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AIR CARGO INDIA 2010 Roberto Gilardoni, Commercial Director - Cargoitalia. SUMMARY. Freighters yesterday and today Why do we think freighters have a place in the air cargo industry’s recovery in 2010? Why do we think Cargo italia will succeed and grow? The Challenges ahead

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AIR CARGO INDIA 2010 Roberto Gilardoni, Commercial Director - Cargoitalia

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AIR CARGO INDIA 2010

Roberto Gilardoni, Commercial Director - Cargoitalia


SUMMARY

  • Freighters yesterday and today

  • Why do we think freighters have a place in the air cargo industry’s recovery in 2010?

  • Why do we think Cargoitalia will succeed and grow?

  • The Challenges ahead

  • Conclusion – Cargoitalia’s view on the future


FREIGHTERS YESTERDAY & TODAY

Ex Military Freighters

Freighters in major airlines

Specialist

Scheduled Pax Carriers

Regional

All-Cargo Airlines

Conversions and Freighters boom

1940

1960

1970

1990

2000

Today

Berlin’s Airlift

Wide body Passanger Aircrafts and first “rate war”


WHY DO WE THINK FREIGHTERS HAVE A PLACE IN THE AIR CARGO INDUSTRY’S RECOVERY IN 2010?

  • Scheduled pure freighters will continue to find demand on long, “thick” routes, where scheduled pax operations provide too little capacity

  • Cargo aircraft only shipments, large shipments etc

  • Possible under-capacity on some routes as economy recovers

  • Stricter Security on Passengers Aircrafts

  • Scarcity: less freighters in operation today than in 2007


WHY DO WE THINK Cargoitalia WILL SUCCEED AND GROW

ITALIAN MARKET OVERVIEW

  • 3rd market in Europe for import and export

  • Peculiarity of Italian commodities drives demand for air cargo

  • Still a great proportion of Italian air cargo is trucked abroad

  • The Alps provide a natural physical barrier between Italy and the rest of Europe

  • Italian dedicated Freighters fleet disappeared in 2008


Air Uplift vs. Road

Source: SEA –Italian Airport Association 2007

WHY DO WE THINK Cargoitalia WILL SUCCEED AND GROW

ITALIAN MARKET OVERVIEW


WHY DO WE THINK Cargoitalia WILL SUCCEED AND GROW

Our Strengths

  • Cargoitalia is a truly Italian airline

  • Very lean and low cost business approach

  • Quality and flexibility as drivers

  • Cargoitalia is a young and passionate team

  • Strong shareholder’s commitment to invest


CHALLANGES AHEAD OF US

  • Market Recovery……will 2010 bring any good news?

  • Rates and Yield: when will we go back to a sustainable level?

  • Demand vs. Capacity

  • Fuel costs and strong Euro


50.000

45.000

40.000

2008

- 20%

Tonnes

35.000

30.000

2009

25.000

20.000

ott-08

ott-07

lug-08

lug-09

giu-08

set-08

giu-09

set-07

nov-08

dic-08

feb-08

nov-07

dic-07

apr-08

feb-09

apr-09

gen-09

gen-08

mar-08

ago-08

mar-09

ago-09

mag-08

mag-09

Month

CHALLANGES AHEAD OF US

Italian Air Cargo Traffic

Volumes – Tonnes Export


35%

FTKT AEA

25%

FTKT IATA

ATKT IATA

15%

Variation MoM %

5%

set-08

set-09

gen-08

gen-09

lug-08

lug-09

nov-08

nov-09

mar-08

mar-09

-5%

mag-08

mag-09

-15%

-25%

CHALLANGES AHEAD OF US

World Air Cargo Traffic

Month over Month yearly variation

World Air Cargo Traffic

Source: AEA, IATA


CHALLANGES AHEAD OF US

Italian Air Cargo Traffic

Month over Month yearly variation

Source:Italian Airport Association


0,95

0,9

0,85

0,8

Euro

0,75

0,7

0,65

0,6

ott-07

ott-08

dic-07

dic-08

set-07

giu-08

lug-08

set-08

giu-09

lug-09

feb-08

feb-09

apr-08

apr-09

nov-07

nov-08

gen-08

ago-08

gen-09

ago-09

mar-08

mar-09

mag-08

mag-09

Month

CHALLANGES AHEAD OF US

Italian Air Cargo Traffic

Market Yield


CONCLUSIONS

At Cargoitalia we think:

  • The market is recovering, even though at a low pace. A very prudent approach to market expansion is a must

  • Rate will increase but margin will be the challenge: fuel efficiency is vital and tight cost management is vital.

  • The freighters in pax carriers’ fleets will progressively disappear leaving the scene to few specialised, flexible and high-quality operators


THANK YOU!


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