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Commercial Property – Shape the Debate: Have your say on engagement, value and risk

Commercial Property – Shape the Debate: Have your say on engagement, value and risk. Chair: Keith Bugden, Programme Director, BBP Paul Edwards, Head of Sustainability, Hammerson Miles Keeping, Partner and Head of Responsible Property Investment, Drivers Jonas Deloitte Stuart Bowman, CoreNet

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Commercial Property – Shape the Debate: Have your say on engagement, value and risk

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  1. Bartholomew Room

  2. Commercial Property – Shape the Debate: Have your say on engagement, value and risk • Chair: Keith Bugden, Programme Director, BBP • Paul Edwards, Head of Sustainability, Hammerson • Miles Keeping, Partner and Head of Responsible Property Investment, Drivers Jonas Deloitte • Stuart Bowman, CoreNet • Matthew Tippett, Upstream Sustainability Services, Jones Lang Lasalle Bartholomew Room

  3. Commercial Property – Shape the Debate: Have your say…..

  4. Paul EdwardsHead of Sustainability OWNER OCCUPIER ENGAGEMENT

  5. Key issues…. • Sharing information is the key to success • Owners and occupiers have the same challenges and opportunities • Best results can be achieved through partnership and collaboration

  6. Questions….. • Who is most responsible for taking the lead in engagement? Owner or Occupier? • Owner • Occupier • Do you think regulation over the past 5 years has helped in any way to improve owner / occupier relations? • Yes • No

  7. Miles Keeping CEnvMRICSFRSAPartner, Sustainability GREEN VALUE

  8. Key issues…. One main issue & two key issues • The main issue we really do need to get over: • Value premium or value discount? • Other issues: • What are the key drivers of value? • We all need to be more sophisticated in our analysis!

  9. Premium or Discount: ‘Re-phrasing’ the Evidence Rental Value divergence between energy efficient and non-energy efficient offices – The Netherlands Source: The Value of Energy Labels in the European Office Market – Nils Kok & Maarten Jennen – May 2011 9

  10. Premium or Discount: ‘Re-phrasing’ the Evidence Rental Value divergence between energy efficient and non-energy efficient offices – The Netherlands Source: The Value of Energy Labels in the European Office Market – Nils Kok & Maarten Jennen – May 2011 Correlation between Energy Efficiency and Rental Indices “Generally” Positive “Generally” Negative

  11. Drivers of value: Some scenario implications Source: IIGCC (2010)

  12. Sophisticated analysis: Understanding the threats to valueLikelihood of occupiers acting on their policies Strength of carbon reduction policy amongst different business types (based on sample of £1.5bn of tenant-occupied real estate assets) Proportion of rental income (%) Source: SIAM LLP Sector No Policy Policy With targets Source: Deloitte LLP

  13. Conclusion • Increasingly compelling evidence available supporting value shift as a result of energy efficiency/wider sustainability factors • Riskthat trend is interpreted as delivering ‘Premium’ or ‘Added’ Value… of greater concern is depreciation and obsolescence • Impact on property and portfolio performance will be property specific – and not based solely on sustainability credentials • Impact of tenant demand will be interesting & important to monitor • Strategy should focus on immediacy, likelihood and scale of impact together with ability to mitigate and harness upside.

  14. Questions….. • Do you believe there is a link between sustainability performance and value? • Yes • No • What do you think will be the biggest driver linking sustainability to value? • Obsolescence • Tenant retention • Increasing Regulation • Rental value • Building Ratings (EPCs, DECs etc)

  15. Stuart Bowman CEng MEIDirector of Breathe Energy LtdKnowledge & Learning Group Leader CoreNet UK CLIMATE CHANGE RISK

  16. Key issues…. • Tangible climate change risks • How big are these risks? • How important are these risks?

  17. Questions….. • What do you consider the biggest climate change risk? • Buildings no longer fit for purpose • Escalation of operational costs • Insurance availability • Disruptions to supply chain • None are of significance • How important, relative to other business issues, is the management of climate change risk? • High • Medium • Low • Not on our radar

  18. Bartholomew Room

  19. Commercial Property – Shape the Debate: Have your say on engagement, value and risk Matthew Tippett, Upstream Sustainability Services, Jones Lang Lasalle Bartholomew Room

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