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LAPS Cloud analysis

LAPS Cloud analysis. First Guess . METAR. METAR. METAR. OAR/ESRL/GSD/Forecast Applications Branch. 1. Cloud Analysis Flow Chart. Cloud Fraction 3-D Isosurface. (From radars and model first guess). Satellite use in LAPS / STMAS. (GOES / SEVIRI*). 11 micron IR (Imager)

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LAPS Cloud analysis

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  1. LAPS Cloud analysis First Guess  METAR METAR METAR OAR/ESRL/GSD/Forecast Applications Branch 1

  2. Cloud Analysis Flow Chart Cloud Fraction 3-D Isosurface (From radars and model first guess)

  3. Satellite use in LAPS / STMAS (GOES / SEVIRI*) • 11 micron IR (Imager) • 3.9 micron data (Imager) • Visible (Imager - with terrain albedo database) • CO2-Slicing method (Cloud-top pressure) • *2010 Paper with Italian Collaborators • Cloud-Drift Winds • Retrieved Soundings (T, Td) Cloud Analysis OAR/ESRL/GSD/Forecast Applications Branch 3

  4. Cloud / Reflectivity / Precip Type (1km 15-min analysis) Obstructions to visibility along approach paths DIA

  5. MADIS Solar GHI Obs (<= 15min, Defined in Metadata)

  6. Solar Radiation Web Page Verified at station locations measuring global solar radiation on time scales <= 15min Mean Analyzed / Forecast Mean Observed RMS differences

  7. Global Horizontal Irradiance (GHI) Analysis • Derived from 3-D cloud fraction analysis and simple clear-sky solar radiation calculation • High Resolution (e.g. 1km) • Rapid Update (e.g. 15min) • Compares well with independent observations • GHI = Io t a f • Io = Top of Atmosphere Normal Incident Radiation • T = Overall Transmittance (0.73) • a = 0.9 * sin(altitude) + 0.1 * sin2(altitude) • f = cloud fraction term OAR/ESRL/GSD/Forecast Applications Branch 8

  8. LAPS 1-km Cloud Fraction Analysis with Independent GHI Obs. Overlay 3-Frames at 15-minute interval

  9. Global Horizontal Irradiance Analysis + Observations 3-Frames at 15-minute interval Utilizes GOES imagery and 3-D cloud analysis allowing rapid 1km resolution update

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