Ozone and fine particle attainment issues in nc
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Ozone And Fine Particle Attainment Issues In NC. Attainment Planning Technical Exchange Session 1 NCDENR, Division of Air Quality September 30 th , 2004. Ozone (O 3 ). What Is Ozone ?. Stratospheric and Ground-Level “Good Up High – Bad Nearby”

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Ozone And Fine Particle Attainment Issues In NC

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Ozone and fine particle attainment issues in nc

Ozone And Fine Particle Attainment Issues In NC

Attainment Planning

Technical Exchange

Session 1

NCDENR, Division of Air Quality

September 30th, 2004


Ozone o 3

Ozone (O3)


What is ozone

What Is Ozone ?

  • Stratospheric and Ground-Level

    “Good Up High – Bad Nearby”

  • Ozone is not emitted directly into the atmosphere

  • Formed through complex photochemical reactions involving:

    • Sunlight

    • Precursor pollutants

      • VOC - Volatile Organic Compounds

      • NOx - Nitrogen Oxides

    • Critical meteorological conditions


Ozone public health risks

Ozone – Public Health Risks

  • When inhaled, even at low levels, ozone can:

    • Cause inflammation of lung tissue

    • Cause acute or chronic respiratory problems

    • Aggravate, possibly trigger asthma

    • Decrease lung capacity

    • Repeated exposure in children may lead to reduced lung function as adults


Ozone standard

Ozone Standard

  • 1-hour ozone standard

    • 0.12 ppm (124 ppb)

    • Over a 3-year span, the average number of exceedances per calendar year must be less than or equal to 1

  • 8-hour ozone standard

    • 0.08 ppm (84 ppb)

    • 3-year average annual 4th highest daily maximum 8-hour average greater than 0.08 ppm is a violation of the standard


Ozone design value calculation 8 hour

Ozone Design Value Calculation (8-hour)

  • Step 1: Sort all daily 8-hour average maximums in order from highest to lowest into a list for year #1

  • Step 2: Repeat Step 1 for the next two consecutive years (#2 & #3) creating a total of three lists

  • Step 3: Average the 4th highest from each list or across the 3-year span

    • This average is truncated three significant figures or the thousandth decimal place


2001 2003 ozone design values highest value per county

2001-2003 Ozone Design Values(Highest Value Per County)


2001 2003 ozone design values each monitor

2001-2003 Ozone Design Values – Each Monitor


How are nonattainment boundaries set

How Are Nonattainment Boundaries Set?

  • State sends initial recommendations for boundaries to USEPA

  • USEPA responds back with their recommendations

  • State follows up with additional data to support their recommendations if different from USEPA

  • USEPA designates- Does not have to follow state recommendations


State process for nonattainment boundaries recommendation

State Process For Nonattainment Boundaries Recommendation

  • Evaluate which monitors are violating

  • Determine appropriate boundaries

  • Conduct public meetings

  • Coordinate with other agencies impacted by nonattainment designations (NCDOT and NCDOC, Local Government)


State recommendation

State Recommendation

  • State follows USEPA guidance (11 criteria) in the technical analysis

    • AQ data

    • Emissions

    • Population density / degree of urbanization / commercial development

    • Location of emission sources

    • Traffic / commuting patterns

    • Expected growth

    • Meteorology (transport patterns)

    • Geography / topography

    • Jurisdictional boundaries

    • Level of control of emission sources

    • Regional emission reductions


Example edgecombe and nash counties

Example: Edgecombe And Nash Counties

Situation:

  • Part of Rocky Mount MSA

  • Emissions are ~ one seventh of Triangle emissions

  • Majority of emissions from mobile sources… To be addressed as part of Federal and State strategy

  • Trajectory analysis strongly suggests ozone transport from Triangle

    NCDAQ Recommendation: Municipal boundary of Leggett where monitor is located


Criteria 1 emissions aq

Criteria 1: Emissions & AQ

  • Percent NOx that county contributes to the area’s total NOx emission in 2000

    Edgecombe = 38%

    Nash = 62 %

    HOWEVER…Edgecombe and Nash are the only counties in the Rocky Mount MSA; thus each county contributes a high percentage of emissions to the MSA as compared to counties in larger MSAs


Criteria 1 emissions aq1

Criteria 1: Emissions & AQ

Compare to Triangle…


Criteria 1 emissions aq2

Criteria 1: Emissions & AQ


Criteria 5 traffic commuting patterns

Criteria 5: Traffic &Commuting Patterns

  • VMT and commuting patterns were evaluated. The percent of workers commuting from the partial or recommended attainment county into the core urbanized counties in each area is presented

    Edgecombe to Wake = 0.1%

    Nash to Wake = 0.8%


Criteria 7 meteorology transport patterns

Criteria 7: Meteorology (Transport Patterns)

  • Leggett monitor is impacted by transported pollution from the Triangle under westerly flow

  • There is also a strong correlation between high ozone concentrations in Raleigh and high ozone concentrations at the Leggett

  • Leggett can also be impacted by emissions from Fayetteville and the I-95 corridor (southwest flow)

  • 36 hour back trajectories (starting at 20 GMT of each exceedance day) were run at heights of 10, 300, 1000 meters


Criteria 10 control of emission sources

Criteria 10: Control Of Emission Sources

  • Motor vehicle Inspections and Maintenance program (I/M) will be implemented in by January 2005 in Nash and Edgecombe


Designations

Designations

  • Based designations on MSA boundaries

  • USEPA designated less than an entire county the monitor(s) in the county was(were) attaining the standard

  • Mountain Area designated on GSMNP boundaries since:

    • Violating monitor is high elevation

    • Nighttime exceedances


Ozone nonattainment requirements timeline

Ozone Nonattainment Requirements – Timeline

  • Immediate (June 15, 2004)

    • New source review

    • General conformity

  • One year

    • Transportation conformity

  • Three years

    • State Implementation Plan (SIP) – attainment demonstration

  • Five years (or as expeditiously as practicable)

    • Attain standard (Triangle, RMT, GSMNP)

  • Six years (or as expeditiously as practicable)

    • Attain standard (Charlotte)


New source review

New Source Review

  • Becomes effective June 15, 2004

  • Minimum thresholds for various pollutants and activities

  • Existing facilities don’t have to do anything unless they modify!

  • New or modified facilities

    • Adopt LAER(Lowest Achievable Emission Rate)

    • Emissions offsets


Transportation conformity

Transportation Conformity

  • Becomes effective June 15, 2005

  • Transportation plan must “conform” to air quality plans

    • Analysis to ensure that transportation projects don’t make the air worse

    • Doesn’t necessarily have to reduce air pollution

  • Failure to conform means Federal highway funding is withheld


State implementation plan sip

State Implementation Plan (SIP)

  • Must be submitted to EPA within three years

    • Details the State’s plan to bring the area into attainment of the Federal standard

  • Most significant features are already underway

    • Clean Smokestacks Act

    • Vehicle emissions testing

    • Low sulfur fuels

    • Cleaner Engines


Fine particulates pm 2 5

Fine Particulates (PM2.5)


What is pm2 5

PM2.5

(2.5 µm)

PM10

(10µm)

What Is PM2.5 ?

Hair cross section (70 mm)

Human Hair (70 µm diameter)


Primary secondary pm2 5

Primary & Secondary PM2.5

Primary Sources

Secondary Formation

  • Combustion- Fire places, wood stoves, opening burning, vehicles, and industry

  • Chemical Transformation- Gases (e.g. SO2, Carbon, NH3, & NOx) condense and combine in the atmosphere


Pm2 5 speciation in nc

PM2.5 Speciation In NC


Pm2 5 public health risks are significant

PM2.5 – Public Health Risks Are Significant

Particles are linked to:

  • Premature death from heart and lung disease

  • Aggravation of heart and lung diseases

    • Hospital admissions

    • Doctor and ER visits

    • Medication use

    • School and work absences

  • And possibly to

    • Lung cancer deaths

    • Infant mortality

    • Developmental problems in children, such as low birth weight


Pm2 5 standard

PM2.5 Standard

  • Annual PM2.5 standard

    • 3-year average of the spatially averaged annual means is less than or equal to 15.0 μg/m 3

  • Daily PM2.5 standard

    • 3-year average of the 98th percentile values at each monitoring site is less than or equal to 65 μg/m 3


Pm2 5 design value calculation annual

PM2.5 Design Value Calculation (Annual)

  • Step 1: Average 24-hour measurements to obtain quarterly means at each monitor

  • Step 2: Average quarterly means to obtain annual means at each monitor

  • Step 3: Average across designated monitoring sites to obtain an annual spatial mean for an area

  • Step 4: Average 3 years of annual spatial means to obtain a 3-year average of spatially averaged annual means


Statewide 2001 2003 pm2 5 annual design values

Statewide 2001-2003 PM2.5 Annual Design Values


Hickory back trajectories high days only

Hickory Back Trajectories“High” Days Only


Lexington back trajectories high days only

Lexington Back Trajectories“High” Days Only


Ncdaq s recommended pm2 5 nonattainment boundaries

NCDAQ’s Recommended PM2.5 Nonattainment Boundaries


Usepa s recommended pm2 5 nonattainment boundaries

USEPA’s Recommended PM2.5 Nonattainment Boundaries


Pm2 5 nonattainment requirements timeline

PM2.5 Nonattainment Requirements – Timeline

  • November/December 2004

    • Designations

  • January/February 2005

    • Effective date of designations

    • New source review + General conformity

  • One year

    • Transportation conformity

  • Three years

    • State Implementation Plan (SIP) – attainment demonstration

  • Five years (or as expeditiously as practicable)

    • Nonattainment areas must attain


What is nc doing to solve the air quality problems

What Is NC Doing To Solve The Air Quality Problems?

  • Participation in the Southern Appalachian Mountain Initiative

  • Adoption of Clean Air Bill of 1999

  • Adoption of NOx SIP Call Rule

  • Adoption of Clean Smokestacks Act

    • Section 126 Petition

  • Participation in Southeast’s Regional Haze Planning Organization (VISTAS)


North carolina clean smoke stacks act

North Carolina Clean Smoke Stacks Act

  • NOx & SO2 Caps on emissions

    • Tons / year

    • Caps per Company - They decide on controls

  • Phased compliance; 1 Jan ’07, ‘09, ‘13

  • Actual reductions in NC

  • Unique cost recovery feature

  • Recommendations on Hg & CO2; Sep ‘05

  • Reduction credits held by the State

  • SAMI: Greatest AQ benefit for a state comes from reductions in that state; but, controls in all states needed to fully solve AQ problems


Emissions reductions under clean smokestacks bill

Emissions Reductions Under Clean Smokestacks Bill

489,000

500,000

450,000

400,000

350,000

300,000

245,000

250,000

250,000

200,000

130,000

150,000

60,000

100,000

56,000

50,000

2007

2009

1998

1998

2013

2009

SO2

(tons/year)

NOx

(tons/year)


What is epa doing to solve the air quality problems

What Is EPA Doing To Solve The Air Quality Problems?

  • Cleaner car and light truck standards

  • Cleaner gasoline

  • Cleaner heavy duty engine standards

  • Cleaner diesel

  • Cleaner Nonroad Engines

  • Clean Air Interstate Rule


What are some local measures

What Are Some Local Measures?

  • Focus on categories of major emissions

  • Reduction in vehicle miles traveled

  • Nonroad Engines – fleet turnover

  • How growth is handled

  • Episodic controls


For more information

For More Information:

  • Visit our web site:

    • http://ncair.org

  • Contact:

    [email protected]

    919-715-3743

    [email protected]

    919-715-6287

    [email protected]

    919-733-1488


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