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Central Florida Leadership Survey Hispanic Summit 2007. May 29-June 3, 2007. Central Florida Leadership Survey. Sample of 702 respondents taken from a population of registered voters Base sample of 502 registered voters. supplemented by over-sample of 200 Hispanic voters

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central florida leadership survey
Central Florida Leadership Survey
  • Sample of 702 respondents taken from a population of registered voters
    • Base sample of 502 registered voters. supplemented by over-sample of 200 Hispanic voters
    • Final results weighted to reflect the known percentage of registered voters with Hispanic surnames
  • Interviews conducted May 29-June 3, 2007
  • Typical interview was about 10 minutes
  • Sampling error of ±3.7% for results based on full sample of 702
    • ± 4.5% for Anglo subsample, n=481
    • ± 6.5% for Hispanic subsample, n=217
key findings
Key findings
  • Although Hispanics seeking the American Dream in Central Florida think of discrimination as a problem, they are less likely than Hispanics in the rest of nation to feel victimized by discrimination.
  • Hispanics and Anglos agree that today’s immigrants posses strong family values and work hard at jobs other Americans don’t want, but they disagree over the assimilation of immigrants into society and extent of social problems caused by immigration. Healthcare and education impacts are flash-points.
  • Older Anglos are most pessimistic about immigration while younger female Anglos are most optimistic.
  • The status quo in legal immigration policies is preferred.
  • Solid majorities of both Hispanics and Anglos endorse a path to permanent legal status for illegal immigrants.
  • Neither political party is seen as offering better immigration policies.
no preference for ethnic terminology
No preference for ethnic terminology

Which term do you prefer, Hispanic or Latino?

Note: percentages do not add up to 100% due to rounding.

hispanics skew much younger than anglos
Hispanics skew much younger than Anglos

+23 points over Anglos

Two or three times more than Hispanics

hispanics are much newer voters
Hispanics are much newer voters

+ 24 points vs. Anglos

+ 24 pointsvs. Hispanics

independence from any party
Independence from any party

- 24 points under Anglos

+ 18 points over Anglos

parity at top of socio economic ladder but hispanics crowd lower rung
Parity at top of socio-economic ladder, but Hispanics crowd lower rung

+14 points more than Anglos

Parity

discrimination thought a genuine obstacle hispanic responses only
Discrimination thought a genuine obstacleHispanic responses only

Think discrimination is a problem preventing Hispanics from succeeding in America?

No31%

Yes68%

Note: percentages do not add up to 100% due to rounding.

hispanics vs anglos different realities
Hispanics vs. Anglos: Different realities

Think discrimination is a problem preventing Hispanics from succeeding in America?

Even Anglos who accept the reality of discrimination think of it as a minor, not a major, problem (10% major; 29% minor)

central florida hispanics perceive less discrimination than do all u s hispanics
Central Florida Hispanics perceive less discrimination than do all U.S. Hispanics

Think discrimination is a problem preventing Hispanics from succeeding in America?

US/Pew: 58%

No31%

Yes68%

US/Pew: 82%

US/Pew: 15%

Pew Hispanic Center6/5 – 7/3, 2006 2,000 nationwideHispanic adults

US/Pew: 24%

Note: percentages do not add up to 100% due to rounding.

ultimately hispanic optimism triumphs
Ultimately, Hispanic optimism triumphs

Direction things are headed in your part of Florida?

Anglos are +17 points more pessimistic than Hispanics

Note: percentages do not add up to 100% due to rounding.

concern over illegal immigration is widespread and intense all respondents
Concern over illegal immigration is widespread and intenseAll respondents

Concerned79%

anglo worries outpace hispanic
Anglo worries outpace Hispanic

How concerned are you about illegal immigration?

Anglos are +15 points more “very” concerned than Hispanics

conservative senior anglos worry most very concerned selected categories of anglos
Conservative, senior Anglos worry most(% “very concerned,” selected categories of Anglos)
central fl opinions roughly match national sentiment about key jobs issue
Central FL opinions roughly match national sentiment about key jobs issue

US/NYT: 12%

US/NYT: 30%

New York Times (NYT) Poll: 5/18 – 5/23, 2007 1,125 adults in U.S.

Note: Percentages do not add up to 100% due to rounding.

US/NYT: 59%

anglos especially don t perceive assimilation like in years past
Anglos especially don’t perceive assimilation like in years past

Perceived willingness of immigrants to adapt to American way of life, compared to those in early 1900s

~6:1 margin is stark and troubling

many anglos are nervous about immigrants social impact
Many Anglos are nervous about immigrants’ social impact

Percentage “Yes” shown

Latin American immigrants...?

most anglos and many hispanics say hospitals schools are besieged
Most Anglos (and many Hispanics) say hospitals, schools are besieged

Latin American immigrants overburden local hospitals & school districts?

Note: “Unsure” and “refused” not shown

most anglos and plurality of hispanics want quicker adoption of english
Most Anglos and plurality of Hispanics want quicker adoption of English

Think most recent immigrants learn English within a reasonable amount of time?

Note: “Unsure” and “refused” not shown

central fl opinions roughly match national
Central FL opinions roughly match national

Think most recent immigrants learn English within a reasonable amount of time?

US/NYT: 7%

US/ NYT: 31%

New York Times (NYT) Poll: 5/18 – 5/23, 2007 1,125 adults in U.S.

Note: Percentages do not add up to 100% due to rounding.

US/NYT: 62%

hispanics are satisfied anglos less so with esl programs
Hispanics are satisfied (Anglos less so) with ESL programs

Effectiveness of public school ESL courses teaching English?

Note: “Unsure” and “refused” responses are not shown; many Anglos are unsure re: ESL courses

bottom line is positive for hispanics a muddle for anglos
Bottom line is positive for Hispanics, a muddle for Anglos

Point-of-view closest to your own: Immigrants today “strengthen the country” vs. “are a burden”?

Note: “Unsure” and “refused” not shown

slide30

What do Central Floridians want to do on key “hot-button” immigration issues?

  • Visas and legal immigration
  • In-state college tuition
  • Amending constitution for “birthright” citizenship
  • Border Security
  • Amnesty
status quo on legal immigration is plurality preference but as many hispanics want boost
Status quo on legal immigration is plurality preference, but as many Hispanics want boost

Legal immigration should be...?

Hispanics: 18%

Anglos: 27%

US/NYT: 35%

US/NYT: 39%

Anglos: 43%

Hispanics: 34%

Hispanics: 34%

Anglos: 19%

US/NYT: 20%

New York Times (NYT) Poll: 5/18 – 5/23, 2007 1,125 adults in U.S.

Note: percentages do not add up to 100% due to rounding.

support for holding steady with current levels of hb1 visas
Support for holding steady with current levels of HB1 visas

Level of temporary, high-skilled worker visas should be...?

Anglos: 50%

Hispanics: 41%

Anglos: 13%

Hispanics: 42%

Anglos: 27%

Hispanics: 10%

on the surface a balance of opinion about in state tuition for children of illegals
On the surface, a balance of opinion about in-state tuition for children of illegals ....

Illegals who graduate from FL high schools should be given in-state college tuition rates?

but topline numbers mask deep ethnic divisions
... but topline numbers mask deep ethnic divisions

Illegals who graduate from FL high schools should be given in-state college tuition rates?

- 29 point difference

Note: “Unsure” and “refused” not shown

hispanics united anglos divided on birthright citizenship
Hispanics united, Anglos divided on birthright citizenship

Amend Constitution so parents mustbe legal residents for newborn to be citizen?

Note: “Unsure” and “refused” not shown

slide36
Anglos most in “favor” of amending constitution to limit citizenshipConservatives, retirees, Republicans, males
slide37
Anglos most opposed to amending constitution to limit citizenshipLiberals, young, low-income, Democrats
most anglos and many hispanics are ready to spend more on border security
Most Anglos and many Hispanicsare ready to spend more on border security

To prevent illegal immigration, government should...?

Note: “Unsure” and “refused” not shown

solid majorities of hispanics and anglos endorse a path to permanent legal status
Solid majorities of Hispanics and Anglos endorse a path to permanent legal status

Illegals currently in U.S. should be allowed to...?

Note: “Unsure” and “refused” not shown

slide40

Taking all issues into account, which central Florida Anglos are most and least favorable to immigrants and immigration?

slide41
Multi-item scale of attitudes toward immigration points to young Anglo females as best friend of immigrants

Select categories of highest scale scores, Anglos only

slide42
Multi-item scale of attitudes toward immigration identifies retirees as least friendly to immigrants

Select categories of lowest scale scores, Anglos only

neither political party is seen as having the best position on immigration
Neither political party is seen as having the “best position” on immigration

Anglos: 24%

Anglos: 28%

Hispanics: 16%

Hispanics: 17%

Note: percentages do not add up to 100% due to rounding.

Anglos: 26%

Hispanics: 35%

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