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Seasonal Outlook for Winter 2013/14 for Bulgaria

Seasonal Outlook for Winter 2013/14 for Bulgaria. Ilian Gospodinov National Institute of Meteorology and Hydrology Bulgarian Academy of Sciences SEECOF-10, 20 November 2013, Belgrade. Seasonal Outlook for Winter 2013/14 for Bulgaria. Verification Atlantic SST/NAO Overview of models

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Seasonal Outlook for Winter 2013/14 for Bulgaria

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  1. Seasonal Outlook for Winter 2013/14 for Bulgaria Ilian Gospodinov National Institute of Meteorology and Hydrology Bulgarian Academy of Sciences SEECOF-10, 20 November 2013, Belgrade

  2. Seasonal Outlook for Winter 2013/14 for Bulgaria • Verification • Atlantic SST/NAO • Overview of models • Seasonal outlook for winter 2013/14 for Bulgaria and the SEECOF region

  3. Seasonal Outlook for Winter 2013/14 for Bulgaria • Baseline period 1980-2009

  4. Seasonal Outlook for Winter 2013/14 for Bulgaria • Skill

  5. Seasonal Outlook for Winter 2013/14 for Bulgaria • Skill

  6. Winter Forecast NAO • How Bulgarian winters relate to NAO.

  7. Winter Forecast ENSO/NAO • How Bulgarian winters relate to ENSO

  8. North Atlantic SST Seasonal Outlook for Winter 2013/14

  9. North Atlantic SST Seasonal Outlook for Winter 2013/14

  10. North Atlantic SST Seasonal Outlook for Winter 2013/14

  11. North Atlantic SST Seasonal Outlook for Winter 2013/14

  12. North Atlantic SST Seasonal Outlook for Winter 2013/14

  13. Winter 2013/14 (NAO & ENSO) • NAO forecast – negative or unpredictable. • ElNino/LaNina – indifferent phase.

  14. Winter 2013/14 (NAO & ENSO)

  15. Seasonal Outlook for Winter 2013/14 • Synthesis seasonal outlook for Dec2013-Feb2014 for Bulgaria

  16. Winter 2013/14 by Months • Synthesis of monthly predictions for the winter months in Bulgaria

  17. Winter 2013/14 Synthesis

  18. Seasonal Outlook for Winter 2013/14Southeast Europe and the Region

  19. Seasonal Outlook for Winter 2013/14Southeast Europe and the Region

  20. Seasonal Outlook for Winter 2013/14Southeast Europe and the Region

  21. Seasonal Outlook for Winter 2013/14Southeast Europe and the RegionTemperature

  22. Seasonal Outlook for Winter 2013/14Southeast Europe and the RegionPrecipitation

  23. Seasonal Outlook for Winter 2013/14Southeast Europe and the Region

  24. Seasonal Outlook for Winter 2013/14Southeast Europe and the Region

  25. Seasonal Outlook for Winter 2013/14Southeast Europe and the Region

  26. Seasonal Outlook for Winter 2013/14Southeast Europe and the Region

  27. Seasonal Forecasting at the Bulgarian Weather Service Ilian Gospodinov Ilian.Gospodinov@meteo.bg National Institute of Meteorology and Hydrology Bulgarian Academy of Sciences

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