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We seek SUPERIOR PERFORMANCE to meet YOUR FINANCIAL GOALS

Birkelbach Management Corp. since 1974. We seek SUPERIOR PERFORMANCE to meet YOUR FINANCIAL GOALS. “Listen to the market” “Let the market tell you what to do”. How to make money in the Stock Market?. Buy and Hold? 50 Years : 9% 1999-2008 : 0.

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We seek SUPERIOR PERFORMANCE to meet YOUR FINANCIAL GOALS

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  1. Birkelbach Management Corp.since 1974 We seek SUPERIOR PERFORMANCE to meetYOUR FINANCIAL GOALS “Listen to the market” “Let the market tell you what to do” Birkelbach Management Corp.

  2. How to make money in the Stock Market? Buy and Hold? 50 Years : 9% 1999-2008 : 0 Birkelbach Management Corp.

  3. DOW 1928-Present Birkelbach Management Corp.

  4. To be Successful in the stock market is not easy… Brokerage Reports Company Announcements News Today’s stock market prices represent investors’ perception of the future And Price is determined by supply and demand… Birkelbach Management Corp.

  5. Becoming Self SufficientLasting Truths… • Nobody controls the markets • We do control our selection and timing • We can’t tell the market what to do • We can let the market tell us what to do • “The trend is your friend” • Technical Analysis (The forgotten art) • A Picture is worth a thousand words Birkelbach Management Corp.

  6. The “Lone Bull” – Barron’s 1982 Birkelbach Management Corp.

  7. The “Lone Bull” – Fall 2002 To read the Investment Strategy Newsletter #519 mentioned below please visit http://www.my-broker.com/ISL/isl10_02.htm Birkelbach Management Corp.

  8. Head and Shoulder Head Right Shoulder Left Shoulder Neck Line Volume Neck Line Head Head and Shoulder Top Formation Right Shoulder Left Shoulder Volume Head and Shoulder Bottom Formation Birkelbach Management Corp.

  9. The Dow… Giant Head and Shoulders Formation (2001 – 2005) 10,753 – 7,197 = 3,556; 3,556 + 10,753 = 14,309 Projected Goal? (14,309 + 32%) Small Head and Shoulders Formation (2002 – 2003) 9,000 – 7,197 = 1,803; 1,803 + 9,000 = 10,803 Projected goal completed 2005 Birkelbach Management Corp.

  10. The S&P 500… Giant Head and Shoulders Formation (2001 – 2005) 1,170 – 820 = 350; 350 + 1170 = 1,520 Projected Goal? (1,520 + 31%) Small Head and Shoulders Formation (2002 – 2003) 1,000 – 820 = 180; 180 + 1000 = 1,180 Projected goal completed 2005 Birkelbach Management Corp.

  11. The NASDAQ Composite Index… Giant Head and Shoulders Formation (2001 – 2005) 2,000 – 1,195 = 805; 805 + 2000 = 2,805 Projected Goal? (2,805 + 45%) Small Head and Shoulders Formation (2002 – 2003) 1,750 – 1,195 = 555; 555 + 1750 = 2,305 Projected goal completed 2005 Birkelbach Management Corp.

  12. Apply technical analysis for evaluation Birkelbach Management Corp.

  13. The Dow Theory Bear Market Bull Market Phase I Phase III Phase II Phase II Phase I Phase III Birkelbach Management Corp.

  14. Characteristics of the Market Cycle Distribution Reversion Progression Accumulation Birkelbach Management Corp.

  15. Trend movements Intermediate Trend Intermediate Trend Intermediate Trend Intermediate Trend Major Trend Line Birkelbach Management Corp.

  16. Monitor your investments Birkelbach Management Corp.

  17. Resistance Area B Resistance Area A C E D Birkelbach Management Corp.

  18. Support Area D C E B Support Area A Birkelbach Management Corp.

  19. Trendlines and Trend movements GOOD BAD Uptrend Broken Sideways Trend Broken BAD GOOD Downtrend Broken Birkelbach Management Corp.

  20. Determine your risk/reward tolerance Birkelbach Management Corp.

  21. A Philosophy of Corporate Sustainability Reduces Your Risk: By reducing the vulnerability to government intervention, legal entanglements and the wrath of public opinion. Enhances Shareholder Value: By Investing in the majority of companies whose product, services and methods of operation generate positive opportunity for economic growth and enhance the human condition. In addition, we can customize the holdings of your account to include or exclude a social criteria important to You. Birkelbach Management Corp.

  22. Birkelbach Actual Portfolio vsS&P 500 IndexBirkelbach Actual Portfolio up by 35.54% and S&P 500 up by 21.58% Birkelbach Management Corp.

  23. Establish the right broker/client or money manager relationship Birkelbach Management Corp.

  24. Choices • Discount Broker • Financial Planner • Mutual Funds • Broker • Investment Manager Birkelbach Management Corp.

  25. Current Market Assessment Birkelbach Management Corp.

  26. CURRENT PROJECTIONS HEAD & SHOULDER TOP DOW IND NASDAQ S&P 500 HIGH 14,198 2,834 1,576 Neckline 12,512 2,386 1,371 -1,686 -448 -205 DOWNSIDE = 10,828 1,938 1,166 PROJECTION Birkelbach Management Corp.

  27. DOW 1998 to Present Birkelbach Management Corp.

  28. DOW Birkelbach Management Corp.

  29. 12,743 11,700 +1,043 =13,786 DOW -Present Birkelbach Management Corp.

  30. S&P 500 1998-Present Birkelbach Management Corp.

  31. S&P 500 Birkelbach Management Corp.

  32. 1,395 1,276 +119 =1,514 S&P 500-Present Birkelbach Management Corp.

  33. NASDAQ 1998- Present Birkelbach Management Corp.

  34. NASDAQ Birkelbach Management Corp.

  35. 2,413 2,210 -203 =2,616 NASDAQ - Present Birkelbach Management Corp.

  36. STAGFLATIONEuro to US Dollar Birkelbach Management Corp.

  37. STAGFLATIONGold-1975-Present Birkelbach Management Corp.

  38. FTSE 100 Birkelbach Management Corp.

  39. Hang Seng ($HSIX) Birkelbach Management Corp.

  40. Pick a stock that interests you Birkelbach Management Corp.

  41. A stock is only a vehicle to get you to where you want to go Birkelbach Management Corp.

  42. EXCHANGE TRADED FUNDSETF’S • DIG Ultra Oil and Gas Proshares • DUG Ultra Short Oil and Gas Proshares • ROM Ultra Technology Proshares • REW Ultra Short Technology Proshares • UYG Ultra Financials Proshares • SKF Ultra Short Financials Proshares • SSO Ultra S&P 500 Proshares • SDS Ultra Short S&P 500 Proshares • UKF Ultra Russell 1000 Growth Proshares • SKF Ultra Short Russell 1000 Growth Proshares • DDM Ultra Dow 30 Proshares • DOG Ultra Short Dow 30 Proshares Birkelbach Management Corp.

  43. Technology UltraROM Birkelbach Management Corp.

  44. Technology UltraREW-SHORT Birkelbach Management Corp.

  45. SSO UltraS&P 500 Birkelbach Management Corp.

  46. SKF ULTRAS&P 500-SHORT Birkelbach Management Corp.

  47. Ultra Financials Birkelbach Management Corp.

  48. McGraw Hill (MHP) Birkelbach Management Corp.

  49. McGraw Hill (MHP)5 years Birkelbach Management Corp.

  50. McGraw Hill (MHP)1 Year Birkelbach Management Corp.

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