1 / 25

JOANNEUM RESEARCH Forschungsgesellschaft mbH

JOANNEUM RESEARCH Forschungsgesellschaft mbH. SEE Regional Dimension of CLIMATE CHANGE and the Role of Regional Scientific Cooperation Dr. Franz Prettenthaler, Bled, March 8 th 2008. Contents. JOANNEUM RESEARCH Climate Change Working Group Why is the Regional/Local Dimension so important?

lam
Download Presentation

JOANNEUM RESEARCH Forschungsgesellschaft mbH

An Image/Link below is provided (as is) to download presentation Download Policy: Content on the Website is provided to you AS IS for your information and personal use and may not be sold / licensed / shared on other websites without getting consent from its author. Content is provided to you AS IS for your information and personal use only. Download presentation by click this link. While downloading, if for some reason you are not able to download a presentation, the publisher may have deleted the file from their server. During download, if you can't get a presentation, the file might be deleted by the publisher.

E N D

Presentation Transcript

  1. JOANNEUM RESEARCH Forschungsgesellschaft mbH SEE Regional Dimension of CLIMATE CHANGE and the Role of Regional Scientific Cooperation Dr. Franz Prettenthaler, Bled, March 8th 2008

  2. Contents JOANNEUM RESEARCH Climate Change Working Group Why is the Regional/Local Dimension so important? Are the SEE Regions more vulnerable than others? Conclusions

  3. Climate Change Working Group Analysing Causes and Impacts Solutions – Advice for policymaking Support for implementation Technologies and industrial applications

  4. Analysing Causes and Impacts Rio Cachoeira, Brazil) Rio Cachoeira: Hydrological impact of climate change: decreasing water resources Long term trends of annual rainfall, grass reference evapotranspiration and runoff Trend of season rainfall January - March total 1976-1999 in Latin America(from B. LIEBMANN et al., 2003)

  5. Analysing Causes and Impacts • Forest monitoring (1) Satellite Classification Visual Interpretation

  6. International Flood Forecasting Centre for River Mur catchment

  7. Climate Change Working Group Analysing Causes and Impacts Solutions – Advice for policymaking Support for implementation Technologies and industrial applications

  8. Solutions – Advice for policymaking (mitigation)

  9. Solutions – Advice for policymaking (mitigation)

  10. Solutions – Support for implementation Afforestation modelling, GORCAM - GHG inventories and balances - C-Modelling and Decision Support Tools • Climate-relevant studies for agriculture and forestry (e.g. forest loss in developing countries, reforestation, emission reduction through bioenergy and wood products) • Projects: CarboEurope IP, CarboInvent, Multisees,ACISA, ENFA, ACBM • Workshops in Graz, May 2005 • Land-use Related Choices under the Kyoto Protocol • Options for Including LULUCF Activities in a Post-2012 Agreement http://www.joanneum.at/carboinvent/ Modelling of the „Albedo Effect“

  11. Solutions – Technologies and industrial applications • Integration of renewable energy • Heat recovery • Improvement of energy efficiency (technology optimisation) • Renewable energy input Cooling system • Projects: IEE EINSTEIN : • Fast assessment tool for energy efficiency and renewable energy • company energy audits Destillation Evaporation Heating system

  12. Contents JOANNEUM RESEARCH Climate Change Working Group Why is the Regional/Local Dimension so important? Are the SEE Regions more vulnerable than others? Conclusions

  13. EXPOSURE SENSITIVITY ADAPTIVE CAPACITY • Relative Height (sea level) • Precipitation regime • Employment concentration in the tourism sector • Invested capital (proxy: Hotels, conveying capacity) • Economic diversity (HH-Index) • Economic strength (equity capital ratio) • Risk transfer mech. • Technical adaptation options • Alternative tourist attractions Why is the Regional/Local Dimension so important? ECONOMIC VULNERABILITY of Tourism to missing snow cover

  14. Why is the Regional/Local Dimension so important? 2.375 Austrian communities Cluster Analysis

  15. Why is the Regional/Local Dimension so important?

  16. Contents JOANNEUM RESEARCH Climate Change Working Group Why is the Regional/Local Dimension so important? Are the SEE Regions more vulnerable than others? Conclusions

  17. CLimate ChAnge and Variability:Impact on Central and Eastern EuRope CLAVIER Coordination: Daniela Jacob, Max-Planck-Institute for Meteorology, GermanyWP4 (Economic Impacts):Lead: Joanneum Research

  18. Budapest Frequency distribution of the daily maximum wind gust Periods: 1971–1980 and 1991–2000. Location: Budapest Increase of the heavy and stormy wind gust Daily maximum wind gust

  19. Temperature changes (A1B), 2050 (ECHAM5/MPI-OM driving REMO) ºC Winter Spring Autumn Summer

  20. Precipitation changes (A1B), 2050 Winter Spring % Summer Autumn

  21. Selected case studies for economic investigations on: • public sector (natural catastrophes, risk transfer, national level) • agriculture (BUL: Severoiztochen, RO: Nord Vest,) • energy (BUL: Vratsa (Kozloduj), Pleven (Belene), HU:Gyor-Moson-Sopron, RO: Arges (Vidraru)) • tourism (BUL: Blagoevgrad (winter), HU: Vezprem (summer), RO: Prahova/Braşov (winter), Constanţa (summer))

  22. The CLAVIER-Region

  23. Conclusions • The regional/local scale is the key to serious economic impact studies • Some SEEC are particularly vulnerable because of • Heat • Drought • High Share of Agriculture • Missing Adaptive Capacities • More research to come up with optimal sectoral/regional adaptation policies • We should do it…together!

  24. Partners in Slovenia on CC Research • Jožef Stefan Institute • University of Ljubljana, Faculty of Electrical Engineering (FE), Institute of Geology, Biotechnical faculty • PEDAGOŠKA FAKULTETA MARIBOR   • University of Maribor, Institut za Geologijo Geotehniko in Geofizika, Faculty of Chemistry and Chemical Engineering • ERICo Velenje Enviromental research and industrial cooperation • Geoloski zavod Slovenije Hydrogeology • GeoSi - Geological Institute Uprava RS za varstvo narave • IRGO Ljubljana, Institute of Mining and Enviroment • Karst Research Institute Institute Zr Sazu • LIMNOS Podjetje za aplikativno ekologijo • Oikos, d.o.o. • Slovenian Forestry Institute (SFI), Department of Forest Ecology • Scientific Research Centre of the Slovenian Academy of Sciences and Arts, Institute for Anthropological and Spatial Studies (ZRC) • Slovenian Environmental Agency (ARSO) • SSTTP: Hidria d.o.o. • Steng-nacionalni center za čistejšo proizvodnjo d.o.o. • Zavod Za Gozdove Slovenije (ZGS)

  25. Outlook • Series of Workshops “Climate Change in Central and Eastern European Countries”develop joint projects (FP7, Central Europe, South East Europe, etc.) • March 2007, Graz • November 2007, Belgrade, • September 2008, Graz • March 2009, Ljubljana?

More Related