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Moving to a Sustainable Energy World

Explore the context, issues, and best options for a sustainable energy future. Discover how you can make a difference as an energy engineer.

herbertgardner
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Moving to a Sustainable Energy World

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  1. Energy FutureHow Do We Move To A Sustainable Energy World? B. K. Richard bk@bishoppeakgroup.net for: EE 563, Winter Quarter 2004 California Polytechnic State University

  2. Is there an energy issue*? A crisis? In the context of sustainability … Around the room … What is your favorite concern or what is your favorite solution? - Short answer - Avoid duplication

  3. Outline What is the context for our energy future? What are the issues? What options are best? What can an EE do about it?

  4. Disclaimer • The speaker has no formal training in energy policy or on the specific technologies involved • At best, this is a simple, partial thread through a mass of complex data, ideas, and opinions • The briefing is a “systems engineering view”: • Try to understand the highest leverage items or trends • Attack the hard stuff and come up with a “good enough” answer • The goal is to put some data on the table to support both the discussion of the “State of the Planet” series (Science) and Energy Revolution • 50-100 years into the future is a long time or … “It’s hard to make predictions, especially about the future” (Yogi Berra).

  5. Reminder • It’s easy to see the downside, the looming problem • It’s harder to see the innovation and breakthrough • When there is a need, we are incredibly resourceful in producing solutions • “They will solve this problem” They is … You!

  6. Measures • This briefing will attempt to put energy units into Quads to match up with the approach in Energy Revolution, Geller. • A Quad is 1015 BTU • 1 Million Barrels/Day for a Year Of Oil Is 2.12 Quads • A barrel is 42 gallons • 1 TW.h = 3.6*1015 Joules • See http://www.neb-one.gc.ca/stats/moreconversions_e.pdf for all kinds of conversions and energy contents. • For two key points of reference: • The U.S. used 97.3 Quads of oil in 2001 (approximately 70 percent of it came from outside the U.S). (Approx. 3.3 TW) • It is anticipated that the U.S. will use approximately 139 Quads in 2025 (this is the Energy Information Administration (DOE) “reference” estimate)

  7. Measures • This briefing will attempt to put energy units into Quads to match up with the approach in Energy Revolution, Geller. • A Quad is 1015 BTU • 1 Million Barrels/Day for a Year Of Oil Is 2.12 Quads • A barrel is 42 gallons • 1 TW.h = 3.6*1015 Joules • See http://www.neb-one.gc.ca/stats/moreconversions_e.pdf for all kinds of conversions and energy contents. • For two key points of reference: • The U.S. used 97.3 Quads of oil in 2001 (approximately 70 percent of it came from outside the U.S). (Approx. 3.3 TW) • It is anticipated that the U.S. will use approximately 139 Quads in 2025 (this is the Energy Information Administration (DOE) “reference” estimate) Key Numbers To Remember

  8. Major References • Nathan Lewis, National Academy of Sciences papers. • Energy Information Administration, DoE. www.eia.doe.gov • IPCC* Synthesis Report, 2001, Morrocco. • Wim Turkenberg, Utrecht University, Netherlands. (Talk 2002). • UCEI (www.ucei.berkeley.edu) • Rist, Curtis, “Why we’ll never run out of oil”, Discover, June 1999 *Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change

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