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Brrr

Brrr. Statistics for ANY small area. On-line estimation at the time of request Based on indicative administrative data Any small area, not predefined Disclosure controlled Measure of uncertainty Sliced bread with jam. BCSP 2000: Data is first spread to each residential address Point.

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Brrr

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  1. Brrr

  2. Statistics for ANY small area On-line estimation at the time of request Based on indicative administrative data Any small area, not predefined Disclosure controlled Measure of uncertainty Sliced bread with jam

  3. BCSP 2000: Data is first spread to each residential address Point ONS 2008 “population estimates for LSOAs … apportions these to around 1.6m postcodes …can then be aggregated to a range of higher geographies”

  4. Estimating with Confidence

  5. Families with dependent children: by ethnic group and family type, 2001, UK

  6. Convergence?Average household sizeEngland and Wales

  7. Average household sizeand overcrowding

  8. Average household sizedivided to children and adults

  9. It is extremely difficult to define ‘coloured’ precisely at all; and it is impossible to define it precisely in a way that will work in a census. We did not (and will not) attempt it, but used the unequivocal and objective concept of birthplace instead. This leaves you with the awkward ‘white Indians’ and ‘black Englishman’ but there is no practicable way of identifying them in a census. (Chief Statistican, John Boreham, 1966)

  10. Why has government spent millions on measuring ethnic group? • Discrimination persists • Identify the nature of inequality • Set targets for remedies • Different needs persist • Recognise distinct demands • Immigration • Ethnic group as a proxy for family immigration • Widen the net of xenophobia • Community Cohesion • Ethnic differences represent problems • Identify segregation in order to reduce it

  11. Sunday Times: “Government statistics show that white and ethnic minority communities are becoming increasingly segregated” • “The CRE told us so” • Head of EHRC: “We know that White flight is accelerating, that schools are becoming more segregated than the areas they sit in” • “I really don't have the time to swap interpretations and footnotes” • Director of Policy, CRE / ICoCo: “Leicester will be minority White by 2011” • “Something I have seen widely reported” • Executive chair, ICoCo: “There is insufficient information on local population dynamics” • “I don’t need your help thank you”

  12. Ethnic inequalities in different types of neighbourhood Diverse Mixed White Unemployment, as % of economically active

  13. * * * Ethnic penalty (comparing people with same characteristics): males

  14. * * Ethnic penalty (comparing people with same characteristics): females

  15. Probability of Muslims charged with terrorism August 2004 - October 2006 From: ‘Challenging myths of race and migration’, Finney and Simpson, Policy Press 2009

  16. Does immigration displace or replace the existing population?

  17. Of movers from the 45 settlement districts,% moving to a non-settlement district

  18. Does immigration displace or replace the existing population?The example of Leicester

  19. Latest consultation form: February 2008

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