Workshop outbrief
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Workshop Outbrief. Ricardo Valerdi Tuesday November 8, 2006 Herndon, VA. 21 st Annual Forum on COCOMO and Software Cost Modeling. Agenda. 8:00 AM Introductions The COSYSMO elevator speech Summary of last workshop in July 06 (Rieff) Recent work Lessons learned paper 10:30

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Workshop Outbrief

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Workshop outbrief

Workshop Outbrief

Ricardo Valerdi

Tuesday November 8, 2006

Herndon, VA

21st Annual Forum on COCOMO and Software Cost Modeling


Agenda

Agenda

8:00 AM

  • Introductions

  • The COSYSMO elevator speech

  • Summary of last workshop in July 06 (Rieff)

  • Recent work

  • Lessons learned paper

    10:30

  • Survey on intuitive judgments

  • Expert COSYSMO Delphi

    11:45

  • Lunch


Attendees 52

Attendees (52)

Zyg Martynowicz (Northrop Grumman)

Ashley Mathis (DoD/Army)

Kevin McKeel (PRICE Systems)

Chris Miller (SSCI)

Ken Nidiffer (SSCI)

Elizabeth O’Donnell (Boeing)

Rosie Oxford (Northrop Grumman)

David Paulson (MITRE)

Tom Parr (Tecolote Research)

Anthony Peterson (Raytheon)

Thomas Pole (Lockheed Martin)

John Rieff (Raytheon)

Wilson Rosa (US Air Force)

Lori Saleski (BAE Systems)

Helen Stowe (BAE Systems)

Dan Strickland (Dyenetics)

Gary Thomas (Raytheon)

Abbey Turnau (Northrop Grumman)

Taki Turner (Boeing)

Lori Vaughan (Northrop Grumman)

Gail Wakabayashi (BAE Systems)

Gan Wang (BAE Systems)

Paul Wojtaszek (Raytheon)

Steven Wong (Northrop Grumman)

Vivian Xia (HSBC Canada)

Da Yang (USC)

Aaron Ankrum (BAE Systems)

Rick Battle (General Dynamics)

William Black (Northrop Grumman)

Barry Boehm (USC)

Linda Brooks (Northrop Grumman)

Jim Cain (BAE Systems)

Debbie Charbonneau (Lockheed Martin)

Henry Chen (Raytheon)

Savita Choudhry (PRICE Systems)

Alan Chrostowski (Northrop Grumman)

Brad Clark (Software Metrics Inc.)

Emilio Collar (Western Connecticut State Univ.)

Bob Collet (SAIC)

Allison Converse (Northrop Grumman)

Carole Doan (BAE Systems)

Rich Fink (NASA)

John Gaffney (Lockheed Martin)

Stacy Gore (Raytheon)

Tony Huynh (BAE Systems)

Jon Ilseng (Raytheon)

Leonard Jowers (U. of Alabama)

Ben Kroeter (Boeing)

Jo Ann Lane (USC)

Martha Leonette (FAA)

Dan Ligett (SoftStar Systems)

Vicki Love (Raytheon)


Survey on intuitive judgments part i

Survey on Intuitive Judgments (Part I)

COSYSMO working group (n=52)

Psychology students (n=200)*

Source: Tenenbaum, J., “Rational Statistical Models of Intuitive Judgments,” MIT Caomputer Science & Artificial Intelligence Lab, Oct 2006.


Workshop outbrief

Survey on Intuitive Judgments (Part II)

SE Effort given Conceptualize took 300 PM

SE Effort given Conceptualize & Develop

took 300 PM

SE Effort given Conceptualize, Develop, OT&E

took 300 PM


Workshop outbrief

Cone of Uncertainty

SE Effort given Conceptualize took 300 PM

SE Effort given Conceptualize & Develop

took 300 PM

SE Effort given Conceptualize, Develop, OT&E

took 300 PM


Workshop outbrief

Survey on Intuitive Judgments (Part III)

COSYSMO = 100 PM

Historical data = 110 PM

COSYSMO = 1,000 PM

Historical data = 1,100 PM


Cosysmo risk analysis n 19

COSYSMO Risk Analysis (n=19)


Next steps

Next Steps

  • Need to tie in the A-Spec/B-Spec/C-Spec discussion

  • Add a case study on collecting requirements at different levels

  • How to use COSYSMO for gov’t audits

  • Identify possible traps (double dipping)

    • (REQ complex = HIGH) AND (RQMT understanding = low)

  • Consider multiple viewpoints for requirements understanding

  • Identify link with COCOMO/SEER SEM/True S

  • Consider link to acquisition models

Next meeting: February 12 workshop at USC (CSSE ARR)


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