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Historic & Future Air Cargo Markets of Southwest Asia, India & the World

Historic & Future Air Cargo Markets of Southwest Asia, India & the World. Tom Crabtree Boeing Commercial Airplanes 17 November 2006. 2005 Air Freight Growth by Major Market. World 2.0% North America -2.4% Europe – North America 1.4% Asia – North America 1.3%

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Historic & Future Air Cargo Markets of Southwest Asia, India & the World

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  1. Historic & Future Air Cargo Markets of Southwest Asia, India & the World Tom Crabtree Boeing Commercial Airplanes17 November 2006

  2. 2005 Air Freight Growth by Major Market World 2.0% North America -2.4% Europe – North America 1.4% Asia – North America 1.3% North America - Latin America -2.6% Europe – Asia 9.0% Intra-Asia 6.3% Domestic China 12.2%

  3. Growth in Major Air Cargo Markets Was Curbed Primarily Owing to High Jet Fuel Prices Monthly percentage of change over prior year Average spot jet fuel price, cents per gallon

  4. World Air Cargo Grew 3.7% for Jan – Aug 2006 Relative to Traffic Levels for Jan - Aug 2005 Annualized Air Cargo Growth by Regional Market -3.5% 3.3% 6.9% 3.8% 3.5% -1.7% 3.4% 4.7% 1.1% World Year-Over Comparison Jan.- Aug. 2006 vs. Jan.- Aug. 2005: 3.7% Sources: U.S. Department of Commerce, AAPA, AEA, ATA and the Boeing World Cargo Forecast.

  5. Europe is Southwest Asia's Primary Air Trade PartnerEstimate for 2005 1.4 million tonnes

  6. Scheduled International Indian Air Cargo Traffic Expanded 7.7% per Year From 2000 to 2005 Metric tons (tonnes) enplaned, thousands Financial Year Source: Statistical Division of the Director General of Civil Aviation, India

  7. Europe, Far East Asia and the Middle East Comprise the Three Largest Scheduled Cargo Traffic Flows Metric tons (tonnes) enplaned, thousands & historic five-year growth rate, percentage Europe to India: 105.5 / 4.1% India to Europe : 156.2 / 3.5% India to Far East Asia: 91.9 / 9.7% Far East Asia to India: 111.6 / 16.7% Middle East to India: 46.2 / 13% India to the Middle East: 156.4 / 6.8% Note: Non-Scheduled (charter) and sea-air traffic NOT included. Source: Statistical Division of the Director General of Civil Aviation, India, Financial Year 2004-2005 data

  8. Tonnes, thousands Forecast History Average annual growth, 2005 to 2025 High 10.0% Base 9.1% Low 8.1% High Base Low 12.5% growth per year Domestic Indian Air Cargo Traffic Will Rapidly Expand at 9.1% per Year, Albeit from a Small Base The size of the Indian domestic air freight market in 2005 was estimated to be 265,000 tonnes. Leading air domestic air freight airports in terms of tonnage were: Mumbai: 140,800 Delhi: 109,600 Banglore: 53,600 Kolkata: 41,100 Chennai: 37,900

  9. High Base Low World Air Cargo Traffic Will Triple Over the Next 20 Years RTKs, billions History Forecast Average annual growth, 2005 to 2025 High 6.9% Base 6.1% Low 5.3% 5.1% growth per year

  10. Asia’s Cargo Markets Will Continue to Lead Industry Growth… World Average, 6.1% Growth, percentage

  11. … and Increase Their Share of World Cargo Share of world total market, RTKs percentage Europe-Asia Europe - North America Latin America-Europe Europe - Africa Intra-Europe Domestic China

  12. Widebody Freighter Fleet Growth Has Accelerated Number of freighter airplanes

  13. Freighter Fleet Is Grouped Into Size Categories Standard-body (< 45 tonnes) Medium widebody (40 - 75 tonnes) Large (> 75 tonnes) 767* DC-10-10 A300* A330 A310* A350 L-1011 787 DC-10-30/40 MD-11 A340 777 747* A380 BAe-146 707-320C DC-9* DC-8* 737* 757-200 727* MD-80/-90 A320* * Represents a series

  14. Widebody Freighters Dominate the Future Fleet Standard-body (<45 tonnes) Medium Widebody (40-75 tonnes) Large (>75 tonnes) 2025 2005 1,789 freighters 3,563 freighters

  15. The Percentage of New to Converted Freighters Added to the Fleet Varies by Size Category Standard-body (<45 tonnes) Medium widebody (40-75 tonnes) Large (>75 tonnes) 522 new Large 1,002 total 480 converted 244 new 1,140 converted Standard-body 1,140 total 597 converted Medium Widebody 841 Total Total 2983 Units (2,217 Converted, 766 New)

  16. While North America Predominates in Total Freighter Deliveries, Asia Will Receive the Most Large Freighters Number of airplanes * Includes Southwest Asia

  17. Boeing Freighters: Superior Solutions for Every Airline Business Model

  18. While growth has been hesitant in 2005 and 2006, world air cargo traffic levels will triple over the next two decades. Markets connected to Southwest Asia will expand at roughly 6% to 6.5% per year; domestic India will expand 9.1% per year through 2025. The world freighter fleet will nearly double to 3563 aircraft by 2025, led primarily by widebodies. Historic & Future Air Cargo Markets of Southwest Asia, India & the World Summary

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