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Criteria for Non-Proliferation in the Nuclear Power Industry Richard Wilson Harvard University

Criteria for Non-Proliferation in the Nuclear Power Industry Richard Wilson Harvard University. Risks of different events. Natural Radiation. Nuclear War. Cigarettes. Asteroid. Air Pollution. 1 Million. Arsenic. EPA Regulations. Nuclear Accident. Nuclear workers.

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Criteria for Non-Proliferation in the Nuclear Power Industry Richard Wilson Harvard University

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  1. Criteria for Non-Proliferationin the Nuclear Power IndustryRichard WilsonHarvard University

  2. Risks of different events Natural Radiation Nuclear War Cigarettes Asteroid Air Pollution 1 Million Arsenic EPA Regulations Nuclear Accident Nuclear workers

  3. (1) The ease of making a nuclear bomb from the facility being protected must be LESS THAN the ease of making a bomb in the absence of the facility(2) The nuclear power industry must be designed to increase rather than decrease, those open contacts that reduce the desire of a country or person to make bombs

  4. (1) It is better to have a neighbor who has no bombs(2) Some powerful countries that have no bombs(Canada, Germany, Japan)

  5. Nuclear industry can reduce proliferation A. Recognize the problem B. Understand the problem C. Keep eyes and ears open Ultimately, only an open society can prevent proliferation

  6. Time needed to make a bomb:

  7. USA: 4 years1941- decision 1945- test

  8. UK, USSR, France, Chinaa bit slower- approximately 5 years

  9. Pakistan: 15 yearsIraq: greater than 8 years

  10. Germany and Japan :1 year (now)

  11. Can this time be shortened with Nuclear Power?

  12. Uranium Bomb U Simple Extraction U3O8 UF6 Flouorine Chemistry Calutron Gaseous Diffusion Centrifuge Nozzler Laser Isotope Separation Bomb Design Gun Compression

  13. Plutonium Bomb As before with the Uranium Bomb Reactor Pu Separation Bomb Design (Compression) Preignition Heat

  14. How Can the Nuclear Industry Reduce the Risk of Nuclear War?

  15. General Increase Prosperity

  16. Specific Use a Network to Discourage Bombs

  17. The Risk of Nuclear War is Large Enough that a Small Relative Increase is Unacceptable

  18. By Making Material Processes Available the Nuclear Power Industry can Inevitably Increase Proliferation Risk

  19. 1950’s Illusions Nuclear Power is completely decoupled from Bomb Making It is not possible to make a Bomb with Reactor-grade Pu

  20. Reactor Grade Plutonium Sakcharov said it is not possible to make a bomb with reactor grade Plutonium in 1977 BUT Serber in 1942 and Mark in 1991 said this was possible (as have Carwin and others)

  21. Understand the Problemand Keep Your Eyes Open

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