1 / 92

SPEAKER: Marvin Zonis , Professor Emeritus, the Graduate School of Business,

GLOBAL RISKS AND THE GLOBAL ECONOMY: CAN THE U.S. DEAL WITH DOMESTIC GRIDLOCK & MEET ITS FOREIGN POLICY CHALLENGES?. SPEAKER: Marvin Zonis , Professor Emeritus, the Graduate School of Business, the University of Chicago.

khoi
Download Presentation

SPEAKER: Marvin Zonis , Professor Emeritus, the Graduate School of Business,

An Image/Link below is provided (as is) to download presentation Download Policy: Content on the Website is provided to you AS IS for your information and personal use and may not be sold / licensed / shared on other websites without getting consent from its author. Content is provided to you AS IS for your information and personal use only. Download presentation by click this link. While downloading, if for some reason you are not able to download a presentation, the publisher may have deleted the file from their server. During download, if you can't get a presentation, the file might be deleted by the publisher.

E N D

Presentation Transcript

  1. GLOBAL RISKS AND THE GLOBAL ECONOMY: CAN THE U.S. DEAL WITH DOMESTIC GRIDLOCK& MEET ITS FOREIGN POLICY CHALLENGES?

  2. SPEAKER: Marvin Zonis, Professor Emeritus, the Graduate School of Business, the University of Chicago. GLOBAL RISKS AND THE GLOBAL ECONOMY: CAN THE U.S. DEAL WITH DOMESTIC GRIDLOCK& MEET ITS FOREIGN POLICY CHALLENGES?

  3. The New Yorker, March 12, 2012

  4. Global Political Challenges in 2012 Take Aways: How Does the World Work? *Nationalism *Current Account Deficits/Surpluses *Deleveraging The Great Global Challenges of 2012:

  5. Global Political Challenges in 2012 Take Aways *“It’s Not As Bad As It Sounds” (Mark Twain) BUT the really good news is 3 to 5 years off *New presidents in 2012 *Globalization disseminates everything – not just goods but ideas, people, drugs, services, revolution, disease, emotions, finance, and supply chains *The Middle East in Turmoil – and the turn to Islam *Pakistan and Afghanistan – not on “our” planet? *The eurozone, as we know it, is doomed *China-more instability, slower growth, stuck in middle income *Russia living off oil while the Russians strike back *Major oil price shock in 2012? *Major transformations are in the works – booming developing economies and technological marvels. Africa and Mexico big beneficiaries

  6. Global Political Challenges in 2012 The Global Context in 2012 Economic Slowdown Global Rebalancing Deleveraging New Presidents

  7. International Air Travel: 02/08 – 01/12 (Passenger & Freight) International Air Travel Association

  8. Global Rebalancing:How’s Your Current Account?

  9. Global Deleveraging https://www.mckinseyquarterly.com/Working_out_of_debt_2914

  10. Global Deleveraging McKinsey Global Institute, Federal Reserve, Bea, Financial Times, March 13, 2012

  11. New Presidents in 2012? World Bank, World Development Indicators

  12. Global Political Challenges in 2012 The United States

  13. An Election Campaign in This Context http://pewresearch.org/pubs/2167/rich-poor-social-conflict-class

  14. How important Do You Think It Is For The Government In Washington To http://www.gallup.com/poll/151568/americans-prioritize-growing-economy-reducing-wealth-gap.aspx

  15. And U.S. Deleveraging McKinsey Global Institute, Federal Reserve, Bea, Financial Times, March 13, 2012

  16. http://www.businessinsider.com/the-war-between-young-people-and-old-people-for-jobs-2011-9?utm_source=feedburner&utm_medium=feed&utm_campaign=Feed%3A+clusterstock+%28ClusterStock%29http://www.businessinsider.com/the-war-between-young-people-and-old-people-for-jobs-2011-9?utm_source=feedburner&utm_medium=feed&utm_campaign=Feed%3A+clusterstock+%28ClusterStock%29

  17. Proportion of Output Employers Spend on Labor http://www.ritholtz.com/blog/2011/08

  18. Whose Incomes Increased? iTulip.com

  19. Concentration of Wealth http://www.zerohedge.com/article/guest-post-fed-housing-and-stocks-chimera-middle-class-assets

  20. Income Inequality Growing The New York Times, March 26, 2011

  21. Budget Threats http://www.fms.treas.gov/fr/11frusg/11guide.pdf

  22. But It’s The Interest Payments http://www.fms.treas.gov/fr/11frusg/11guide.pdf

  23. The Wall Street Journal, April 28, 2011

  24. Global Political Challenges in 2012 The Middle East

  25. Still Smiling? “The priority today is the return of security, which cannot be achieved unless terrorism is hit with an iron fist.”

  26. Still Smiling? “The priority today is the return of security, which cannot be achieved unless terrorism is hit with an iron fist.”

  27. An Alawite Redoubt? A Turkish Border Refuge Zone? http://geocurrents.info/geopolitics/confusion-about-syrias-alawites

  28. Libya Struggles to Create a Government Spiegel Online, March 21 2011

  29. Libya in Parts

  30. Egypt: 70.49% of Seats to “Islam”

  31. The Winners of 21 Percent of the Vote “Even if we can’t provide economic renewal, it’s enough if we can lift the non-believers up and show them monotheism.” Said Abdul-Azzim Ali. The leader of Nour in Alexandria Financial Times, November 16, 2011

  32. Bad (Economic) Times Ahead http://www.economist.com/node/21546018

  33. Iraq - Feb. 22, ‘12: 26 Attacks, 13 Bombs: 55 Dead, 100s Injured

  34. Saudi King Abdullah’s Problems

  35. Saudi King Abdullah’s Problems

  36. Saudi Budget Squeeze Water Subsidies: $20 billion Electricity Subsidies: $15 billion Abdullah’s New Promises: $130 billion Saudi Gas: $.48 per gallon

  37. http://pewresearch.org/pubs/1814/muslim-public-opinion-hamas-hezbollah-al-qaeda-islam-role-in-politics-democracyhttp://pewresearch.org/pubs/1814/muslim-public-opinion-hamas-hezbollah-al-qaeda-islam-role-in-politics-democracy

  38. If “Islam is the Answer” Is Turkey the Question? http://www.talkturkey.us/images/mrandmrserdogan.gif

  39. If “Islam is the Answer” Is Turkey the Question? http://www.talkturkey.us/images/mrandmrserdogan.gif

  40. Global Political Challenges in 2012 Iran

  41. Ayatollah Khamene’iFebruary 3, 2012 This "truly cancerous tumor, Israel, must disappear from this region, and this undoubtedly will take place." http://www.leader.ir/langs/fa/index.php?p=contentShow&id=9093

  42. New Iranian Nuclear Site http://news.cnet.com/8301-30685_3-10362358-264.html?part=rss&subj=news&tag=2547-1_3-0-20

  43. Iranian Missile Program Iran’s Developing Nuclear and Missile Program, CSIS, 2-15-07

  44. Before: Iranian Missile Development Base http://isis-online.org/isis-reports/detail/satellite-image-showing-damage-from-november-12-2011-blast-at-military-base/

  45. Before: Iranian Missile Development Base http://isis-online.org/isis-reports/detail/satellite-image-showing-damage-from-november-12-2011-blast-at-military-base/

  46. Before: Iranian Missile Development Base http://isis-online.org/isis-reports/detail/satellite-image-showing-damage-from-november-12-2011-blast-at-military-base/

  47. After- Missile Base Outside Bid Khaneh http://isis-online.org/isis-reports/detail/satellite-image-showing-damage-from-november-12-2011-blast-at-military-base/

  48. Global Political Challenges in 2012 Pakistan - Afghanistan

  49. Pakistan

  50. Sirajuddin Haqqani "The Haqqani network... acts as a veritable arm of Pakistan's Inter-Services Intelligence Agency." Admiral Mike Mullen, Chairman, Joint Chiefs of Staff, September 26, 2011.

More Related