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STEP-CHANGE S ustainable T ransport E vidence & Modelling P aradigms:

STEP-CHANGE S ustainable T ransport E vidence & Modelling P aradigms: C ohort H ousehold A nalysis to Support N ew G oals in E ngineering Design ‘ an empirically grounded frame for the modelling of transformational futures’. The Challenge

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STEP-CHANGE S ustainable T ransport E vidence & Modelling P aradigms:

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  1. STEP-CHANGE Sustainable Transport Evidence & Modelling Paradigms: Cohort Household Analysis to Support New Goals in Engineering Design ‘an empirically grounded frame for the modelling of transformational futures’ • The Challenge • Policy need to promote step-change towards more sustainable futures, especially in transport/travel. • There is limited evidence of what brings about long-term behavioural change in travel/transport. • Existing transport surveys focus on marginal trade-offs, not major qualitative change. • Existing mathematical models for city transport planning focus on stable situations/slow change. • Challenge: Need for new evidence and models. Interconnecting Research Strands Qualitative, Longitudinal Cohort Study Historical Information on Step Changes Integrating Diverse Knowledge Sources Planning for Urban Resilience in 2010 Development of New Transport Modelling Paradigms • The Vision • To achieve fundamental integration of social science & • engineering methodologies through: • State-of-the-art, qualitative, longitudinal survey instruments & analytical methods for eliciting and understanding behavioural change. • ‘Vision’- based planning paradigms for designing resilient urban futures for 2050. • Developing innovative mathematical modelling theories using metaphors from biology, literary theory, art and music. • Producing as outputs both planning methods and an evidence-base, for future exploitation by the research community and practitioners. Figure 1: STEP-CHANGE Wordle Figure 3: Interconnecting Research Strands • Project Team • Interdisciplinary collaboration between two internationally leading research centres: • Institute for Transport Studies (ITS, Leeds) • a major EPSRC-supported centre for studying transport sustainability & modelling, with extensive end-user engagement. • Miles Tight, Paul Timms, David Watling • Centre for Research on Socio-Cultural Change (CRESC, • Manchester) • a major ESRC research centre focusing on temporal, behavioural change using qualitative and quantitative data. • Andy Miles, Niamh Moore, Stewart Muir, Mike Savage (York) • The Momentum • CRESC’s ESRC Qualitative Research Laboratory • ITS’s EPSRC Transport Modelling Platform Grant • ITS/CRESC collaboration in ITS-led EPSRC project “Visions of the role of walking & cycling in 2030” Multidisciplinarity/ Interdisciplinarity/ Transdisciplinarity (as resource, practice & topic) Figure 2: Research Process (developed from: Julie Thompson Klein http://www.science.org.au/events/fenner/fenner2004/klein.html)

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