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SEC Reporting “An Audience Perspective”

SEC Reporting “An Audience Perspective”. Dave Mossberg Beacon Street Group, LLC Strategic Investor Relations (817) 459-2346. Who is your audience? Buyside Research Sellside Research Independent Research Individual Investors How are their roles changing?

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SEC Reporting “An Audience Perspective”

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  1. SEC Reporting “An Audience Perspective” Dave Mossberg Beacon Street Group, LLC Strategic Investor Relations (817) 459-2346 Beacon Street Group, LLC

  2. Who is your audience? • Buyside Research • Sellside Research • Independent Research • Individual Investors • How are their roles changing? • How should companies react to these changes? Beacon Street Group, LLC

  3. Communications Channels Company Investors Sellside Broker/Dealer Buyside Institutions Independent Research Company Financial Press Retail Investors Direct A Picture of the Capital Markets Beacon Street Group, LLC

  4. Who are Buyside Analysts • Work for mutual funds, money managers, pension plans, or other institutional Investors. • “Inch deep and a mile wide” - Cover 40 to 50 stocks. • Generalists • Mosaic Theory – Information from multiple places helps paint a complete picture Beacon Street Group, LLC

  5. A Day in the Life of a Buyside Analyst 7:30 to 8:00 Morning meeting to discuss changes in portfolio 8:00 to 5:00 Company meetings and Investment research Travel up to 1 week out of the month to visit companies and conferences More time spent researching and little or no time spent selling. Beacon Street Group, LLC

  6. Who are Sellside Analysts? • Work for broker dealers/ investment banks • Subject matter experts – focus on 10 to 15 companies. • Who are they? – Cross between an investment banker, broker and analyst. Beacon Street Group, LLC

  7. A Day in the Life of a Sellside Analyst 6:30 to 7:00 Morning meeting comment and publish first call note 7:00 to 12:00 Make calls to clients explaining note 12:00 to 4:00 Channel checks, client meetings, company meetings, company research, investment banking meetings. 4:00 to 8:00 Earnings conference calls, morning meeting preparation. Travel 2 to 3 weeks out of every month…trade shows, visiting companies and institutional investor clients. Beacon Street Group, LLC

  8. Sellside Process • Industry theme • Develop investment thesis • Provide sponsorship for companies • Publish ongoing estimates to help set the bar • Expands the companies reach in the investment community (investor conferences, road shows) • Provide incremental data flow to investors • Channel checks with customers, suppliers • Competitive intelligence • Surveys, Industry data analysis • More than likely have a bullish bias Beacon Street Group, LLC

  9. Who are the Independent Analysts? • Not as well defined as sellside and buyside analysts • Subject Matter experts and/or quantitatively driven • Individual Investor Focused • Cover large universe of stocks • Publish general overviews • Examples: Value Line, Morning Star • Institutional Investor Focused • More exclusive and expensive • Publish detailed value added research • Examples: Sanford Bernstein & Co. LLC, Prudential Beacon Street Group, LLC

  10. Side-by-side Comparison Beacon Street Group, LLC

  11. How are Things Changing? • Sellside decreasing in numbers and importance • Independent research gets more attention • Increasing demand for fundamental research • More demand for unbiased opinion on buy and sell decisions Beacon Street Group, LLC

  12. What Caused the Sellside to Loose its Importance? Investors' interests were compromised for greater investment banking revenues. • Research was a tool for selling investment banking services • The Chinese Wall – There was no wall • Merrill Lynch examples • SEC is fining the large Wall Street firms and is making new rules for research. • Tough for sell-side to justify their compensation Beacon Street Group, LLC

  13. What Caused the Sellside to Loose its Importance? Examples • July 2000 • In public - Merrill boasts Infospace is one of the best ways to play the wireless Internet. • In Private - Blodget cautions that Infospace has a "bad smell" about it. • Oct. 2000, • In public - Infospace has a rating of 1-1 (intermediate-term buy, long-term buy). • In private - Blodget refers to Infospace as "a piece of junk.” • Its stock is down 99% from its high. Beacon Street Group, LLC

  14. What Caused the Sellside to Loose its Importance? More Examples • Oct. 2000 • In public – Merrill had a 1-1 rating on the stock • In private - Merrill says Aether Systems could fall from $96.50 to $50 or $60. • The stock trades today for under $4. • June 2000 • In public - Merrill research had a rating of 2-1 (intermediate-term accumulate, long-term buy) on At Home. • In private - Research analyst Virginia Syer emails Henry Blodget… At Home is “such a piece of crap” Beacon Street Group, LLC

  15. More Scrutiny for Sell-Side Analysts • Analysts required to certify they actually believe what they put in the research reports and public statements • Analysts must sign statements they did not receive any compensation related to stock recommendations, research or comments they provide. • The firms must disclose analysts' ratings and price targets, to permit outside assessment of their accuracy. Beacon Street Group, LLC

  16. How the Sellside Looks at Coverage? • Generating commissions • Investment banking fees are no longer applicable Beacon Street Group, LLC

  17. Sellside Analysts are LeavingCan no longer justify their pay • During the bull market, many analysts received total compensation (including banking bonuses) topping $1 million • Salomon Smith Barney's former telecom analyst Jack Grubman received annual pay as high as $20 million Beacon Street Group, LLC

  18. Sellside Analysts are Leaving • According to First Call, the number of stock calls being issued fell 14% since early 2000. • 58% of the 3,800 NASDAQ companies are being covered by only one or no analysts. Source: NASDAQ Beacon Street Group, LLC

  19. Sellside Analysts are Leaving Less sponsorship for small companies • Research will focus on larger companies that are more suitable for the highest paying clients. % of professional investors who expect less sellside coverage Source: NASDAQ Beacon Street Group, LLC

  20. Independent Research Gets More Attention • $450 million of the $1.4 billion in penalties will go to fund independent research over the next five years. • They require Wall Street firms to provide independent research aimed at individuals. • Playing field leveled by Reg. FD. • Less biased research is being demanded Beacon Street Group, LLC

  21. What Investors Want Source: Institutional Investor Magazine Beacon Street Group, LLC

  22. Reg. FD Evens the Playing Field • Analysts can no longer receive preferential treatment by management • Prior to FD, the sellside analyst’s job was a lot easier. • Selected analysts could call up management and find out what's going on. • Fundamental research took a back seat and information seldom got challenged Beacon Street Group, LLC

  23. Reg. FD Evens the Playing Field • Now analysts have to do the fundamental research • Clients are demanding it • Preferential access to management is no longer available. • Focus on value-added research • Channel checks (suppliers, customers, competitors) • Industry knowledge • Information is being challenged. • Be prepared to answer the tougher questions. Beacon Street Group, LLC

  24. How Should Companies React to Changes? • Must have more direct contact with investors. • Fewer sellside analysts – According to Institutional Investor Magazine… while 68% of respondents to an annual survey expect to have less sell side research available to them, none of respondents indicated that they plan to reduce the level of in-house research staff. • Increase in fundamental research means sellside will no longer rubber stamp company messages. • Market the your stock; just like your products, nobody else is going to do it for you. • Expect more hard question, but don’t avoid them. • Don’t release new material info in an SEC filing. Beacon Street Group, LLC

  25. Don’t Avoid the Tough Questions Del Monte Case Study On Nov. 21 • BB&T analysts Heather Jones downgrades stock to "underweight" from "buy", citing litigation over the 1996 sale of Fresh Del Monte's predecessor company to IAT Group • Shares fall 20% that day Jan. 16, • BB&T contends the company's earnings are "very leveraged to the golden pineapple product" and that "significant price discounting" on premium pineapple was occurring in the U.S. Feb 11 • From an earnings conference call - CEO Mohammad Abu-Ghazaleh – "Let me tell you, Heather, one thing please, you are covering us without our will, and we would not like you to ask questions on this conference call.“ "We don't want you to ask questions. ... You can cover us the way you want, but you have not been covering us in any objective way, and we thank you for being on this call.“ • Stock falls 10% next week on 4x normal trading volume Beacon Street Group, LLC

  26. Don’t Release New Material Information in an SEC Filing GE Capital – • March 2003 - General Electric revealed in its annual report that its pension fund lost $5.25 billion in 2002. • Shares of General Electric fell 3% after the filing. • The first chance investors had to hear about the change in pension assumptions was thirty-seven pages into the 10K • "They could go further," said Brian Bruce, head of equities at PanAgora Asset Management ($12 billion in assets). "It's nice that they have put the information forward, but more upfront disclosure would be better." • Especially in this time of increased scrutiny, it is important not to put out new material information in an SEC filing Beacon Street Group, LLC

  27. Don’t Release New Material Information in an SEC Filing • Chico’s – • In 2001, disclosed a new methodology for same store sales calculation in a 10k. • Had not disclosed the methodology prior to the 10k filing • Even though the new methodology only had a slight affect on the same store sales metric, the disclosure method created the perception they were hiding something. • While the retailer was within the SEC filing rules, the company’s credibility is questioned Beacon Street Group, LLC

  28. Summary • Who is the Audience • How the audience is changing • How it is impacting you and your company • Cannot rely on Sellside to help tell the story. • Need to establish direct relationships with the buyside. • Be prepared to answer the tough questions. Beacon Street Group, LLC

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