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Met Brief, 20130904. Lenny Pfister, Nick Heath, and SEAC4RS met team. Evolution at 500mb. Evolution at the surface. T/ O,Landing for Friday, Monday. Winds are progged to be southerly to easterly, always less than 10 knots, T-storms excepted. Precipitable Water, This Afternoon.

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met brief 20130904

Met Brief, 20130904

Lenny Pfister, Nick Heath, and SEAC4RS met team

t o landing for friday monday
T/O,Landing for Friday, Monday

Winds are progged to be southerly to easterly, always less than 10 knots,

T-storms excepted.

slide18

Precipitable Water, This Afternoon

Today, easterly wave is approaching Mexican coast, have 30% chance of T-storms this PM.

In fact, have convection east of us, slowly moving in our direction right now.

slide20

Another easterly wave comes in next Tuesday. Timing is tough this far out, but these models

are usually fast. Should be OK for Monday– 20% chance.

slide24

Low clouds

Yesterday, 2:15 PM

Generally moister regions at 925 mb have more

low level cu

Low level RH yesterday

slide25

Sorry, no satellite image available for Friday, but things are

drier (or similar to yesterday) in SEUS; winds shifted to easterly

and southerly around high moving to east.

Friday, low level RH

slide29

Friday

High has shrunk,

moved slightly

east. Would have

to go to central KS

to be assured of

getting NAM air

mass at low levels

implications for monday
Implications for Monday

NOTE: These are long term forecasts (almost 6 days).

slide36

This is Sunday

night, but as

shown by 500mb

chart, NAM is

totally destroyed

by now.

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