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First Results on the Quantitative Data Analysis in Madagascar

First Results on the Quantitative Data Analysis in Madagascar. Vakinankaratra. To Antananarivo. To Morondava West Coast. To Fianarantsoa RN 7. Fianarantsoa. To Antsirabe. To Toliara. Village Strata VAKINA. Village Strata FIANAR. Samples. Attrition Rate. A.R. Vakinankaratra.

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First Results on the Quantitative Data Analysis in Madagascar

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  1. First Results on theQuantitative Data Analysisin Madagascar

  2. Vakinankaratra To Antananarivo To Morondava West Coast To Fianarantsoa RN 7

  3. Fianarantsoa To Antsirabe To Toliara

  4. Village Strata VAKINA

  5. Village Strata FIANAR

  6. Samples

  7. Attrition Rate

  8. A.R. Vakinankaratra To Antananarivo 27/0 To Morondava 53/20 13/0 40/0 12/8 27/0 20/8 To Fianarantsoa RN 7

  9. A.R Fianarantsoa To Antsirabe 21/16 45/15 31/25 7/0 19/5 45/15 20/8 To Toliara

  10. Reason of Non-Retrieval • Temporary absent from the village (may be re-surveyed) • Temporary migration for Ag. salary worker • Temporary migration to mining area • Refuse to be interviewed (sickness, too old) • Definitive migration

  11. Survey Facts • Time consuming: 5 to 10 hours per HH • F(# of plots, # Ag. Activities) • Split interview in 2 stages • No time to visit all plots • 40% Vakinankaratra • 60% Fianarantsoa • Have to pay farmers

  12. Income Computation • AGRICULTURAL INCOME • Sales • Consumption: Food, Feed, Seed • LIVESTOCK INCOME • Sales • Consumption • Farm product (Valued at 25% village price of adult) • NONFARM INCOME (NET) • Wage (including Ag. Wage) • Transfer • Non agricultural Activities

  13. Income Computation (cont'd) • Official Minimum Wage = US$ 30 = US$ 1 per day per capita • Family of 2  Extreme-poor • Family of 4  Ultra-poor • Average household size in Madagascar: Between 4 and 6 • Average Agricultural wage for hired labor = US$1 • 50 to 70% Cash • 30 – 70% Food

  14. Poverty line US$ 0.50 Poverty line US$ 0.25 Poor in 2002 Non Poor in 2002 Poor in 2002 Non Poor in 2002 Poor in 1997 61.7% 8.5% 30.9% 6.4% Non Poor in 1997 27.7% 8.5% 27.7% 35.1% Transition Matrix Vakinankaratra

  15. Poverty line US$ 0.50 Poverty line US$ 0.25 Poor in 2002 Non Poor in 2002 Poor in 2002 Non Poor in 2002 Poor in 1997 91.4% 5.2% 48.3% 5.2% Non Poor in 1997 3.4% 0.0% 34.5% 12.1% Transition Matrix Fianarantsoa

  16. Vakinankaratra 1997 – 2002Per capita INCOME

  17. Fianarantsoa 1997 – 2002Per capita INCOME

  18. Stat : Demographic Char. V

  19. Stat : Demographic Char. F

  20. Stat : Food Security V

  21. Stat : Food Security F

  22. Stat : Agricultural Land V

  23. Stat : Agricultural Land F

  24. Stat : Income Composition V

  25. Stat : Income Composition F

  26. Recommendation for Qualitative work Village with PNP - 1, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7 for Vakinankaratra - 22, 23 for Fianarantsoa Village with NPP - 1, 2, 3, 4, 5 for Vakinankaratra - 19, 21 for Fianarantsoa Village with NPNP - 2, 3, 4, 5, 6 - None at US$ 0.50

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