Proposition 8
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Proposition 8. April 2008 : Nearly 1.1 million signatures delivered to CA Secretary of State May 15, 2008 : CA Supreme Court issues In Re Marriage Cases decision June 2, 2008 : Proposition 8 certified for November 4, 2008 ballot June 15, 2008 : same-sex couples start marrying in California.

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Presentation Transcript
Proposition 8
Proposition 8

  • April 2008: Nearly 1.1 million signatures delivered to CA Secretary of State

  • May 15, 2008: CA Supreme Court issues In Re Marriage Cases decision

  • June 2, 2008: Proposition 8 certified for November 4, 2008 ballot

  • June 15, 2008: same-sex couples start marrying in California


Proposition 8 the media war
Proposition 8: The Media War

  • August 2008: Let California Ring airs “Tripping Bride” ad constantly during Beijing Olympics TV coverage

  • September 2008: Let California Ring print and radio ads run in ethnic media outlets until the end of the month

  • September 22 2008: First NO ON 8 ad airs: “Don’t Eliminate Marriage For Anyone”

  • September 29 2008: First YES on 8 ad airs “Whether You Like It Or Not”

  • October 7 2008: Yes on 8 airs “Princes” ad

  • October 22 2008: No on 8 airs response to “Princes” ad

  • October 23 2008: Yes on 8 responds with “Truth”

  • October 30 2008: No on 8 ends the campaign with “Divisive” and “Discrimination”


Proposition 8 aftermath
Proposition 8 Aftermath

  • Certified Election Results on Proposition 8

    • Statewide

      • YES 7,001,084 (52.30%)

      • NO 6,401,482 (47.70%)

      • Margin: 599,602 (4.6%)

      • Voter Turnout: 13,743,177 out of 17,304,091 (79.42%)

    • Los Angeles County

      • YES 1,624,672 (50.04%)

      • NO 1,622,287 (49.96%)

      • Margin: 2,385

      • Turnout: 3,246,959 out of 4,111,642 (79%)


Black vs gay proposition 8 aftermath
Black vs. Gay: Proposition 8 Aftermath

  • CNN Exit Poll Released showed that 70% of African Americans voted in favor of Proposition 8 (later revised down to 57-58% by an academic analysis)

  • Media narrative became Blacks versus Gays

    • Between Nov. 4-Nov 18 I appeared in

      • The Los Angeles Times

      • Good Morning America (Sunday)

      • KABC-TV

      • Local radio stations (KCRW-FM, KPFK-FM)


Why gay is not the new black
Why Gay is NOT ‘the new Black’

  • There are people who are both Black and Gay

  • Although both communities have experienced identity-based discrimination, slavery (and its incidents) is simply not equivalent to what LGBT have experienced

  • The phrase and the comparison trivializes both the experience of Black people and LGBT people in this country

  • To paraphrase Dan Savage, the gay rights movement is a civil rights movement but the movement for racial equality is the Civil Rights Movement.


The future
The Future!?

  • Blogger Nate Silver (fivethirtyeight.com) has looked at the 30 states that have voted to amend their constitution and done a regression analysis which shows that the most important factors are

    1. The year in which the amendment was voted upon;

    2. The percentage of adults in 2008 Gallup tracking surveys who said that religion was an important part of their daily lives;

    3. The percentage of white evangelicals in the state.

  • When extrapolated into the future it shows the year in which a similar vote to ban gay marriage would fail in each state


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