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O Papel da Universidade no Século XXI: o MIT e o Crescimento do Brasil Jerson Kelman

O Papel da Universidade no Século XXI: o MIT e o Crescimento do Brasil Jerson Kelman CEO, Light S/A 11 de Agosto de 2010 São Paulo - Brasil. OCDE Countries. 6,7. 93,3. (2007). Worldwide (2006). 12,9. 87,1. Brazil (2007). 45,9. 54,1. Renewable. 0%. 10%. 20%. 30%. 40%. 50%.

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O Papel da Universidade no Século XXI: o MIT e o Crescimento do Brasil Jerson Kelman

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  1. O Papel da Universidade no Século XXI: o MIT e o Crescimento do Brasil Jerson Kelman CEO, Light S/A 11 de Agosto de 2010 São Paulo - Brasil

  2. OCDE Countries 6,7 93,3 (2007) Worldwide (2006) 12,9 87,1 Brazil (2007) 45,9 54,1 Renewable 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% Non-renewable Brazilian energy source is renewable

  3. We have been producing electricity from solar energy for more than a century.

  4. Brazil power sector at glance (2008) • Installed capacity: • 104 GW • 74% is hydro • Peak demand: • 64 GW • (comparable to • England or Italy) • Average production: • GW X 8760 h/y = 447 TWh/y • 90% is hydro

  5. The transmission system Interconnected System 4 000 km Europe 4 000 km

  6. Spot price is lowmostofthe time...

  7. Long term power purchase agreements (PPAs)

  8. Results of recent auctions of energy(competition for the market, rather than in the market) • Sales: ~ 150 TWh/year • 37% Hydro e 63% Thermal • (natural gas, oil and coal) • Total value: ~ US$ 110 billion

  9. Congo Indonesia Peru Russia China Colombia India BRAZIL Canada Italy Sweden USA Norway Japan Germany France 100 00 20 40 60 80 Did Brazil run out of sites to build new hydro plants? Source: EPE

  10. Hydropower plants in the Amazon river basin What would be the alternatives?

  11. Per capita consumption of electricity

  12. Challenges of Energy Regulation in Rio de Janeiro Energy Theft: The Problem in Brazil Waste and Unfair Cost Allocation 22 TWh lost per year in Brazil -8% of Consumption Cost Today Savings if Eliminated US$ 3.2 Billions per year 50% of energy theft wouldn’t be consumed if invoiced US$ 1.6 Billions per year US$ 1.6 Billions per year Presently paid by honest consumers and DisCo To be paid by today’s dishonest consumers * Source: ABRADEE, 2008

  13. Challenges of Energy Regulation in Rio de Janeiro The Regulated DisCo’s Perspective Risk Areas: Where Energy Theft Control is Virtually Impossible 600 communities; 650,000 consumers (17% of total) Rio’s effort to regain territorial control • 1 policeman per 40 people • So far, 10 slums, 25,000 families (4% of total) • Before pacification, areas presented extremely high level of non technical losses, above 90% • State Territorial Control: a necessary condition for adequate public services

  14. The first pacified community: Santa Marta • Number of families 1,500 • Billed consumers 80 • Revenues US$360/month Before pacification

  15. Santa Marta: as it was... • Transformers overcharged • Precarious low voltage grid

  16. Santa Marta: new grid, new technical solutions

  17. Santa Marta: telemetric electronic gauging

  18. Santa Marta: energetic efficiency • Replacement of 7,000 incandescent bulb lamps • Replacement of 700 inefficient refrigerators • Substitution of internal wiring of 500 households

  19. Challenges of Energy Regulation in Rio de Janeiro The Regulated DisCo’s Perspective The Santa Marta Experience 1,500 families, US$ 2.2 millions in investments After Theft: 0% Delinquency: 5% Before Theft: 93% Delinquency: 76% Investments In the Network: Electronic meters + Anti-theft cables Other Investments: Replacement of inefficient equipments (refrigerators, light bulbs, …); Customer database; Streets identification

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