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Verification, Validation & Uncertainty Quantification

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Verification, Validation & Uncertainty Quantification

Verification StrategySanjivaLele, ParvizMoin, Ali Mani (Stanford)Iain Boyd (Univ. Michigan), Krishnan Mahesh (Univ. Minnesota), James Glimm (SUNY)

- Target application involves multi-way coupling between particles, turbulent flow and thermal radiation
- In addition to the low-M variable density Navier-Stokes, thermal energy and radiative transfer the simulations will use physical models and numerical models for:
- Momentum exchange between particles and flow
- Thermal exchange between particles and flow
- Inter-particle interactions
- Particle-wall interactions
- Radiation coupling

- Target application involves multi-way coupling between particles, turbulent flow and thermal radiation
- In addition to the low-M variable density Navier-Stokes, thermal energy and radiative transfer the simulations will use physical models and numerical models for:
- [Physical models]
- Numerical treatment of two-way and four-way coupling
- Point-approximation in particle-laden turbulent flow
- Integration of radiation transport and coupling

Target application involves multi-way coupling between particles, turbulent flow and thermal radiation

In addition to the low-M variable density Navier-Stokes, thermal energy and radiative transfer the simulations will use physical models and numerical models for:

[Physical models]

[Numerical models]

This is about correctness of the implementations

… more in Swetava’s poster

Extensions required to Lagrangian tracking and radiation

Analytical and semi-analytical solutions

Special limiting cases

Simplified regimes (various decoupling, fully coupled 1-D, transient, etc.)

Manufactured solutions

Variable density flow with radiation

Eulerian-Lagrangian model with particles

Space/Time Discretization - Convergence Tests

Solution Sensitivity - Correctness Tests

Partition Independence

Initial condition Independence

….

Lagrangian/Eulerian Numerical Methods introduce additional challenges

Capecelatro, Desjardin JCP 2012

Particle/Gas Energy Coupling Term

Space/Time Discretization - Convergence Tests

Solution Sensitivity - Correctness Tests

Partition Independence

Initial condition Independence

….

Initial extension to particle-laden turbulence

- Intrusive Approach - Explicit Filtering
- Introduce a numerical length scale independent of the grid size to achieve formal convergence
- Differentiable filters and
grid-independent LES developed

at Stanford

Particle clusters (PDF of particle TKE) at late time are statistically stationary

- Intrusive Approach - Explicit Filtering
- Introduce a numerical length scale independent of the grid size to achieve formal convergence

- Non-Intrusive Approach – W* (Young Measure) Convergence
- introduce coarse grained subdomain (or supercells). Supercells provide spatial localization, sufficient if the statistical flow description is slowly varying in space.

… more in Javier’s poster

… more in Vinay’s poster

Particle clusters (PDF of particle TKE) at late time are statistically stationary

- Intrusive Approach - Explicit Filtering
- Introduce a numerical length scale independent of the grid size to achieve formal convergence

- Non-Intrusive Approach – W* (Young Measure) Convergence
- introduce coarse grained subdomain (or supercells). Supercells provide spatial localization, sufficient if the statistical flow description is slowly varying in space.

- Short Term (1-2 yrs) – Develop a suite of verification test cases for single physics, two-way coupling, and all-way coupling – used by both p-code and c-code
- Analytical & Semi-analytical
- Manufactured Solutions

- Long Term (2-4yrs) – Demonstrate verification approaches on integrated problem using p-code
- Explicit Filtering
- W*

- Further Opportunities – Integrate verification strategy and code correctness/resiliency

Validation ExperimentsJohn Eaton, Chris Elkins, Andrew Banko (Stanford)FilippoColetti (Univ. Minnesota)

- Data in the literature
- Reduced coupling: no radiation
- No granularity in measurements
- Limited information on losses and boundary conditions
- Single parameter experiments

- Data in the literature
- Reduced coupling: no radiation
- No granularity in measurements
- Limited information on losses and boundary conditions
- Single parameter experiments

- Opportunity
- Build on established collaboration during PSAAP
- Leverage investments in particle-laden turbulence

PIV/LDA seed

Sealed, pressurized screw feeder

200 x 200 mm2

0.45 m

Nickel seeding

Acrylic

0.19 m

3 screens/grids

Flow conditioning

0.2 m

25:1 contraction

(5th order poly.)

Honeycomb + mesh

Development length

40 x 40 mm2

Cyclone separator

Development length

(one shown)

Aluminum

2 m

Valve

Test section(s)

Blower

Flow meter

Filter

Flow meter

Valve

Nominal Conditions

40 mm square channel

Fully developed turbulent inflow

Uniform mean particle loading

Particles smaller than all turb. scales

Uniform near-infrared illumination in two test region

Measurements

Upstream, middle, downstream

Integral and model support measurements

Parameter variations to test sensitivity

Phase 1: Integral measurements: yrs 1 -3

Phase 2: Physics/model support: yrs 2-5

- Experiment >>> Simulation
- Validation including parameter variation
- Physical understanding and model guidance

- Simulation >>> Experiment
- 1D/Homogeneous models give starting parameter sets
- Particle selection from Mie scattering model
- Simple fully coupled models show problems (e.g. turbophoresis)
- UQ calculations inform measurement fidelity requirements
- Specification of inlet particle uniformity
- Documentation of radiation uniformity
- Individual particle properties

H

H

L

Flow direction

Illumination System

- (directivity of lamps exaggerated in the picture for illustration purposes)

- 12 x 1.6 kW IR lamps
- back side gold-plated for frontward emission
- individually rotated for maximum homogeneity of radiation density

- Polished aluminum mirrors to concentrate radiation towards test section
- Small but non-negligible radiation absorbed by the mirror (≈3-5% absorptivity)

Illumination Uncertainties

- Characterization of the lamps (wavelenghtl)
- Losses through walls, absorption at mirrors, misalignment, etc.

Illumination Uncertainties

- Characterization of the lamps (wavelenghtl)
- Losses through walls, absorption at mirrors, misalignment, etc.

- Particle properties (shape, size, absorption, …)
- How to select particle?

- Constraints
- Safety: size, toxicity, flammability
- Dynamics: St, Bi, Qabs
- Ease of use
- Consistency: aerodynamic sorting
- Cost, reusability

- Status
- Nickel particles
- Small scale experiment planning to quantify absorption

- Goal: test radiation-particle interaction without significant air flow
- Solar simulator: Xenon lamps, heat flux up to 8 MW/m2
- Calorimeter + thermocouple in particle stream
- Scale to measure settling rate w/ and w/o radiation
- Parameterstovary:
- particlesize
- particle mass flux
- radiationintensity

screw feeder

quartz window

calorimeter

scale

Xenon lamps

- Safety risks: hot section and particle inhalation
- Rapid cold air dilution
- Sealed closed loop apparatus + protective breathing apparatus
- Aerodynamically remove fines prior to experiments

- Something unexpected (explosion, high reflectivity) when particles exposed to high radiation
- Preliminary open experiment
- Start channel experiments at low loading
- Homogeneous flow models

- Turbophoresis makes difficult inlet condition
- Point-particle channel flow simulation
- Roughness in development duct to enhance dispersion

- No effect of radiation on particle distribution
- Homogeneous flow simulations for particle selection
- Wide range of parameters (Re/mass loading)in single apparatus

- Integral measurements can’t discriminate between models.
- Experiments designed for low and well-understood uncertainty
- Early computational UQ on simple channel flow models
- Detailed measurements add another level of discrimination

- Non uniformity of illumination dominates
- Early UQ of fully coupled system and non-uniform illumination
- Rough uniformity documentation using transient, thin plate calorimeter
- Adjustable illumination system

… more in Andrew’s poster

- No effect of radiation on particle distribution
- Homogeneous flow simulations for particle selection
- Wide range of parameters (Re/mass loading)in single apparatus

- Integral measurements can’t discriminate between models.
- Experiments designed for low and well-understood uncertainty
- Early computational UQ on simple channel flow models
- Detailed measurements add another level of discrimination

- Non uniformity of illumination dominates
- Early UQ of fully coupled system and non-uniform illumination
- Rough uniformity documentation using transient, thin plate calorimeter
- Adjustable illumination system

- Phase 1 (1-3 yrs) – Set-up the apparatus and perform integral measurements
- Power absorption
- Mean temperatures
- Uncertainty analysis (includes no-flow tests)

- Phase 2 (2-5yrs) – Physics/model support
- Fluid mean velocities and fluctuations
- Particle concentration, velocity, spectra
- Temperature spectra
- Uncertainty analysis

- Further Steps – Detailed characterization of inflow and BCs

Uncertainty Quantification Gianluca Iaccarino, George Papanicolaou (Stanford)AlirezaDoostan (Univ. Colorado, Boulder), James Glimm (SUNY)

Lycopodium, Eaton’s Lab

- How to characterize them?
- Use a combination of data in literature data and dedicated experiments (binning, no-flow tests, etc.)
- Use initial UQ analysis to identify what is important

Sandia Report 1999

Naturally occurring (AUQ)

- Particle size/property variability
- Radiation forcing
- Losses through walls
- Inflow/Injection conditions
…

- Particle physics
- Radiation/particle coupling
- Airflow/particle interactions
…

A – Reflection

B – Refraction

C – Internal

reflection/refraction

D – Diffraction

- How to characterize them?
- Simplified unit problems
- Hierarchy of models

Introduced by physical models (EUQ)

- Particle physics
- Radiation/particle coupling
- Airflow/particle interactions
…

All formally independent random quantities

Random Fields

Particles

- Moderate mass loading: 10M
- Diameters, eccentricity
- Absorptivity, emissivity, conductivity
…

Radiation

- IR lamp wavelength
- Losses, distortion
…

- 1D-1D model (stochastic)
- Perturbation in Dp
- Solved using Collocation

DT = Tp-Tg

1D model (deterministic)

- ODEs for momentum/energy

DT = Tp-Tg

… more in Gianluca’s poster

1D-MultiD model (random field)

- Spatial (x) variability in Dp,
heat losses and radiation intensity

- Stochastic collocation & ANOVA
- 10K solutions…

Particle/Gas Energy Coupling Term

- Need to compute sensitivities and uncertainty ranking efficiently with 1000s of inputs
- Black-box vs. Clear-box approach
…

Particle/Gas Energy Coupling Term

Uncertainties in

particle size, shape, properties, etc.

Particle Transport

Gas Momentum/Energy

“local” effect

Uncertainties in

lighting uniformity, wavelength, etc.

feedback

… more in Akshay’s poster

- Need to compute sensitivities and uncertainty ranking efficiently with 1000s of inputs
- Black-box vs. Clear-box approach
…

- “Extreme” high dimensionality poses challanges
- MLMC considers a decomposition of solution on a set of nested grids with the hope that variability of solution difference on consecutive grids becomes smaller.
- Demonstrated on model problems, needs considerable extensions
- Opportunities
- Can we “telescope” on particles?
- On supercells? , i.e. multiple small
- particle-laden turbulence boxes
- Combine with fault-tolerance

… more in Alireza’s poster

- Phase 1 (1-3 yrs) – provide simulation support for estimating uncertainties, sensitivities and ranking
- Simplified 1D,2D stochastic models
- Intrusive and Semi-intrusive multi-physics decoupling
- Multi Level Monte Carlo customization

- Phase 2 (2-5yrs) – expand on numerical techniques and stochastic computation framework and focus on physical-model uncertainty
- (Coupled) MLMC and decoupling techniques for large-scale parallelism
- Epistemic uncertainty induced by physical models, following perturbation ideas introduced in PSAAP
- Probabilistic DSL

- VVUQ is a critical, foundational component of the Center
- Verification
- Experience with MMS and unit problems
- New Challenges because of the Eulerian/Lagrangian nature of the problem
- Intrusive & Non-Intrusive Approaches

- Validation
- Designed a tailored experimental campaign
- Multiple prediction targets (integral, local)
- Strong interaction between computations & experiments

- Uncertainty Quantification
- # of uncertainties is overwhelming
- Aleatory and epistemic sources
- Both intrusive and non-intrusive approaches

Ari Frankel/HadiPouransari– Presentation on p-code

SwetavaGanguli/SanjivaLele– Verification Strategy

Javier Urzay/ParvizMoin– SGS of particle-laden turbulence

VinayMahadeo/James Glimm– W* Convergence

Andrew Banko/John Eaton – Validation Experiment

Gianluca Geraci– UQ of the 1D model

Akshay Mittal – Multiphysics (de)coupling for UQ

AlirezaDoostan– MLMC

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