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Proposition 8. April 2008 : Nearly 1.1 million signatures delivered to CA Secretary of State May 15, 2008 : CA Supreme Court issues In Re Marriage Cases decision June 2, 2008 : Proposition 8 certified for November 4, 2008 ballot June 15, 2008 : same-sex couples start marrying in California.

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proposition 8
Proposition 8
  • April 2008: Nearly 1.1 million signatures delivered to CA Secretary of State
  • May 15, 2008: CA Supreme Court issues In Re Marriage Cases decision
  • June 2, 2008: Proposition 8 certified for November 4, 2008 ballot
  • June 15, 2008: same-sex couples start marrying in California
proposition 8 the media war
Proposition 8: The Media War
  • August 2008: Let California Ring airs “Tripping Bride” ad constantly during Beijing Olympics TV coverage
  • September 2008: Let California Ring print and radio ads run in ethnic media outlets until the end of the month
  • September 22 2008: First NO ON 8 ad airs: “Don’t Eliminate Marriage For Anyone”
  • September 29 2008: First YES on 8 ad airs “Whether You Like It Or Not”
  • October 7 2008: Yes on 8 airs “Princes” ad
  • October 22 2008: No on 8 airs response to “Princes” ad
  • October 23 2008: Yes on 8 responds with “Truth”
  • October 30 2008: No on 8 ends the campaign with “Divisive” and “Discrimination”
proposition 8 aftermath
Proposition 8 Aftermath
  • Certified Election Results on Proposition 8
    • Statewide
      • YES 7,001,084 (52.30%)
      • NO 6,401,482 (47.70%)
      • Margin: 599,602 (4.6%)
      • Voter Turnout: 13,743,177 out of 17,304,091 (79.42%)
    • Los Angeles County
      • YES 1,624,672 (50.04%)
      • NO 1,622,287 (49.96%)
      • Margin: 2,385
      • Turnout: 3,246,959 out of 4,111,642 (79%)
black vs gay proposition 8 aftermath
Black vs. Gay: Proposition 8 Aftermath
  • CNN Exit Poll Released showed that 70% of African Americans voted in favor of Proposition 8 (later revised down to 57-58% by an academic analysis)
  • Media narrative became Blacks versus Gays
    • Between Nov. 4-Nov 18 I appeared in
      • The Los Angeles Times
      • Good Morning America (Sunday)
      • KABC-TV
      • Local radio stations (KCRW-FM, KPFK-FM)
why gay is not the new black
Why Gay is NOT ‘the new Black’
  • There are people who are both Black and Gay
  • Although both communities have experienced identity-based discrimination, slavery (and its incidents) is simply not equivalent to what LGBT have experienced
  • The phrase and the comparison trivializes both the experience of Black people and LGBT people in this country
  • To paraphrase Dan Savage, the gay rights movement is a civil rights movement but the movement for racial equality is the Civil Rights Movement.
the future
The Future!?
  • Blogger Nate Silver (fivethirtyeight.com) has looked at the 30 states that have voted to amend their constitution and done a regression analysis which shows that the most important factors are

1. The year in which the amendment was voted upon;

2. The percentage of adults in 2008 Gallup tracking surveys who said that religion was an important part of their daily lives;

3. The percentage of white evangelicals in the state.

  • When extrapolated into the future it shows the year in which a similar vote to ban gay marriage would fail in each state
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