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Introduction

With the recent death of Osama Bin Laden, did the United States accomplish their mission in Afghanistan?. Introduction. Why research: this question Longest war in American History Current Political Issue Curious to See Students opinion Didn’t believe USA Today’s statistic

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Introduction

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  1. With the recent death of Osama Bin Laden, did the United States accomplish their mission in Afghanistan?

  2. Introduction • Why research: this question • Longest war in American History • Current Political Issue • Curious to See Students opinion • Didn’t believe USA Today’s statistic • Bin Laden’s death sparked the question • He was a main goal of U.S.

  3. Introduction • Mr. Porter’s class, Mr. Miller, Ms. Salazar, Forensic Science Class, Ms. Preztak’s Spanish Class • We planned on analyzing it by • Accomplishment of mission, Political party, gender, grade, and support of Obama’s reelection • Then, Choosing the most interesting parameters to analyze

  4. Summary of Experiment • Cluster sample • Sample size 71 • Population • Only Juniors and Seniors • Chose a survey, not an experiment • Biases • Based upon Class surveyed • Racial Prejudice • Chose Additional Questions based on what we thought would be interesting

  5. Analysis • Majority of every political party agree • Strangely, a greater % of Republicans believe mission accomplished than Democrats • Against Political Party Lines

  6. Analysis • 89% of Republicans surveyed along party lines • Only 70% of Democrats surveyed along party lines • Independent and Other were about split

  7. Analysis • Wide Gap in Seniors. Almost all believe Not Accomplished. 60% difference • Juniors have a narrow difference of only 12%. Almost exactly the same as USA Today’s statistic

  8. Analysis • Observed has a much greater difference between accomplished and not accomplished • Juniors and Seniors surveyed obviously not following USA Today’s Claim

  9. Hypothesis Test • Proportion Test • Ho P = .45 (claim) • Ha P .45 • a= .05 • Critical Values= +/- 1.96 • Test Statistic 4.539

  10. Hypothesis Test • Reject Ho • At the 5% level of significance, there is enough evidence to reject the claim • The large majority of MTHS juniors and seniors believe the U.S. goal in Afghanistan is not complete even though Bin Laden is dead. • USA Today’s claim is not true

  11. Conclusion • With the recent death of Osama Bin Laden, did the United States accomplish their mission in Afghanistan? • According to MTHS Juniors and Seniors, the U.S. has not accomplished its mission in Afghanistan • USA Today’s claim of 45% is False • No Outliers

  12. Potential Problems • Surveyed more seniors than juniors • Surveyed more girls than boys • Limitations • Sample size of 71 • Didn’t sample all juniors and seniors • Only sampled in MTHS not other schools • Other Schools could have provided interesting data • Next time, we could fix these

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