Uncertainty in Lake Erie Residual Net Basin Supplies. Jacob Bruxer, M.A.Sc ., P.Eng . Environment Canada/International Upper Great Lakes Study Dr. Syed Moin, Ph.D., P.Eng . International Upper Great Lakes Study Dr. Yiping Guo , Ph.D., P.Eng . McMaster University. Presentation Overview.
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Uncertainty in Lake Erie Residual Net Basin Supplies
Jacob Bruxer, M.A.Sc., P.Eng.
Environment Canada/International Upper Great Lakes Study
Dr. Syed Moin, Ph.D., P.Eng.
International Upper Great Lakes Study
Dr. YipingGuo, Ph.D., P.Eng.
ON@BUF = NMOM + PSAB1&2 + PRM + DNYSBC - RN - DWR
model error, predictor variables
result from slope of lake
surface and imbalance in the
weighting given to
~= 0.6 to 1.6 cm,
depending on the month
BOM and EOM and
results of both surface
temp. datasets and all
three sets of temp.
and Monte Carlo methods
November (> than 100% in some cases)
final report to come