strategies for adapting to climate change in rural sub saharan africa targeting the most vulnerable
Download
Skip this Video
Download Presentation
Project Overview and Update May 2, 2010

Loading in 2 Seconds...

play fullscreen
1 / 13

Project Overview and Update May 2, 2010 - PowerPoint PPT Presentation


  • 78 Views
  • Uploaded on

Strategies for Adapting to Climate Change in Rural Sub-Saharan Africa: Targeting the Most Vulnerable. Project Overview and Update May 2, 2010. Attendees. Christoph Mueller, PIK Gerald (Jerry) Nelson, IFPRI. MOTIVATION.

loader
I am the owner, or an agent authorized to act on behalf of the owner, of the copyrighted work described.
capcha
Download Presentation

PowerPoint Slideshow about ' Project Overview and Update May 2, 2010' - kylar


An Image/Link below is provided (as is) to download presentation

Download Policy: Content on the Website is provided to you AS IS for your information and personal use and may not be sold / licensed / shared on other websites without getting consent from its author.While downloading, if for some reason you are not able to download a presentation, the publisher may have deleted the file from their server.


- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - E N D - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Presentation Transcript
strategies for adapting to climate change in rural sub saharan africa targeting the most vulnerable

Strategies for Adapting to Climate Change in Rural Sub-Saharan Africa: Targeting the Most Vulnerable

Project Overview and Update

May 2, 2010

attendees
Attendees
  • Christoph Mueller, PIK
  • Gerald (Jerry) Nelson, IFPRI

Page 2

motivation
MOTIVATION
  • Long-term changes in climate will disproportionately affect developing world
  • Effects of climate change vary across regions, farming and food systems, households, and individuals
  • Analysis must combine biophysical and socio-economic factors
    • Global
    • Regional
    • Local

Page 3

climate change makes food price increases greater
Climate Change Makes Food Price Increases Greater

Greater price increases with climate change

Prices increase without climate change

Page 7

climate change increases childhood malnutrition
Climate Change Increases Childhood Malnutrition

Without climate change, child malnutrition falls except in Sub Saharan Africa

With climate change, child malnutrition increases everywhere

Page 8

adaptation costs are over 7 billion per year
Adaptation Costs are over $7 billion per year
  • Required additional annual expenditure
    • Wetter NCAR scenario = US$7.1 billion
    • Drier CSIRO scenario = US$7.3 billion
  • Regional level
    • Sub-Saharan Africa - $3 billion (40% of the total), mainly for rural roads
    • South Asia - US$1.5 billion, research and irrigation efficiency
    • Latin America and Caribbean - US$1.2 billion per year, research
    • East Asia and the Pacific - $1 billion per year, research and irrigation efficiency

Page 9

outputs year 2 and 3
Outputs, year 2 and 3
  • Strategies for adaptation policies in high level fora
  • Options for adaptation developed in member countries w/ natl. researchers and collaborators
  • Policy dialogue meetings in member countries to get insights on research in progress, identify communication channels to achieve maximum impact.
  • Identification of gaps in adaptation analysis and research needs identified in the policy dialogue meetings.
selected outputs since last meeting
Selected outputs since last meeting
  • IFPRI Food Policy Report on costs of adaptation – included results for SSA
  • ZALF review of literature – published as IFPRI discussion paper
  • ZALF Tanzania household/farmer practice survey, presentations in May
  • Involvement in UNFCCC negotiations
    • Side event in Bonn, June 2009
    • ARDD 1 focused on climate change and agriculture in Copenhagen
    • Side event in Bonn, June 2010
    • ARDD2 planed in Cancun, December 4, 2010

Page 11

planned outputs
Planned outputs
  • PIK – Paper on hotspots of change, in process
  • ASARECA – review of NAPAs and PRSPs for ASARECA member countries – forthcoming as IFPRI discussion paper
  • FANRPAN – review of NAPAs and PRSPs for FANRPAN member countries in progress
  • Vulnerability assessments – draft template designed (see Kenya template) and process to identify country authors underway

Page 12

three provocative theses
Three ‘provocative’ theses
  • Our understanding of local climate change outcomes is bad
  • The best adaptation policies/programs today are
    • Good development policies that enhance widespread economic growth and productivity improvements
    • Global information sharing about climate responsiveness of today’s varieties
    • Identify climate-related research gaps

Page 13

ad