getting their fair share of funding

  • Our region has 52% of the state’s population over 60, but receives only 47% of the funding

  • DRCOG is the only region in the state with long-term waiting lists for services

  • $3.2 million needed annually just to clear the current waiting list for services:

    • Home-delivered meals

    • In-home services

      • Household assistance

      • Personal care



U s foreign born population
U.S. foreign-born population families with new needs

  • Increasing since 1970s

    • Back to levels typical of early 20th century

  • Substantially different

    • Past migrants – Europe

    • Today’s migrants – Latin America, Asia

      • More diverse ethnically, racially, culturally, linguistically

  • As boomers retire, immigrants will account for increasing share of the workforce


Most of our region s immigrants are from latin america
Most of our region’s immigrants are from Latin America families with new needs

Percent of the Denver region’s immigrant population

by place of birth


Net population change in denver metro area by race and hispanic or latino origin 2000 2005
Net population change in Denver metro area by race and Hispanic or Latino origin, 2000-2005


Latin american immigrants are more likely to live in poverty and suffer from disabilities
Latin-American immigrants are more likely to live in poverty and suffer from disabilities

Source: US Census Bureau


Latin american immigrants have less access to vehicles and are more likely to take transit
Latin-American immigrants have less access to vehicles and are more likely to take transit

Source: US Census Bureau



Latin american immigrants are more likely to live in households with children
Latin-American immigrants are more likely to live in households with children

Source: US Census Bureau


Latin american immigrants are more likely to rent homes and live in multifamily housing
Latin-American immigrants are more likely to rent homes and live in multifamily housing

Source: US Census Bureau


Latin american immigrants tend to live in larger households
Latin-American immigrants tend to live in larger households live in multifamily housing

Source: US Census Bureau


Policy implications
Policy implications live in multifamily housing


Flexible creative public policy
Flexible, creative public policy live in multifamily housing

  • Policies supporting a diversity of options

    • Housing

    • Transportation

    • Human services

  • Policies that support a united regional economy

    • Globally competitive


Diverse housing options
Diverse housing options live in multifamily housing

  • “Livable Communities”

    • Affordable

    • Multifamily

    • Assisted-living senior housing

    • Family-friendly housing

    • Located near transit

  • Communities that enable all to be active, independent, productive members of society


Diverse transportation options
Diverse transportation options live in multifamily housing

  • Transit

  • Specialized transportation for elderly, people with disabilities

  • Pedestrian and bicycle facilities

  • Safe lighting, street design

  • Connectivity


Diverse human services
Diverse human services live in multifamily housing

  • Senior centers

  • Workforce training

  • Day care

  • Bi-lingual education

  • Dispersed into immigrant neighborhoods and accessible by transit


Maintaining a competitive workforce
Maintaining a competitive workforce live in multifamily housing

  • Able to retain the knowledge of the boomer generation

  • Able to compete for skilled labor in a shrinking pool

    • “Place” matters

  • Able to support local businesses to be competitive in a global marketplace


Maintaining a competitive region
Maintaining a competitive region live in multifamily housing

  • Able to retain our region’s unique sense of “place” and quality of life

    • Key to attracting/retaining skilled workers


Action items
Action items live in multifamily housing


Early action items
Early action items live in multifamily housing

  • Advocate at federal, state and local levels for needed resources

    • Meet with representatives

    • Testify at hearings

    • Meet with editorial boards, other members of the press


Early action items1
Early action items live in multifamily housing

  • Complete and disseminate livable communities development guidelines

    • Strengthen Metro Vision policies

    • Help local governments incorporate into comprehensive plans


Early action items2
Early action items live in multifamily housing

  • Adopt and distribute findings of DRCOG’s EPA-funded smart growth and aging study

    • Barriers to senior-friendly development

    • Case studies senior-friendly land-use codes

  • Seek funding for similar study of immigrant needs


Early action items3
Early action items live in multifamily housing

  • Formulate a comprehensive outreach program

    • Raise awareness of demographic changes and implications

    • Work with other non-profits to engage seniors and immigrant community in Metro Vision process


Longer term efforts
Longer-term efforts live in multifamily housing

  • Work to secure long-term funding for aging services commensurate with needs

  • Track and highlight best practices within and outside the region

  • Research issues related to attracting and developing a competitive workforce


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