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At Risk Outcome Analysis. Independent analysis OF intakes and outcomes of NYC Animal Care & Control April 2014. Prepared by Thomas Scopac. Headlines. Intakes are increasing. 10% increase for period Dec through Feb. 15% increase in cat Intakes, 5% Increase in Dog Intakes .
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At Risk Outcome Analysis Independent analysis OF intakes and outcomes of NYC Animal Care & Control April 2014 Prepared by Thomas Scopac
Headlines • Intakes are increasing. 10% increase for period Dec through Feb. 15% increase in cat Intakes, 5% Increase in Dog Intakes . • This is concerning since much of ACC strategy is based upon educing intakes • For Dogs for the period Jan & Feb intakes are up 7% and placements are down 2% • Even with added initiatives ACC direct placement is still only 27% of total placements. Before Adoption Councilors added it was 25% • ACC Direct dog placements in Q 1 2014 is a smaller portion of the total 24% vs. 28 in 2013 • The majority of dogs killed are considered adoptable to the public. In 2013 59% and Q1 14 57% dogs killed fell into this category • Brooklyn is dramatically ahead where in 2013 66% and Q1 63 of dogs killed fell into this category • Over time this dynamic has become worse. Half 2 2012 28% of dogs killed fell into this category.
Numbers of dogs killed based upon ‘At Risk List ‘ date from which they where killed
Numbers of dogs killed based upon ‘At Risk List ‘ date from which they where killed • Rescue Only is defined as dogs with no behavior rating or a behavior rating of NH Only. Adoptable is defined as all other behavior ratings
Outcomes based upon total number of dogs appearing on “At Risk List” each night in a given month • Dogs may appear on a list multiple times during and across months, the time the dog ‘survived’ without an outcome is captured in the “Carry Forward” category
Methodology • Bottom up analysis based upon unique dogs (A#) and frequency at which unique dogs appear on nightly “At Risk List” • Analysis is presented in two views • Relative to “At Risk List” total population • Relative to unique dogs appearing on “At Risk List” during given period • Analyze outcomes for both individual dogs and total published “At Risk List” aggregated by Month • Month is defined by date of publishing of specific “At Risk List” • Published “At Risk List” date is the night the list is issued by ACC. • Each day at 6 p.m. AC&C posts a listing of animals at risk for being euthanized the following morning.” • Outcomes are defined as disposition of the dogs from the specific lists defined by month they appear on the “At Risk List”. In other words, the outcome date does not come into play for the analysis, only the outcome itself for a dog in the months population. Therefore this analysis may not exactly match ACC statistics as those statistics are decoupled from the At Risk List. Meaning ACC looks at dogs killed in a calendar month regardless of when , or if, they appeared on the “At Risk List” • Behavior rating is obtained from ACC At Risk details and is arrived at by ACC Management • Average Days to Becoming Sick calculation. This is the difference in days between the initial medical exam rating and the final medical exam rating where the initial medical rating was 1-Normal or “x”-NC and the final medical rating is “x”-C. “x” represents the rating scale values of 2 - 5 *Sourced from ACC Website
Marketing Initiatives • Create Virtual Adoption wards • Behavior ratings and recommendation – “this dogs would be good …..” • Video and more photos highlighting the pets personality • This will be accessible both on the web and in the shelter and should be robust enough for use by the adoption coordinators • This will supplement the limited adoption space in the shelters, so adoptable pets in the non public areas can have exposure • Develop a rating system to identify which pets are at risk of qualifying for the “At Risk” list • Publish this rating to the rescues • Create a media mechanism to attract fosters for these pets • Improve social media presence • E.G. ACC has 7k eyeballs on Facebook where other sites promoting the At Risk pets have in excess of 100k
Analysis Support Analysis of appearance on At Risk list Jul – Dec 13 Dog appearing more than once Analysis of appearance on At Risk list Jul – Dec 13
Analysis Support Brooklyn – Dogs killed since July S.A.F.E.R Helper dogs killed
ACC Intakes and Outcomes Intakes and Placements for sample period • Sample Period is Jul 12 – Feb 13 to Jul 13 – Dec 14 • Sample period chosen due to: • Aligns with launch of Adoption Department • Aligns with extension of At Risk List Hours • Excludes November due to Hurricane Sandy impact in 2012
ACC Placement Decision Guide July 2011 After AC&C has explored adoption, foster, and placement with New Hope partners animals may be humanely euthanized with an injection of sodium pentobarbital in accordance with AC&C’s policy for any of the following reasons: • Medical or surgical conditions that require treatment beyond AC&C’s or New Hope partner’s resources • Behavioral conditions that require modification or management beyond AC&C’s or New Hope partners’ resources • Animals adopted and returned with documented medical or behavioral conditions beyond AC&C’s ability to manage • Underage kittens and puppies, particularly those less than four (4) weeks of age without a queen or dam when New Hope or foster cannot be found • Animals that are deemed a safety risk to humans or other animals, based on history and/or observation • Animals afflicted with an infectious disease for which resources are not available for treatment and/or adequate facilities for isolation and containment of disease • Owner request due to legitimate health or/and behavior concerns in accordance with AC&C’s euthanasia policy (Note: owner request euthanasia cases still require documentation, including scanning for microchip, photograph, and brief medical summary of the animal’s condition) • Shelter capacity to house, care for, and meet the physical and behavioral needs of the animal Sourced from ACC Website
ACC Behavior Rating Standards At AC&C, an animal's behavior is determined by looking at all information available. This includes observations made by staff and volunteers throughout the animal's time at the Care Center, information provided by an owner (if available) and assessments conducted by behavior staff. Cat assessments are completed by staff members trained in cat behavior. Dogs are assessed using SAFER, a nationally recognized scientifically-based aggression assessment used to help predict possible future aggression in the home. We recognize that an animal's behavior might be different in a shelter environment from its behavior in the public. For more information on SAFER, please click here. At the conclusion of an assessment, AC&C compiles all of the information available and an animal is categorized into one of the following behavior designations that describes the best placement option for the animal based on available information regarding the animal's behavior. The behavior designations are: Beginner Home, Average Home, Experienced Home, Experienced Home/No Children, New Hope Only, and No Placement. Click here to view Animal Care & Control's complete Behavior Designation policy. Due to limited resources, AC&C is unable to significantly modify animal behavior in our Center Centers. Therefore animals needing significant training to address aggression issues are designated at New Hope Only. Sourced from ACC Website
