International Workshop on Population Projections using Census Data. 14 – 16 January 2013 Beijing, China. Session VI: Population projections for national populations. Tools for the preparation of national projections Preparing the data and formulating assumptions
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International Workshop onPopulation Projectionsusing Census Data
14 – 16 January 2013
Tools for the preparation of national projections
SPECTRUM is a suite of easy to use policy models which provide policymakers with an analytical tool to support the decision making process.
SPECTRUM consists of several software models including:
Preparing the data and formulating assumptions
Projection menu group
Set last year
Dealing with uncertainty: variants and illustrative scenarios
Projections are about the future, and therefore are invariably incorrect. It would not be useful to evaluate them in terms of their correctness (accuracy). Instead, one should assess them differently: