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ROADMAP 2050. A practical guide to a prosperous, low-carbon Europe. ROADMAP 2050 PARTNERS. KEY STAKEHOLDERS WERE INVOLVED BY PROVIDING INPUT AND REVIEWING RESULTS. Core Working Group participants. Further outreach. Utilities. Plus 40 more companies, NGOs and research institutes.

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ROADMAP 2050

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ROADMAP 2050

A practical guide to a prosperous, low-carbon Europe


ROADMAP 2050 PARTNERS


KEY STAKEHOLDERS WERE INVOLVED BY PROVIDING INPUT AND REVIEWING RESULTS

Core Working Group participants

Further outreach

Utilities

Plus 40 more companies, NGOs and research institutes

Transmission System Operators

Manufacturers

Siemens

NGOs

WWF


THE DECARBONIZATION PATHWAYS ANALYSED ARE SUSTAINABLE, TECHNICALLY FEASIBLE, AND HAVE A POSITIVE IMPACT ON THE ECONOMY


AT LEAST 80% CO2 EMISSION REDUCTION

1 Based on the McKinsey Global GHG Cost Curve

2 Large efficiency improvements already included in the baseline

3 CCS applied to 50% of industry (cement, chemistry, iron and steel, petroleum and gas, not applied to other industries)

SOURCE: McKinsey Global GHG Abatement Cost Curve; IEA WEO 2009; US EPA; EEA; Roadmap 2050 Technical Analysis


ENERGY EFFICIENCY & FUEL SHIFT GIVE OVERALL DEMAND


ELECTRICITY DEMAND 2050

(EU-27 + Norway & Switzerland)


THREE SPECIFIC PATHWAYS MODELED INCLUDING BOTH GENERATION AND GRID COSTS

40% RES

30% CCS

30% nuclear

60% RES

20% CCS

20% nuclear

80% RES

10% CCS

10% nuclear

Energy production mix over the year, TWh per week


RES DIVERSITY CONTRIBUTES TO CONSISTENT SUPPLY


COMBINING REGIONAL DEMAND CURVES REDUCES VOLATILITY


INTER-REGIONAL TRANSMISSION REQUIREMENTS


Pathways

DR, %

0

0

20

0

20

0

20

CURTAILMENT IS KEPT LOW THROUGH GRID EXPANSION AND BACK-UP CAPACITY

2050, GW

Transmission & generation capacity requirements

RES curtail-ment1, %

Transmission

Back-up and balancing

Baseline

Requirements on top of the baseline

3

80% RES

10% CCS

10% nuclear

2

2

60% RES

20% CCS

20% nuclear

1

2

40% RES

30% CCS

30% nuclear

2

13


ANNUAL CAPEX DEVELOPMENT


COST OF ELECTRICITY


LONG TERM EU27 GDP


DECARBONIZING THE ECONOMY SAVES MONEY


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