Exports and productivity link in manufacturing micro evidence from croatia by gorana lukinic cardic
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EXPORTS AND PRODUCTIVITY LINK IN MANUFACTURING : MICRO EVIDENCE FROM CROATIA: by Gorana Lukinic Cardic. Comments of Oleh Havrylyshyn For YES presentation June 23, 2010, Dubrovnik,. WHAT IS MOST INTERESTING AND USEFUL ?. VERY GOOD USE OF A LARGE MICRO-DATA BASE

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Exports and productivity link in manufacturing micro evidence from croatia by gorana lukinic cardic

EXPORTS AND PRODUCTIVITY LINK IN MANUFACTURING : MICRO EVIDENCE FROM CROATIA:by Gorana Lukinic Cardic

Comments of Oleh Havrylyshyn

For YES presentation

June 23, 2010, Dubrovnik,


What is most interesting and useful
WHAT IS MOST INTERESTING AND USEFUL ? EVIDENCE FROM CROATIA:

  • VERY GOOD USE OF A LARGE MICRO-DATA BASE

  • IMPORTANT QUESTION ASKED : DO FIRMS EXPORT BECAUSE THEY HAVE HIGHER PRODUCTIVITY ? (self-selection SS) or DO FIRMS IMPROVE PRODUCTIVITY BY EXPORTING ? (learning by exporting : LBE); or BOTH ?

  • UNCONVENTIONAL CONCLUSION: NOT STRONG EVIDENCE OF SS; BETTER EVIDENCE OF LBE


Some unanswered questions
SOME UNANSWERED QUESTIONS EVIDENCE FROM CROATIA:

  • DESPITE SEVERAL GOOD ROBUSTNESS TESTS ONE STILL WONDERS IF MORE TESTS NEEDED; e.g. AS AUTHOR NOTES IN LAST PARAGRAPH: TFP; LONGER TIME-PERIOD, ETC.

  • WHY IS CONCLUSION ALMOST OPPOSITE OF EARLIER STUDIES , AS IN Sec. 4 Lit. review? IS THERE A UNIQUENESS TO CROATIA, AND IF SO WHAT IS IT?


Robustness
ROBUSTNESS EVIDENCE FROM CROATIA:

  • GIVEN CONCLUSION IT IS ESP. IMPORTANT TO BE COMFORTABLE WITH ROBUSTNESS

  • ONE OF THE MOST OBVIOUS : WHY NOT DO TFP INSTEAD OF LABOR PRODUCTIVITY ?

  • RESULTS MAY BE PARTICULAR TO THE TIME PERIOD: TRANSITION, NORMALIZING POST-YUG. TRADE RELATIONS – IS THERE PRE-1990 DATA?

  • OTHER POSSIBILITIES MENTIONED IN LAST PARAGRAPH OF PAPER (WHICH ITSELF SUGGESTS AUTHOR ALSO NOT FULLY COMFORTABLE WITH ROBUSTNESS)


Is croatia unique how
IS CROATIA UNIQUE?HOW? EVIDENCE FROM CROATIA:

  • MUST EXPLAIN RESULT , AT LEAST SPECULATE WHY HR DIFFERENT

  • IF EXPORT DECISION NOT DUE TO HIGHER PRODUCTIVITY , WHAT IS THE REASON?

  • COULD IT BE RANDOM? POSSIBLE THEORETICALLY, BUT IMPLAUSIBLE

  • HISTORICAL INERTIA? FIRMS THAT EXPORTED TO OTHER YUG. BEFORE 1990 RESTART EXPORTS? CLUE ON p.4-exports intensified to neighbors!! (N.B. FSU AFTER 2000 SIMILAR)

  • CAN AUTHOR GIVE US SOME OTHER POSSIBLE EXPLANATIONS?


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