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Doug Doty, Coordinator Montana Autism Education Project [email protected] . The Montana Autism Education Project provides:. Trainings and Workshops CEC – Melisa Geneaux FBA/BIP Training Intensive Regional Autism Training Other workshop on request.

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Doug doty coordinator montana autism education project ddoty@mt gov

Doug Doty, Coordinator

Montana Autism Education Project

[email protected]


The montana autism education project provides
The Montana Autism Education Project provides:

  • Trainings and Workshops

    • CEC – Melisa Geneaux

    • FBA/BIP Training

    • Intensive Regional Autism Training

    • Other workshop on request


The MAEP also provides consultation on individual students. Email Doug Doty at [email protected] to request.

MAEP Blog – Information on trainings, news, research, iPad/iPod/iPhone apps.

Google “Montana Autism Education Project” to find the blog.



Today’s time is about (1991-2010)

numbers, not reasons.


Though we may make (1991-2010)

some guesses.


This is Montana data only (1991-2010)

- not a review of nationwide data.


A Note About The Numbers Used In This Presentation (1991-2010)

Primary Numbers

Inclusive Numbers


Primary
Primary # (1991-2010)

When a slide is labeled, “Primary #” students are ONLY those with primary disability of autism.


Inclusive
Inclusive # (1991-2010)

The“Inclusive #” is ALL students who have autism as a disability.

(2005 – 2010 data only)


Why primary and inclusive
Why Primary and Inclusive? (1991-2010)

It’s a federal child count thing.


Rank of disabilities in child count
Rank of Disabilities in Child Count (1991-2010)

Deaf-Blindness

Developmental Delay

Multiple Disabilities

Cognitive Delay

Traumatic Brain Injury

Autism


Multiple Disabilities = Autism (1991-2010)and

Cognitive Delay

Traumatic Brain Injury

Deafness

Visually Impaired

Hearing Impaired

Emotionally Disturbed

Orthopedically Impaired

Other Health Impaired


How does this change the numbers
How does this change the numbers? (1991-2010)

1. Autism (617)

2. Multiply Disabled with Autism (122)

  • Developmentally Delayed with Autism (7)

    747 total AU students 2010


Students with autism are (1991-2010)

4% of all Montana

students with disabilities.

(747 of 16,761)

Inclusive #


1991 - Students with Autism (1991-2010)

8

2010 - Students with Autism

617

Primary #


An increase of over (1991-2010)

7,613%

in 20 years.



Prior to 1991, there (1991-2010)

was no IDEA autism

category, only Mental

Retardation.


Three different criteria for autism in montana
Three different criteria for autism in Montana (1991-2010)

1991 through 1998

1999 only

2000 until today


Criteria 1 1991 1998
Criteria 1 1991-1998 (1991-2010)

Autism was present before age three.


Criteria 1 1991 19981
Criteria 1 1991-1998 (1991-2010)

Cannot be identified as autistic if student has “autistic-like” behavior.


Criteria 1 1991 1998 primary
Criteria 1 1991- 1998 (1991-2010)Primary #


Criteria 1 1991 19982
Criteria 1 1991- 1998 (1991-2010)

From 8 students to 112

1,300% increase

Primary #


Criteria 1 1991 19983
Criteria 1 1991- 1998 (1991-2010)

Cannot know how much

of increase was students

newly identified as

autistic or students

whose label changed.


Criteria 2 1999
Criteria 2 1999 (1991-2010)

Autism was evident

before age three.


Criteria 2 19991
Criteria 2 1999 (1991-2010)

Cannot be identified as autistic if student has “autistic-like behavior such as . .. Asperger’s disorder.”


Criteria 2 19992
Criteria 2 1999 (1991-2010)

1998 = 112 students

1999 = 127 students

Primary #


Criteria 3 2000 until
Criteria 3 2000 until . . . (1991-2010)

Does not exclude

“autistic-like” or Asperger’s.


Only since 2000 criteria change that (1991-2010)

Asperger’s = Autism

in Montana


Criteria 3 2000 until1
Criteria 3 2000 until . . . (1991-2010)

No longer requires

“onset” before age 3.



What percentage increase in students with autism
What percentage increase in students with autism? (1991-2010)

1991–2010 over 7,613%

primary #


But three different criteria
BUT !! (1991-2010)Three different criteria


But criteria 1 and 2 no asperger s students for nine of 20 years
BUT! (1991-2010)Criteria 1 and 2 = No Asperger's students for nine of 20 years


But criteria 1 and 2 autism must be present before age 3
BUT !! (1991-2010)Criteria 1 and 2 = Autism must be present before age 3.


Comparing Criteria 1 and 2 (1991-2010)

data with Criteria 3 data to

talk about an autism rate

increase is like comparing

apples and dump trucks.


BUT WAIT, THERE’S MORE! (1991-2010)

Beginning in 2001 . . .


. . . the child count began (1991-2010)

to include kids aged 3-5.

who WERE NOT

previously counted as

autistic.


Prior to 2001, 3-5 year (1991-2010)

olds could ONLY be a

“Child With a Disability”

for Child Count.



Using the same criteria and age group? . . .

Primary disability only

Ages 6-21



2000 – 2010 . . .

Ages 6-21 ONLY

235% increase PRIMARY #


That is very different from . . .

a 7,613% increase.

1991-2010 primary #


What does the increase in autism look like using: . . .

  • the same criteria; and

  • the age group (3-21); and

  • inclusive numbers (ALL kids with autism, not just a primary diagnosis?)




A few other bits of data

3-5 year olds by

Cognitive Delay

Race

Gender

Where are these students?

A few other bits of data:



The number of students ages 3-5 has increased by by

67%

from 2005-2010.

Inclusive #


Will the Children’s Autism by

Waiver and the autism

insurance bill increase the

number of 3-5 year old

diagnoses?



Cognitive delay1
Cognitive Delay by

15% decrease in students with Cognitive Delay in seven years (2002 – 2008)



Native American students are 8% of the total students with autism.

12% of the total K-12 school population.

15% of the students with IDEA disabilities. inclusive #


Gender
Gender autism.


Gender1
Gender autism.

The ratio most often cited in autism research is a 4:1 male: female ratio.

Montana’s autism ratio is 6:1


Where are the autism.

students with

autism?




Across these counties, the autism.

percentage of IDEA

students with autism

varies from 2% to 6%.


Why the variance in rate
Why the variance in rate? autism.

Population Demographics?

Age of population

2% = 39 years old average

6% = 30 years average

% population aged 18-44

2% = 37% of population

6% = 50% of population


Why the variance in rate1
Why the variance in rate? autism.

Part C Agencies and

others focused on autism?

District experience in

evaluation of Asperger's?

Fidelity to criteria?


1991 to 2011
1991 to 2011 autism.

Three big changes in the Autism Criteria:

Added Asperger's

6-21 becomes 3-21

Age of entry/diagnosis lowered


Montana Autism autism.

Education Project

Doug Doty, Coordinator

[email protected]

444-0907


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