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HS Dent Advisers Network December 2007 Conference Call Harry S. Dent, Jr. HS Dent Advisers Network December 2007 Conference Call Harry S. Dent, Jr. Weekly Leading Index. Jan. Aug. Dec. Nov. Oct. Apr. Mar. Jun. Economic Cycle Research Institute. Subprime Loan Resets.

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Hs dent advisers network december 2007 conference call harry s dent jr

HS Dent Advisers NetworkDecember 2007 Conference CallHarry S. Dent, Jr.


Hs dent advisers network december 2007 conference call harry s dent jr1

HS Dent Advisers NetworkDecember 2007 Conference CallHarry S. Dent, Jr.


Weekly leading index
Weekly Leading Index

Jan

Aug

Dec

Nov

Oct

Apr

Mar

Jun

Economic Cycle Research Institute


Subprime loan resets

Subprime Loan Resets

Source: First American Loan Performance, as Printed in Investors Business Daily


Real personal consumption expenditures

Real Personal Consumption Expenditures

Personal consumption expenditures still positive through 3rd qtr 2007

Source: www.bea.gov


Retail sales total

Retail Sales, Total

Source: Census Bureau


Total retail sales vs department store sales indexed to jan 2000

Total Retail Sales vs. Department Store SalesIndexed to Jan 2000

Source: Census Bureau


Retail sales year over year change

Retail SalesYear-Over-Year % Change

Source: Census Bureau


Furniture and home furnishing sales year over year change

Furniture and Home Furnishing SalesYear-Over-Year % Change

Boomer spending coupled with housing bubble led to surge in furniture sales.

But despite housing crash and subprime disaster, growth remains positive.

Source: Census Bureau


Dow industrials
Dow Industrials

5

5

3

1

3

4

2

4

Source: Yahoo Finance


Nasdaq
Nasdaq

C

c

a

A

c

b

a

B

b

Source: Yahoo Finance


Health sector iyh
Health Sector (IYH)

5

5

3

4

3

1

2

4

Source: Yahoo Finance


Emerging markets eem
Emerging Markets (EEM)

5

5

3

1

4

3

2

4

Source: Yahoo Finance


Asia ex japan epp
Asia Ex-Japan (EPP)

5

5

3

4

1

3

2

4

Source: Yahoo Finance


Financials xlf
Financials (XLF)

5

B

A

Source: Yahoo Finance


Smart money indicator oex open interest put call

“Smart Money” IndicatorOEX Open Interest Put/Call






Hs dent advisers network december 2007 conference call harry s dent jr2

HS Dent Advisers NetworkDecember 2007 Conference CallHarry S. Dent, Jr.


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