Market health
Download
1 / 27

Market Health - PowerPoint PPT Presentation


  • 104 Views
  • Uploaded on

Market Health. Investor’s Business Daily New York City Meetup 8.28.13. For Those of You Who Need a Disclaimer…. We Care…But You Should Care More. SYRIA. TAPERING. DEBT CEILING. SEQUESTER. OBAMACARE. UNEMPLOYMENT. Market in Correction. NASDAQ (weekly). ?.

loader
I am the owner, or an agent authorized to act on behalf of the owner, of the copyrighted work described.
capcha
Download Presentation

PowerPoint Slideshow about ' Market Health' - inoke


An Image/Link below is provided (as is) to download presentation

Download Policy: Content on the Website is provided to you AS IS for your information and personal use and may not be sold / licensed / shared on other websites without getting consent from its author.While downloading, if for some reason you are not able to download a presentation, the publisher may have deleted the file from their server.


- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - E N D - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Presentation Transcript
Market health

Market Health

Investor’s Business Daily New York City Meetup 8.28.13


For those of you who need a disclaimer

For Those of You Who Need a Disclaimer…

We Care…But You Should Care More


Market in correction

SYRIA

TAPERING

DEBT CEILING

SEQUESTER

OBAMACARE

UNEMPLOYMENT

Market in Correction


Four year bull market

NASDAQ (weekly)

?

2012 Has Two Distinct Rallies

Bull Market Begins 3/12/09 With a 31 Week Rally.

2013 Mostly up with one pullback

Short Choppy Rallies 2010 and 2011.

Four Year Bull Market


Tracking the last rally

Rally Health

  • Follow Through Day: 7/11/13 Failed 8/15/13

  • Day 2 (7/15/13): No Professional Distribution

    • Should not have distribution in the first two days

    • Had a distribution cluster starting day three

  • Day 20 (8/8/13): Price Progress

    • Money making rallies on average show advances of 5.5% or higher by day 20.

    • At 20 days, rally gained only 2.53%

  • Day 40 (9/5/13): Get Off Margin

    • Recent rallies have lasted 8 to 10 week

    • N/A

  • Day 50 (9/19/13): No New Buys

    • Most of the good merchandise comes out -2 to +4 weeks from the start of a new rally. By the 10th week you have to ask why this stock didn’t participate until now.

    • N/A

Tracking the Last Rally


The markets

NYSE New Lows beat New Highs

NYSE stocks above 200 DMA very weak and falling

A/D for S&P weak

NYSE New Lows give early clue to leave

Rally day-looking for a Follow-Thru

Kerry speech halts uptrend

The Markets

NYSE New Lows expand


The markets1

NYSE

New Highs vs New Lows

FTD

New Lows Expand

The Markets

New Highs Dry Up


The markets2

NASDAQ

New Highs vs New Lows

FTD

The Markets


World markets

World Markets






Nasdaq

Kerry Speech

Clustered DDs

NASDAQ FTD

Rally Fails

NASDAQ Rally without a FTD

New Rally Attempt Undercut

Bernanke Speech

Sucker’s Rally

NASDAQ


S p 500

Regains 50 on low volume

50 Day support broken

S&P 500



Russell 2000 weekly

Small Caps Lead

Russell 2000 (Weekly)


Ibd 85 85 index weekly

CAN SLIM Stocks Remain Strong

IBD 85/85 Index (Weekly)


Ibd 50 weekly

RS Line Remains Strong

IBD 50 (Weekly)


Sectors year to date
Sectors (Year to Date)


Sectors since 7 11 13 ftd
Sectors (Since 7/11/13 FTD)


Industry groups

Broad and diverse set of groups in the top 40.

The bottom 40 are mostly commodity, utility and defensive stocks.

Industry Groups



Sector leaders1

Sector Leaders have expanded from 15 last month to 18 this month

Half of these are near a buy point:

STOCK BP

ACT 133.10

EVR 44.63

FLT 100.97

OCN 52.35

PRAA 53.09

PCLN 926.50

QCOR 66.92

SSNC 34.54

VRX 94.32

Sector Leaders


What to do now

If You Haven’t Already month

  • Have your plan on paper

  • Cut out losers and laggards

  • Sell any stock that doesn’t have true “Model Book” characteristics

  • Set stops on any remaining position and sell if they’re hit without hesitation

  • Raise Cash

    Set Up Your Wish List

  • Watch for pullbacks and tight areas

  • Watch for new bases

  • Watch for high RS stocks

  • Don’t forget about stocks you had to sell

  • Don’t get complacent

What to Do Now


Homework

Rigor and the Pursuit of Excellence month

Success: A Lot of Little Things Done Well

Homework



ad