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Climate Change, Disasters and Security…Issues, Concerns and Implications for India

Climate Change, Disasters and Security…Issues, Concerns and Implications for India. Climate Disasters- CRED 2007 Report. 2000-2006 Average- 365. 1987-1998 Average- 195. www.em-dat.net. 11/16/2014. Time Line Trend of Natural Disasters 1975-2007. www.em-dat.net. 11/16/2014.

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Climate Change, Disasters and Security…Issues, Concerns and Implications for India

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  1. Climate Change, Disasters and Security…Issues, Concerns and Implications for India Cdr Sunil Chauhan, Senior Fellow, CS3/USI

  2. Climate Disasters- CRED 2007 Report 2000-2006 Average- 365 1987-1998 Average- 195 www.em-dat.net Cdr Sunil Chauhan, Senior Fellow, CS3/USI 11/16/2014

  3. Time Line Trend of Natural Disasters 1975-2007 www.em-dat.net Cdr Sunil Chauhan, Senior Fellow, CS3/USI 11/16/2014

  4. Climate Change- Disasters –Security Nexus Climate Change Resource scarcity Poverty/inequality Political instability Lack of development Lack of human security Conflict Security Disasters Natural Hazard Vulnerable Conditions Cdr Sunil Chauhan, Senior Fellow, CS3/USI 11/16/2014

  5. Disasters- Indian Scenario • India supports 1/6th of world’s population on 2 % of world's landmass • 59% of land vulnerable to Earthquakes • 28% of land vulnerable to Drought • 40 million hectares (12%) of land vulnerable • to Floods • 80% of coast vulnerable to Cyclones • Different types of manmade Hazards • 1 million houses damaged annually + human, economic, social, other losses Cdr Sunil Chauhan, Senior Fellow, CS3/USI 11/16/2014

  6. INDIAECONOMIC LOSSES DUE TO DISASTERS 50 % 139 % PERIOD 112,000 Cr Losses in Thousand Crores 311 % Annual- Impact on People 1. Losses in lives - 4334. 2. People affected - 30 Million. 3. Houses lost - 2.34 Million. Annual- Financial Losses Percentage of Central Revenue (for relief) – 12%.

  7. Projected Impacts of Climate Change in India • Coastal Zone • Area (coastal districts ) approx 379,610 Km2, • Population density of 455 pers /Km2, 1.5 times national average of 324 pers/ Km2 • Sea level rise highest along Gulf of Kutchh/ coast of West Bengal • 01m Sea Level Rise • displace approx 7.1 million people, about 5,764 Km2of land are will be lost, 4200 km of road Cdr Sunil Chauhan, Senior Fellow, CS3/USI 11/16/2014

  8. Recommendations • Integrated Risk Management Framework • Adaptation and Mitigation • Structural to Non Structural Mitigation • Impact Assessment • CCDRI • Modeling Cdr Sunil Chauhan, Senior Fellow, CS3/USI 11/16/2014

  9. Recommendations • Vulnerability Atlas • Climate Change to “Climate Affairs” • Development as a Tool for Risk Reduction • Centre State Relations • International Cooperation • Climate Change- Need for Single Authority Cdr Sunil Chauhan, Senior Fellow, CS3/USI 11/16/2014

  10. Thank YouQuestions? Cdr Sunil Chauhan, Senior Fellow, CS3/USI 17 11/16/2014

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