1 / 46

Beijing Jiaotung University : International Peer Dialogue

Beijing Jiaotung University : International Peer Dialogue . Getting around: And why we need a Plan Z. Mobility Strategies for Better Transport in China’s Cities: 2013-2015 . International Peer Dialogue on 26/09/12 in Beijing with

keahi
Download Presentation

Beijing Jiaotung University : International Peer Dialogue

An Image/Link below is provided (as is) to download presentation Download Policy: Content on the Website is provided to you AS IS for your information and personal use and may not be sold / licensed / shared on other websites without getting consent from its author. Content is provided to you AS IS for your information and personal use only. Download presentation by click this link. While downloading, if for some reason you are not able to download a presentation, the publisher may have deleted the file from their server. During download, if you can't get a presentation, the file might be deleted by the publisher.

E N D

Presentation Transcript

  1. Beijing Jiaotung University : International Peer Dialogue Getting around: And why we need a Plan Z. Mobility Strategies for Better Transport in China’s Cities: 2013-2015 International Peer Dialogue on 26/09/12 in Beijing with Eric Britton, Managing Director, New Mobility Partnerships Lyon France and Los Angeles USA Introduced by Professor Jason Chang - Visiting Professor, China Academy of Transportation Sciences, New Mobility Peer Dialogue. Beijing, 25/09/2012

  2. This Peer Dialogue is about transport in cities New Mobility Peer Dialogue. Beijing, 25/09/2012

  3. But it is also about ideas. (And complexity) (And interdependence) Let’s have a look at how we got into this embarrassing situation. New Mobility Peer Dialogue. Beijing, 25/09/2012

  4. Today we will inspect and comment together: Who are we? And why are we here? Getting Around: Cities, Indolence, Complexity, Harmony (Book and Process) Two starkly contrasting transport scenarios: 1951-2011 The Dark Ages of Transport in Cities, 1975-2012 (Why and lessons learned) Old Mobility Snares: Winning battles but loosing the war The New Mobility Agenda: Getting comfortable with complexity Micro/Macro Transportation Problem Solving Strategic New Mobility Pillars: 2013-2015 1. Master complexity 2. Scale up from Public Transit to Share/Transport 3. Zetabyte strategies 4. Open System to broad based innovation (App strategies) The Golden Arrow of Harmony (video and reflection) Yourcomments and reflections New Mobility Peer Dialogue. Beijing, 25/09/2012

  5. First background on Peer Dialogue Process Getting Around: The Third Paradigm Cities, Indolence, Complexity and the Golden Arrow of Harmony The Book: 2014 The Process: 2012- 2013 New Mobility Peer Dialogue. Beijing, 25/09/2012

  6. Process: First City Dialogues, 2012 start-up • Barcelona • Beijing (3) • Helsinki (2) • Jiaozuo • Kaohsiung (3) • Liverpool • Lyon • Paris (3) • Strasburg • Stuttgart • Tainan (2) • Tallinn • Utrecht New Mobility Peer Dialogue. Beijing, 25/09/2012

  7. Some strange, hard to understand things are going on in our sector. An embarrassing comparison: 1951- 2011 New Mobility Peer Dialogue. Beijing, 25/09/2012

  8. What was going on in the streets of our cities at this time? Scenario A: Transport in Cities: 1951 In 1951 a New York City street looked like this New Mobility Peer Dialogue. Beijing, 25/09/2012

  9. Scenario A’: Transport in Cities: 2011 In 2011 a New York City street looked like this: New Mobility Peer Dialogue. Beijing, 25/09/2012

  10. Hmm! Want to tell us why? New Mobility Peer Dialogue. Beijing, 25/09/2012

  11. Scenario B:  Electronic Transport Development: 1951 In 1951 a computer looked like this (Univac 1) New Mobility Peer Dialogue. Beijing, 25/09/2012

  12. By the way and just in case you forgot The first UNIVAC I was delivered on June 14, 1951. The machine was 25 feet by 50 feet in length, contained 5,600 tubes, 18,000 crystal diodes, and 300 relays. It utilized serial circuitry, 2.25 MHz bit rate, and had an internal storage capacity 1,000 words or 12,000 characters. It utilized a Mercury delay line, magnetic tape, and typewriter output. The UNIVAC was used for general purpose computing with large amounts of input and output. Power consumption was about 120 kva. Its reported processing speed was 0.525 milliseconds for arithmetic functions, 2.15 milliseconds for multiplication and 3.9 Milliseconds for division. New Mobility Peer Dialogue. Beijing, 25/09/2012

  13. Scenario B’:  Electronic Transport Development: 2011 And in 2011 a computer looked like this Steve Jobs announcing iPad 2. March 2011 New Mobility Peer Dialogue. Beijing, 25/09/2012

  14. That’s on the order of a trillion-plus times leap in performance* in just sixty years (approximately two human generations) Wow! * Back of the envelope comparisons by weight, volume, electricity consumption and processing capacity New Mobility Peer Dialogue. Beijing, 25/09/2012

  15. Ladies, Gentlemen, it’s obviously time to stop and think New Mobility Peer Dialogue. Beijing, 25/09/2012

  16. You can start here: “A developed country is not a place where the poor have cars. It‘s where the rich use public transportation” - Enrique Peñalosa, Former mayor of Bogotá, Colombia New Mobility Peer Dialogue. Beijing, 25/09/2012

  17. Clue: Have you given any thought recently to . . . And here: You really should because they are going to be a central part of the solution More follows on ZB New Mobility Peer Dialogue. Beijing, 25/09/2012

  18. How did we get into this embarrassing situation? One more afternoon in NYC New Mobility Peer Dialogue. Beijing, 25/09/2012

  19. The Dark Ages of Transport in Cities * 1975 - 2012 • This is where that terrible word “indolence” comes in. We have lost a generation of opportunities. • And we no reason to be proud. New Mobility Peer Dialogue. Beijing, 25/09/2012

  20. Remember the Old Mobility Agenda • These are the main values stressed in the old model • Congestion (avoidance) • Forecast and build • Micro planning • Cars and other motor vehicles (accommodation) • Infrastructure (expansion) • Speed (important) • Distance (expanding) • Space (not an issue) • Time (saving) • Resources (not a problem) • Planet (not a problem) • Public transport (as absolutely required) • Labor (“Saving”) • Electronics (To support above) • Point problem solving - by big (costly) projects * Which is pretty much explains how the world got where we are today New Mobility Peer Dialogue. Beijing, 25/09/2012

  21. Old Mobility, 1975 - 2012: Won the battles . . . Lost the war New Mobility Peer Dialogue. Beijing, 25/09/2012

  22. Time to find a new model for transport in cities The New Mobility Agenda: The Third Transport Paradigm (But we are going to have to invent it ourselves) New Mobility Peer Dialogue. Beijing, 25/09/2012

  23. Beijing Jiaotung University : International Peer Dialogue Getting Around: Time for a Plan Z? New Mobility Strategies for Transport in China’s Cities: 2013-2015 International Peer Dialogue on 26/09/12 in Beijing with Eric Britton, Managing Director, New Mobility Partnerships Lyon France and Los Angeles USA Introduced by Professor Jason Chang - Visiting Professor, China Academy of Transportation Sciences, New Mobility Peer Dialogue. Beijing, 25/09/2012

  24. Sustainable Transport in China today? • Is this an emergency situation? • How bad is it? Mobility efficiency, cost-effectiveness, key externalities, environment, equity • The time vector? • Irreversiblilities? • Is the situation under control? • Beyond point successes, the overall system dynamics? • Do we have reason to be (chose one please) • Optimistic? • Hopeful? • Worried? • Aggressive search for new winning strategies? New Mobility Peer Dialogue. Beijing, 25/09/2012

  25. Why is the sky blue Daddy? New Mobility Peer Dialogue. Beijing, 25/09/2012

  26. Here’s a question for you:. What is the big difference between Beijing and Mexico City? New Mobility Peer Dialogue. Beijing, 25/09/2012

  27. Learn! Unlearn! Relearn! The New Mobility Ecosystem: The first rule of Transport Policy and Practice in the 21st Century is New Mobility Peer Dialogue. Beijing, 25/09/2012

  28. Transport/Mobility/Access/Presence • The New Mobility Ecosystem: For a long time we have thought in terms of “transportation” But what if instead we broaden our scope and instead think about . . . You’ll see; it changes everything New Mobility Peer Dialogue. Beijing, 25/09/2012

  29. The New Mobility Ecosystem: Welcome to complexity New Mobility Peer Dialogue. Beijing, 25/09/2012

  30. The New Mobility Ecosystem • Micro vs. Macro Transportation Problem Solving New Mobility Peer Dialogue. Beijing, 25/09/2012

  31. The New Mobility Ecosystem A Few First Words on Sharing in Transport New Mobility Peer Dialogue. Beijing, 25/09/2012

  32. Advantages of Sharing New Mobility Peer Dialogue. Beijing, 25/09/2012

  33. Advantages of Sharing New Mobility Peer Dialogue. Beijing, 25/09/2012

  34. The Many Ways to Share New Mobility Peer Dialogue. Beijing, 25/09/2012

  35. Do we need a Plan Z? • Is this an emergency situation? • How bad is it? • The time vector? • Irreversiblilities? • Will BAU do the job? • Beyond point successes, the overall system dynamics? • Do we have reason to be (chose one) • Optimistic? • Hopeful? • Worried? • Aggressive search for new winning strategies? New Mobility Peer Dialogue. Beijing, 25/09/2012

  36. Plan Z: Getting the basics right • Define Emergency status and chief parameters • Define and understand full City Transport Ecosystem • Continue to support and link all strong on-going programs • Obtain new scale resources for Plan Z • Highest priority • Transport/Mobility/Access/Presence • “Better than car” mobility targets for cities • Future of the car in the city • Share/Transport • Zetabytes • Open up system and data • Massively improve communications New Mobility Peer Dialogue. Beijing, 25/09/2012

  37. New Mobility Ecosystem/Core Values New Mobility Peer Dialogue. Beijing, 25/09/2012

  38. New Mobility Ecosystem/Expanded focus New Mobility Peer Dialogue. Beijing, 25/09/2012

  39. The New Mobility Ecosystem: Systemic Complexity New Mobility Peer Dialogue. Beijing, 25/09/2012

  40. Five Project/Activity proposals for 2013(Food for thought) Will 2013 be a “tipping point” for transport innovation in China? (And/or, could we make it one?) #1: Embrace complexity and redefine “Public Transport” #2: A New Mobility Agenda for Share/Transport #3: DRT – The future of the road #4: Unexpected gift: Get Carsharing into Fifth Gear #5: A Tai Chi approach to transport policy and practice for Chinese cities New Mobility Peer Dialogue. Beijing, 25/09/2012

  41. The New Mobility Agenda In closing: There points that as professionals you may wish to recall Complex systems refute sub-optimization Greater diversity of everything Technical virtuosity in support of wise governance i.e., you still have a job. New Mobility Peer Dialogue. Beijing, 25/09/2012

  42. Questions/Comments The New Mobility Ecosystem * Roughly half the Master Class participants were female. (They are clearly doing something right in Beijing). New Mobility Peer Dialogue. Beijing, 25/09/2012

  43. Closing remarks by the Chair The New Mobility Ecosystem Professor Jason Chang New Mobility Peer Dialogue. Beijing, 25/09/2012

  44. The New Mobility Ecosystem • Thank you • Eric Britton • New Mobility Partnerships • France: • 9, rue Gabillot F69003 Lyon France • Tel. +336 5088 0787 | eric.britton@ecoplan.org |  S. newmobility • USA: • 9440 Readcrest Dr. Los Angeles, CA 90210 • Tel. +1 213 985 3501 fekbritton@gmail.com | Skype: ericbritton New Mobility Peer Dialogue. Beijing, 25/09/2012

  45. The New Mobility Ecosystem: 2013 - 2015 New Mobility Peer Dialogue. Beijing, 25/09/2012

  46. Before the wholeSerenitySensitivityBalanceAnticipationBreathSupplenessSlowSoft Harmony Annex. Thinking exercise: New Mobility/Tai Chi Chuan New Mobility Peer Dialogue. Beijing, 25/09/2012

More Related