Analysis with Remi Policy Insight in Nordrhein Westfalen – Including Sensitivity Experiments
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Analysis with Remi Policy Insight in Nordrhein Westfalen – Including Sensitivity Experiments Rüdiger Budde RWI-Essen. Introductory remarks Specifia of the "Nordrhein Westfalen" modell Selecting an industrial strategy Quantifying the potential effects Conclusions. Agenda.

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Analysis with Remi Policy Insight in Nordrhein Westfalen – Including Sensitivity Experiments

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Analysis with remi policy insight in nordrhein westfalen including sensitivity experiments

Analysis with Remi Policy Insight in Nordrhein Westfalen – Including Sensitivity Experiments

Rüdiger BuddeRWI-Essen

Rüdiger Budde


Agenda

Introductory remarks

Specifia of the "Nordrhein Westfalen" modell

Selecting an industrial strategy

Quantifying the potential effects

Conclusions

Agenda

Rüdiger Budde


Specifis of the nordrhein westfalen model

Specifis of the "Nordrhein Westfalen" Model

Oberhausen

Ruhr area

Neighbouringcountries

Northrhine - Westphalia

Federal Republic of Germany

Rüdiger Budde


List of projects with the remi model

“Effects of the Metrorapid Railway in Nordrhein-Westfalen”

3 Studies on the impact on new industrial sites on the local economy and its neighbourhood

List of Projects with the REMI model

Rüdiger Budde


City of oberhausen current situation

220 000 inhabitants

Lies in the heart of the Ruhr-area

In 1987 7% of the employees were occupied in the steel industry

In 2002 90% of the jobs in the steel industry were vanished

Due to industrial changes huge brown fields emerged

First successful settlements while restructuring the service sector

High unemployment rate (11%)

Objective 2 area up to 2006(This status might be prolonged.)

City of Oberhausen (current situation)

Rüdiger Budde


The regional economic s trategy

To develop the new industrial site

Maximize the potential employment that can be settled on the available brown field.

Prevent harmful competition between old industries and new settlers.

The Regional Economic Strategy

Rüdiger Budde


Alternative facilities of operating a commercial site

Alternative facilities of operating a commercial site

Rüdiger Budde


Analysis with remi policy insight in nordrhein westfalen including sensitivity experiments

The results refer to the average of the first four years of production after achieving the aimed degree of efficiency

Year of reference is 2008

Rüdiger Budde


Sensitivity analysis

Sensitivity analysis

Rüdiger Budde


Expected effects in the ruhr area in absolute figures

Expected effects in the Ruhr-area (in absolute figures)

Rüdiger Budde


Expected effects in the remaining part of nrw in absolute figures

Expected effects in the remaining part of NRW (in absolute figures)

Rüdiger Budde


Expected effects in whole state in absolute figures

Expected effects in whole State (in absolute figures)

Rüdiger Budde


Expected occupational effects in whole northrhine westphalia in relative figures

Expected occupational effects in whole Northrhine-Westphalia (in relative figures)

Rüdiger Budde


On the basis of the research results

The elaborated concept

The Industrial park with a focus on health-care including manufacture

In order to attract potential customers as well as potential investors a theme park on healthcare is implemented within the industrial park

On the basis of the research results

Future Park O.Vision

Rüdiger Budde


Analysis with remi policy insight in nordrhein westfalen including sensitivity experiments

Future Park O.Vision

Rüdiger Budde


Evaluation of o vision

Evaluation of “O.Vision”

Rüdiger Budde


Analysis with remi policy insight in nordrhein westfalen including sensitivity experiments

Expected developement while building the themepark and the industrial park

Rüdiger Budde


Occupational effects of the themepark sensitive analysis

Occupational effects of the themepark (sensitive analysis)

Rüdiger Budde


Occupational effects of the industrial park sensitive analysis

Occupational effects of the industrial park (sensitive analysis)

Rüdiger Budde


Conclusions

Distinct positive impact on employment in the Ruhr area

Success of the strategy as a whole, highly depends on situation investment finds itself in market conditions

Inter-regional competition

Inter-industrial competition

Conclusions

Rüdiger Budde


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