SpaeSoft Managerial risk assessment services. Software. SpaeSoft delivers high precision software for strategic firm planning and risk assessment, investment analysis, forecasting, classification and optimization problems in corporate expert systems, decision support systems,
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SpaeSoftManagerial risk assessment services
SpaeSoft delivers high precision software for
-> Possibilities to significant cost reductions through, e.g.
improved production scheduling, management of logistics and explicit recognition of risk in investment decisions.
xt = the key decisions of the firm in period (year) t (sales,
production, R & D, investments, financing, etc),
pt = all relevant parameters controlling the operating environment
of the firm (prices, costs, interest rates, exhange rates, chocks,
economic regulation, legislation, etc),
F = the vector function generating all financial statements and financial ratios according to strict accounting logic,
H = planning horizon
The anatomy of the scenario
P/Lt=profit and loss statement for year t
CFt=cash flow statement
M random drawings of the uncertain pt from the underlying distributions and the resulting scenarios:
Multiperiod firm planning cont.
A suitable financial criterion, for example, a critical minimum level on the return on investment – ROIc (or EBIT, Cash Flows, discounted Net Profit, etc) - may be used as a criterion for accepting/rejecting the strategy:
The risk profile of all key financial items
xt(i) = the number of units of investment object i acquired at time point t.