Alberta Physician W orkforce Planning 2014

1. Alberta Physician Workforce Planning 2014 Rollie Nichol MD, MBA Associate Chief Medical Officer, AHS January 8, 2014

2. Agenda • Introduction and Goal of interaction • Curiosity • What do you want to know? • Goal of workforce planning • Alberta Process • Provincial PRPC • AHS Data • Summary • Questions/dialogue

3. Goal of Provincial Workforce Planning • Predict and define Demand • Short and long term • Scenarios • Predict and define endogenous supply • Manage societal investment • Collaborate with faculties • Minimize “market asynchrony”

4. Alberta Process • Provincial PRPC (Physician Resource Planning Committee) • Episodic (past) • Sustainable (current) • Alberta Health Services • Service provider and recruiter (appointed docs) • Faculties • Curriculum, training and recruiting

5. PRPC • Provincial perspective • Multi- stakeholder • Policy level • Government funder of training programs • 2 software planning tools • Family physician (AH) • Specialist (AHS) • Alignment with Non-MD Workforce and Capital Planning

6. Practitioner Workforce Planning in Alberta Government of Alberta College of Physicians and Surgeons of Alberta Royal College of Physician and Surgeons Canada Academic& Clinical Training CMA University of Alberta & University of Calgary IMG Practice Entry Alberta Medical Association PARA Medical School Enrolment Residents Training in Alberta Community Practice Specialist Practice Remote Area Practice Alberta Trained Undergrads Training elsewhere Nursing and Allied Health Providers Alberta Health Services Rural Physician Action Plan Rural Practice Municipalities

7. AHS Data

8. 2012 Alberta Physician Demographics Source: Canadian Institute for Health Information: Supply, distribution and migration of Canadian Physicians, 2012

9. Recent Recruiting Experience

10. 3 Year Projection

11. 3 Year Projection

12. Summary • We need better forecasting methodologies • We need to be better at planning • Accounting for changes in technology, service planning, societal needs • We need to give better information to you but this is only one, albeit significant, factor in your decision process

13. Dilbert

14. LINKS http://www.albertaphysicianlink.ab.ca/physician-jobs.html http://www.doctorjobsalberta.com/ http://www.cma.ca/c3pr-specialties http://www.cair.ca/en/tips/

15. Final Slide • Review questions posed at beginning • Any other questions/ comments/ curious thoughts

16. 2012 Alberta Physician Demographics Source: Canadian Institute for Health Information: Supply, distribution and migration of Canadian Physicians, 2012

17. Specialist Forecasting Tool (Need)

18. Specialist Forecasting Tool (Supply)