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Monitoring the MDGs A catalogue of procedures and an assessment of statistical capacity

Monitoring the MDGs A catalogue of procedures and an assessment of statistical capacity Part 2: Country studies. Study objective: Assess the capability of two selected developing countries, Pakistan and Malawi, to monitor the MDG and Poverty Reduction Strategy developmental objectives

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Monitoring the MDGs A catalogue of procedures and an assessment of statistical capacity

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  1. Monitoring the MDGs A catalogue of procedures and an assessment of statistical capacity Part 2: Country studies

  2. Study objective: Assess the capability of two selected developing countries, Pakistan and Malawi, to monitor the MDG and Poverty Reduction Strategy developmental objectives Determine the level of symmetry between the MDGs (internationally determined development aims) and the PRSP objectives (relating to domestic programme of development and poverty reduction).

  3. Three areas of analysis: Comparison between national and international data on MDG indicators Comparison of MDG and PRSP indicators Assessment of capability via…: current status of education and health MIS quality/institutionalisation of existing household surveys

  4. Comparison of national and international data on MDG indicators: Shortcomings for both countries – esp. timeliness Clear discrepancies for education indicators, and for access to water between national and international data for both countries, but… Reasonable similarity between international and national data for other indicators

  5. Enrolment and population estimates in Malawi • Population 5-9 was 1.44 in 2000 (NSO) • Population 5-9 was 1.68 in 2000 (UN statistics division) • In 2000 children 6-10 enrolled in primary school were 1.78 (EMIS) • NER of children 6-11 was 101 in 2000-01 (UIS) • NER of children 6-10 was 72 in 2000 (MDHS)

  6. Comparison of indicators that monitor MDG versus those that monitor the PRSP • Malawi: • Large number of country specific indicators (agriculture) that have no correspondence with the MDG indicators • Absence of HIV/AIDS and malaria impact indicators • Similarities in child and maternal health, poverty, and some education variables • However, some poor quality indicators: Female enrolment as % of total enrolment, Literacy for individuals over 5 years Pakistan: Broad similarities in education, but differences in health indicators (I-PRSP emphasis is on health infrastructure) Differences in definition of access to safe/improved water sources In I-PRSP no malnutrition indicator, but it will be considered for the PRSP

  7. Statistical capacity to monitor PRSP and MDG Pakistan: HMIS: delays in the flow of information from districts to higher levels; poor facilities to process and analyse reports EMIS: poor quality of data (only public schools, problems in recording sex and age) New challenges in household survey administration More need for evidence to inform policy decisions Malawi: HMIS: Problems in timely reporting EMIS: Inflated data More dependent on external help in administering household surveys Need to develop a “culture” of producing and providing information as a routine

  8. Further issues • Analysis of interaction between national authorities and international agencies • Examine the level of donors’ cooperation/coordination in recent efforts of capacity building • Exploring obstacles and benefits of harmonisation between MDG and PRSP indicators • Reviewing methodologies and definitions used by most recent surveys conducted in the country (CWIQ, WHS, DHS EdData) • Closer assessment of management information systems and vertical programs

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