The impenetrable hedge: some thoughts on propriety, equitability and consistency. Forecast verification Hedging Propriety Equitability Consistency. Ian Jolliffe. Forecast verification. Forecasts of weather and climate are made at all timescales.
Exeter, February 2008
Most definitions include 1 & 2, but not 3.
No scoring system for probability forecasts can be both proper and equitable. Given the choice, which would you prefer?
Questions? Or answers! equitability and consistency