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Southeast Michigan Council of Governments. 2040 Regional Transportation Plan. Pavement Investment Comparison. Transportation Policies. Focus on Creating Success outcomes Improve condition of roads Emphasize asset management Reduce costs. Pavement Condition is Deteriorating.
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2040 Regional Transportation Plan Pavement Investment Comparison
Transportation Policies Focus on Creating Success outcomes • Improve condition of roads • Emphasize asset management • Reduce costs
Pavement Condition is Deteriorating Pavement Conditions
Targets Compel Strategic Decisions • What’s the fiscally optimal way to care for pavement? • What are the consequences of various targets?
Today’s purposes: • Share parts of the answers • Highlight implications
Different Ways to Maintain Pavement Capital Preventive Maintenance (CPM) Rehabilitation Reconstruction
Starting Point: 70% of Roads are Currently in Good or Fair ConditionAmount allocated to pavement management: $400 million per year Scenario A
It’s not just what we spend, It’s how we spend it If 70% of Roads are currently in Good or Fair Condition
It’s not just what we spend, It’s how we spend it Spend 10% on Prevention Spend 50% on Prevention Current condition sustained Condition declines From 70% to 40% good/fair 70% good/fair 30% poor 60% poor
It’s not just what we spend, It’s how we spend it Same $400 million - much different result
Starting Point: 50% of Roads are Currently in Good or Fair Condition Amount allocated to pavement management: $400 million per year Scenario B
Efficient allocation of $ depends on where you’re starting from If 50% of Roads are Currently in Good or Fair Condition
Efficient allocation of $ depends on where you’re starting from Spend 10% on Prevention Spend 50% on Prevention Condition improves Condition declines From 50% to 40% good/fair From 50% to 65% good/fair 35% poor 60% poor
It’s not just what we spend, It’s how we spend it • Current condition varies by county • One size does not fit all
Recap: What is the fiscally optimal way to care for pavement? • It’s not just how much • It’s how • How depends on your starting point
Suppose Our Target is70% Good/Fair - 30% Poor Annual Cost (in millions) Optimal Strategy
Suppose Our Target is90% Good/Fair - 10% Poor Annual Cost (in millions) Optimal Strategy
But there’s more to transportation than managing pavementWhat about the big picture?
Achieving our shared outcomes requires actions beyond cost optimization Incremental Cost of Improving Pavement Condition in Southeast Michigan by 2020 Annual Cost in millions
Big picture implications of improving pavement condition Transportation Spending Allocation Depending on Target for Pavement Condition by 2020 Maintain 70% Good/Fair 30% Poor Improve to 90% Good/Fair 10% Poor Safety, Bridges, Transit, Congestion, etc. Safety, Bridges, Transit, Congestion, etc. Pavement Pavement
And, there’s more to the big picture than transportation Energy Water Police/ Fire Transit Roads Schools
How the public sees the big picture Food Utilities Housing Fun Education Gas Daycare Transportation Entertainment Retirement
Next Steps • Double check the numbers • Share and discuss with operating agencies • Executive Committee members discuss in their communities • Run “starting point” for each county • Develop actions for plan