U.S Drought Highlights Since October 2004. Douglas Le Comte NOAA/CPC 30 th Annual Climate Diagnostics and Prediction Workshop October 24-28, 2005. Outline. Drought Highlights —Southwest Alleviation, Northwest Development, and Midwest Summer Development Drought Forecasts —How are we doing?.
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U.S Drought Highlights Since October 2004
Douglas Le Comte
30th Annual Climate Diagnostics and Prediction Workshop
October 24-28, 2005
A pretty good omen that
the 2004-05 snow season
would be extraordinary!
EL NINO’S and SOUTHWESTERN DROUGHT
Although El Nino’s are generally
associated with improved drought
conditions in the U.S. Southwest,
this is by no means assured. The best
odds for improvement come with
stronger events (SST anomalies
over +1.5 deg. C).
it right in Dec!
Mean Pct Correct 59%
Mean Persistence Score 45%