Forecasting the future
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FORECASTING THE FUTURE. BY: Christian Sango Jonathan Bautista Arturo Ensalada Johnny Anuego Jeffrey John Catacutan. Forecasting the Future. MITOCHONDRIA ON PIAPI: An Investigation on community’s Discernible Features. How we gathered the data?.

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FORECASTING THE FUTURE

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Forecasting the future

FORECASTING THE FUTURE

BY:

Christian Sango

Jonathan Bautista

Arturo Ensalada

Johnny Anuego

Jeffrey John Catacutan


Forecasting the future1

Forecasting the Future

  • MITOCHONDRIA ON PIAPI: An Investigation on community’s Discernible Features


How we gathered the data

How we gathered the data?

  • First, we come up with a plan and we choose a certain barangay to be the focus of our study, and we’ve decided to study the population of Barangay 21-C

  • Second, we choose different tasks to perform such as the Data/Research analyst, Demographer, Statistician, Mathematician and Multi-Media Designer.


History of barangay 21 c piapi boulevard

History of Barangay 21-C (Piapi Boulevard)

  • Located along Barangay 31-C Boulevard, Davao City

  • Started as a squatters area in the late 1940’s and early 50’s

  • In 1981 their was an accident happened in which all the houses were burned out. After that accident the government awarded the land to the residents.

  • Majority of its population are composed of small scale businessman.


Tabular presentation of population according to age group

Tabular Presentation of Population According to Age Group


Graphical presentation of population according to age group

Graphical Presentation of Population According to Age Group


Tabular presentation of over all population

Tabular Presentation of Over-all Population


Graphical presentation of the overall population

Graphical presentation of the Overall Population


Computations

Computations

  • Solution:

    Formula

    P2 = P1 ert

    Average constant rate = 0.261725

    Time = 1 year

    Year 2009

    P2 = P1 ert = (7081) e 0.261725

    = (7081) (1.29917)

    = 9199


Population projection from 2009 2013

Population Projection from 2009-2013

YearPopulation

20099199

201011951

201115526

201220171

201326206


Projective profile of the population of barangay 21 c from 2003 2013

Projective profile of the Population of Barangay 21-C from 2003-2013


Projective profile of the population from 2003 to 2013

Projective profile of the Population from 2003 to 2013


Tabular presentation of the top 5 diseases in year 2003

Tabular Presentation of the Top 5 Diseases in year 2003


Projective profile on the top 5 diseases affecting the barangay

Projective profile on the Top 5 Diseases affecting the barangay


Graphical presentation of projective profile on the top 5 diseases affecting the barangay

Graphical Presentation of Projective profile on the Top 5 Diseases affecting the barangay


Analysis interpretation of data

Analysis & Interpretation of Data

  • After thorough investigation and gathering of data we come up with the following analysis and interpretation:

  • There is a sudden increase in population from year 2003-2008

    2. There is a constant change in population of adolescence from 2003-2005.

    3. There is a decrease in population of adolescence between the year 2004-2005. according to the residents the misunderstanding between the adolescent are very rampant and it results to riot and encounters that sometimes causes death.


Analysis interpretation of data1

Analysis & Interpretation of Data

4. The number of adults of the said barangay is too small compared to the adolescents, this only proves that the life span of the people on that area is short.

5. The great number of adolescence only proves that the labor force of that community is strong.

6. The disease like diarrhea and skin problems are very rampant at all ages.


Analysis interpretation of data2

Analysis & Interpretation of Data

7. There are cases of malnutrition in children, there is an increase of malnutrition cases and it’s growing until 2013.

8. The case of tuberculosis are only present in adults, this shows that TB occurs during adult ages and can be totally eliminated through the help of the Department of Health.

9. There is a decrease in number of cases of all diseases.


Conclusion

Conclusion

From the result of computations, graphical and tabular presentation of data and analysis of it we conclude that:

  • The population grows exponentially.

    2. The rate of increase in population of barangay 21-C is 0.261725.

    3. Mathematics help us to understand better on how to compute the growth of population.


Conclusion1

Conclusion

4. The increase in population is affected by factors such as time, diseases and change.

5. The increase in population affects the health of the community.


Recommendations

Recommendations

We recommend the following as initial remedy to the problems of barangay 21-C:

FOR THE GOVERNMENT OFFICIALS

  • Must conduct seminar on population education and inform that it has a big impact on the economy. Focusing on responsible parenthood and natural family planning.

    2. Must do something like coming up with a program to help the problem such as health program.


Recommendations1

Recommendations

FOR THE CITIZENS

1. They should cooperate with the program of the government.

2. Need to discipline themselves to have peaceful community.

3. A regular visit to health centers.


Reflection

Reflection

With the help of this project we develop our self-confidence, patience and mathematical abilities. We also develop our analytical abilities and skill in multimedia designing.

Through this project we also determine the importance of statistics and mathematics in our daily lives. The gathering of data and by making a survey to a Barangay, our awareness in an urban community expanded.


Reflection1

Reflection

Teamwork is very important to each group and without this we cannot develop our values to adjust to different situations. We need the cooperation of each member to make our project faster, easier and well-organized.

We learned also on how to deal with other peoples such as the officials and the people in health centers.


References

References

Population Resource Program, resource Book in Population Education, 1983 pp 97-100

McConnell, J,W. and others (1998). Algebra (Integrated Mathematics), The University of Chicago School of Mathematics Project, Scott, Foresman and Company, Glenview, illinois


Resource persons

Resource persons:

Mrs. Pacita Sevillano

Barangay Captain Odelon Yayo and officials

Barangay health Workers


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