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Assessing the Vulnerabilities of Legitimate Business to Organised Crime Theory and Practice

Assessing the Vulnerabilities of Legitimate Business to Organised Crime Theory and Practice. Tom Vander Beken & Karen Verpoest 6th Colloquium on Cross-Border Crime “Crime and Economy and Crime Economy” Berlin, 3 September 2004. Overview. 1. B ackground 2. Methodology for licit market scans

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Assessing the Vulnerabilities of Legitimate Business to Organised Crime Theory and Practice

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  1. Assessing the Vulnerabilities ofLegitimate Business to Organised CrimeTheory and Practice Tom Vander Beken & Karen Verpoest 6th Colloquium on Cross-Border Crime “Crime and Economy and Crime Economy” Berlin, 3 September 2004

  2. Overview 1. Background 2. Methodology for licit market scans 3. An EU-case study of the transport sector

  3. 1. Background (a) • Descriptive reports on OC needed improvement (CRIMORG 55 & 19) • Development of a methodology to draft more future oriented oc-risk assessments (Reporting on Organised crime. From Description to Explanation in the Belgian Annual Reports on Organised Crime, IRCP, 2001) • Action Plan to convert the OCSR into an annual strategic report for planning purposes - acceptance of IRCP work into EU-framework (CRIMORG 133, 2002)

  4. 1. Background (b)

  5. 2. Methodology for Licit Market Scans (a) Measuring the vulnerability of legal economic sectors for organised crime, a case study of the diamond sector (IRCP and Antwerp University, 2001-2003) MAVUS (Method for and Assessment of Vulnerability of Sectors): case studies of the Transport sector and the Music Sector (IRCP, Transcrime, Max-Planck-Institute, Cardiff University, Amsterdam University, 2003-2004)

  6. 2. Methodology for Licit Market Scans (b) “Vulnerability study”: identification of crime opportunities that might be exploited by OC Focus on the task environment of criminal activity, not on the “capabilities” of “activities” of crime groups Task environment = the legal market How? Analysing the external environment

  7. Sector Analysis MESO Width Scan INDICATORS VULNERABILITY PROFILE Conclusions & Recommendations Cluster Analysis MACRO Reference Model Analysis MICRO Depth Scan INDICATORS 2. Methodology for Licit Market Scans (c)

  8. 2. Methodology for Licit Market Scans (d)

  9. 3. Case-study of the Transport Sector (a) SECTOR ANALYSIS Literature/Eurostat/Sector organisations MAIN CONCLUSIONS • important economic sector • Open market with strong competition • Non-transparent price-formation

  10. 3. Case-study of the Transport Sector (b) CLUSTER ANALYSIS Law enforcement authorities/Customs authorities/security sector representatives MAIN CONCLUSIONS • Important role of sector organisations • Low quality of regulation • Low quantity of enforcement • Sector subjected to various crime types

  11. 3. Case-study of the Transport Sector (c) ENVIRONMENTAL SCAN: PEST Literature/public and private sector bodies MAIN CONCLUSIONS • Political White Paper • Economic JIT/delocalisation/bipolarisation • Social Global Village/Image of the sector • Technological ITS & techno-preventive developments

  12. 3. Case-study of the Transport Sector (d) REFERENCE MODEL Literature/private sector MAIN CONCLUSIONS • Business process ‘Production’ =activity outside the transport company • Business process ‘Personnel Management’ =lack of personnel-screening

  13. 3. Case-study of the Transport Sector (e)

  14. 3. Case-study of the Transport Sector (f)

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