Participation in Government. Unit II: Polling Data. 87% say Bush is a bumbling moron. Should you take this at face value? What questions should come to mind? Who was asked? How many people were asked? What was the question polled? How was the poll administered?
Unit II: Polling Data
I believe Bush is
a) a stud muffin.
b) a bumbling moron.
c) the best US President ever.
**In the late 1800s STRAW POLLS were first introduced by newspapers and magazines as a way to liven up their political coverage.
STRAW POLLS: a group of people questioned INFORMALLY to determine public opinion.
Ex)mail survey, person-on-the-street, interviews, telephone call-ins, Internet pop-up surveys, etc. (AMERICAN IDOL)
Why are these UNRELIABLE?
National Renowned Examples:
The Gallup Poll
The Harris Poll
The Roper Poll
Identify the universe to study:
“A cook does not have to drink an entire pot of soup to determine if it needs more seasoning, he merely takes a sip.”
2. SAMPLE:a SMALL GROUPof people who accurately represent a universe.
3. RANDOM:sample chosen in such a way that every member of THE UNIVERSE has an EQUAL chance of being selected.
4.The questions must beUNBIASED and EASILY UNDERSTOOD.
5. Results must be ACCURATE and documented CORRECTLY.
Ex. Margin of Error +/- 3%
On the Index card answer these questions.