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Introduction

Co-Ownership annual report and strategic review 2005. Introduction. Dan Corr Chair, CML Northern Ireland Regional Director, Nationwide Building Society Audit Chair, Co-Ownership. Never a borrower or a lender be …. An old adage, has it stood the test of time?

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Introduction

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  1. Co-Ownership annual report and strategic review 2005 Introduction Dan Corr Chair, CML Northern Ireland Regional Director, Nationwide Building Society Audit Chair, Co-Ownership COUNCIL of MORTGAGELENDERS

  2. Never a borrower or a lender be … An old adage, has it stood the test of time? • £351 millions from lenders cumulatively for Co-Ownership mortgages • No single lender with more than 20% • Local scheme, supported by multiple local and national lenders • Lenders always represented on the Board COUNCIL of MORTGAGELENDERS

  3. Impact for NI housing market • Additional FTBs • Mainstreaming of Co-Ownership model • In NI • In UK COUNCIL of MORTGAGELENDERS

  4. Perspectives on the NI market & affordability • A mortgage lender’s • Alex Solomon, CML • A shared ownership specialist’s • Alan Crowe, Co-Ownership COUNCIL of MORTGAGELENDERS

  5. Co-Ownership annual report and strategic review 2005 A Mortgage Lender’s Perspective on the Market and Affordability Alex Solomon Senior Policy Adviser, CML and Secretary, CML Northern Ireland COUNCIL of MORTGAGELENDERS

  6. What does affordability mean? • There are two aspects to affordability: • First, the ability to service mortgage debt once you have bought a home. • Second, the ability to finance entry to home ownership – e.g. deposit, stamp duty, EA fees, mortgage application fee, legal fees and simple things like buying a bed! • Will consider each aspect of affordability for first time buyers. COUNCIL of MORTGAGELENDERS

  7. Outline • What does affordability mean? • What does the data tell us about relative affordability in Northern Ireland? • Is an affordability problem there, building or non-existent? • Some thoughts on how policy can address affordability constraints. COUNCIL of MORTGAGELENDERS

  8. House price indices around the UK COUNCIL of MORTGAGELENDERS

  9. What does affordability mean? • What do you immediately think of and what is always in the press? • House Price Indices? • Number of possessions? • Writs and originating summonses? • Fine – but only partial indication of affordability. COUNCIL of MORTGAGELENDERS

  10. First-time buyer house prices, £ COUNCIL of MORTGAGELENDERS

  11. First-time buyer incomes COUNCIL of MORTGAGELENDERS

  12. Indices of first-time buyer numbers COUNCIL of MORTGAGELENDERS

  13. First-time buyer income multiples COUNCIL of MORTGAGELENDERS

  14. So – is there an affordability crisis? • For those already in owner occupation – NO –but increases in interest rates are biting. • But what about fall in FTBs? What about affordability for those looking to enter home ownership? COUNCIL of MORTGAGELENDERS

  15. Affordability indices for Northern Ireland – FTBs COUNCIL of MORTGAGELENDERS

  16. ROOF Affordability Index • Data so far has used income of those who actually purchase • ROOF index uses income of working household – i.e. is a better measure for those seeking to enter homeownership • Also assumes a standard 15% deposit COUNCIL of MORTGAGELENDERS

  17. ROOF Mortgage Costs to Income Ratio COUNCIL of MORTGAGELENDERS

  18. Where do we go with policy? • House Sales • Recent uncertainty now removed • Changes are sensible and were supported by CML • Will need to wait and see regarding impact on numbers • Need to watch future threats – e.g. Scotland • Co-ownership • Successful scheme with full support of lenders • Single delivery channel • Pleased to see certainty of funding – Alan will detail COUNCIL of MORTGAGELENDERS

  19. ROOF Affordability index around UK COUNCIL of MORTGAGELENDERS

  20. Indices of first-time buyer numbers COUNCIL of MORTGAGELENDERS

  21. So – is there an affordability crisis? • For those already in owner occupation – NO –but increases in interest rates are biting. • For those looking to move or buy their first home – While not a crisis the fall in FTBs is concerning – as is the increase in relative affordability. COUNCIL of MORTGAGELENDERS

  22. Where do we go with policy? • Shared Equity Today – 100% grant funded • England – Homebuy • Wales – Homebuy + • Scotland – Launching HomeStake • Northern Ireland? • Shared Equity Tomorrow? – Increased Private Finance? • In England, Wales and Scotland CML is discussing lender equity loans to enhance current schemes. • Should Northern Ireland join the party? COUNCIL of MORTGAGELENDERS

  23. Contact me or use our website! • www.cml.org.uk • alex.solomon@cml.org.uk COUNCIL of MORTGAGELENDERS

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