Overview of Current Occupational Trends and Immigrant Landings in Ontario’s Economic Region (2008-2010)

1. 2011-2012 Invitation for Proposals Bridge Training Projects for Internationally Trained Individuals Overview of Current Occupational Trends and Immigrant Landings in Ontario’s Economic Region(2008-2010) June 2011

2. Contents • Introduction 3 • Ontario Highlights 4-7 • Employment by Industrial Sector 8 • Regional Profiles: • Hamilton-Niagara 9 • Kingston – Pembroke 10 • Kitchener-Waterloo-Barrie 11 • London- Middlesex 12 • Ottawa 13 • Toronto CMA 14 • Windsor – Sarnia 15 • Sector Profiles 16-17

3. Introduction • This package has been developed to assist applicants to the 2011-2012 Invitation for Proposals (IFP) in accessing labour market information and employment trends for use in developing proposals to the IFP. We urge applicants to use this data only as background information and to probe for more up-to-date and local information in their community. • Although this document includes a wealth of resources, is difficult to accurately predict which occupations will be in demand in the future, and how many jobs will be created in these occupations. • Economic conditions, technological developments, demographics and consumer behaviour will continue to affect the labour market, the occupational composition, and the kinds of job opportunities that will be available. Labour market data is therefore constantly subject to change. • This document provides data and analysis from a number of sources, including Statistics Canada data sets, CIC immigration landings data, labour force survey (LFS), Canadian Occupational Projection System (COPS), regional chamber of commerce, Ontario job futures and other regional /sectoral economic reports with a view to generate awareness of current trends. • Note: Most occupation data on the Labour Force Survey were based on provincial data from the 2006 census. Projections used by some sources may be subject to changing variables and future adjustment. Occupation data sets were based on provincial analysis and census metropolitan areas in Ontario.

4. Ontario Highlights / Context • In 2008-2010, 335,853 immigrants landed in Ontario, of which 76.5%(256,962) landed in the Greater Toronto Area, also known as Toronto CMA – Census Metropolitan Area. 144,439 immigrants to Ontario have some sort of post secondary education, of which 76.8% or 110,872 were in Toronto CMA .[1] • Since 2003, Ontario has helped about 40,000 newcomers in more than 100 different professions get licensed and find jobs in their field through bridge training programs.[2] • “We know that bridge training programs work. We are renewing and expanding our commitment to bridge training so that more of Ontario's newcomers can put their skills and experience to work, and help make Ontario more competitive in today's global economy - Dr. Eric Hoskins – in June 2010 (Minister of Citizenship and Immigration)."[3] • Please note that the occupations of landed immigrants is self-declared and there is no formal method of verification by Ontario Regulatory Colleges. • Also note that the number of immigrant landings in an occupation does not necessarily correlate to labour market opportunities. • Please note that immigrant landings data profiles for some economic regions in Ontario like Muskoka-Kawarthas, Northeast, Northwest, and Stratford - Bruce Peninsula could not be disclosed for privacy reasons (figures below ten). Source: [1] CIC Landings Data [2] MCI website: http://www.news.ontario.ca/mci/en/2010/06/helping-skilled-newcomers-find-jobs.html [3] MCI website: http://www.news.ontario.ca/mci/en/2010/06/helping-skilled-newcomers-find-jobs.html

5. Ontario Highlights

6. Ontario Highlights • Since the recessionary low in May 2009, employment in Ontario has risen by 233,400 (3.6%), recovering 91% of the jobs lost during the economic downturn[1]. • Ontario’s unemployment rate is now 8.1% below the peak rate of 9.4% reached in May 2009, but is still much higher than the 6.5% rate reported before the start of the economic downturn[2]. • Five of the ten major occupational groups in Ontario recorded employment growth over the first two months of 2011. The largest job gains occurred in Business, Finance and Administrative Occupations (+90,300) and among Trades, Transport and Equipment Operators (+64,400). • Over the same period, five occupational groups experienced employment declines, with the largest drop occurring in Art, Culture, Recreation and Sport Occupations (- 24,000). Source: [1] Labour Market Information & Research March 2011 Research and Planning Branch, MTCU [2] Statistics Canada, Labour Force Survey (seasonally adjusted data) * Labour Market Research and Planning Branch, MTCU

7. Ontario Census Metropolitan Areas (CMAs) - High Unemployment Rate Windsor and St. Catharines 9.60% Brantford and Peterborough 9.20% Oshawa 8.90% London 8.40% Toronto 8.30% Ontario Census Metropolitan Areas Low Unemployment Rate (CMAs) – Kingston 6.30% Thunder Bay 6.50% Kitchener 6.60% Ontario Highlights • According to Labour Market Research report (MTCU), in February 2011, Ontario Census Metropolitan Areas (CMAs) continued to experience some of the highest unemployment rates in Canada (Windsor and St.Catharines at 9.6%, Brantford and Peterborough at 9.2%, Oshawa at 8.9% and London at 8.4%). At 6.3%, Kingston had the lowest unemployment rate among Ontario’s CMAs, followed by Thunder Bay at 6.5% and Kitchener at 6.6%. • However, there are some good news; Between 2011 and 2016, Canadian employers will need to hire approximately 106,000 Information and Communications Technology (ICT) workers. Ontario accounts for approximately 47% of all workers in ICT Occupations.[1] Source: [1] ICTC Council on Ontario outlook 2011-2016 for Information & Communication Technology Professionals; website: http://www.ictc-ctic.ca/Outlook_2011/on_en.html

8. Employment by Industries Sector * Data referenced from Labour Market Research and Planning Branch, MTCU

9. Hamilton – Niagara • Hamilton-Niagara economic region includes the census division:Hamilton, Niagara Region, Haldimand-Norfolk Region, Brant County and the city of Burlington. • In the Hamilton-Niagara Peninsula economic region, Labour Market Monitor reported that employment increased 10,400 from February 2010 to February 2011. Job gains took place in both full-time (+4,200) and part-time (+6,200) employment.* Please note that the occupations of landed immigrants is self-declared and there is no formal method of verification by Ontario Regulatory Colleges. Also note that the number of immigrant landings in an occupation does not necessarily correlate to labour market opportunities. * The Labour Market Monitor (March 2011) is a monthly report focusing on labour market information produced by Ontario Region, Service Canada Labour Market and Socio-Economic Information Directorate. lmi-imt@servicecanada.gc.ca.

10. Kingston – Pembroke • Kingston – Pembroke economic region includes census division of Prince Edward, the counties of Hastings, Renfrew, Lennox and Addington, and Frontenac. • Labour Market Monitor reported that total employment increased by 10,200 from February 2010 to February 2011. Gains in full-time employment (+14,200) were partially offset by losses in part-time employment (-4,000).* * The Labour Market Monitor (March 2011) is a monthly report focusing on labour market information produced by Ontario Region, Service Canada Labour Market and Socio-Economic Information Directorate. lmi-imt@servicecanada.gc.ca.

11. Kitchener-Waterloo-Barrie • Kitchener-Waterloo-Barrieeconomic region includes Waterloo Regional Municipality and Counties of Dufferin, Simcoe and Wellington. • From February 2010 to February 2011, the working-age population and labour force of the Kitchener-Waterloo-Barrie economic region increased. Gains in full-time employment of 34,500 were partially offset by losses in part-time employment of 10,700 jobs.* * The Labour Market Monitor (March 2011) is a monthly report focusing on labour market information produced by Ontario Region, Service Canada Labour Market and Socio-Economic Information Directorate. lmi-imt@servicecanada.gc.ca.

12. London - Middlesex • London- Middlesex economic region consisted of the following Oxford, Elgin and Middlesex counties • Labour Market Monitor reported that employment in the London economic region fell slightly (-1,300) between February 2010 to February 2011. Even though the working-age population increased, there were fewer people looking for work and the labour force decreased by 3,600.* * The Labour Market Monitor (March 2011) is a monthly report focusing on labour market information produced by Ontario Region, Service Canada Labour Market and Socio-Economic Information Directorate. lmi-imt@servicecanada.gc.ca.

13. Ottawa • Ottawa economic regionincludes the Ottawa Census Metropolitan area (Ontario part) and the following counties: the United Counties of Stormont, Dundas & Glengarry; Prescott & Russell; Leeds & Grenville, and the county of Lanark. Cornwall, Brockville, Prescott, Hawkesbury and Smiths Falls are within the region. • Labour Market Monitor reported that in the Ottawa economic region, total employment declined by 5,200 from February 2010 to February 2011. Losses were in both full-time (-4,500) and part-time (-900) employment. The number of unemployed people rose by 800 to reach 47,500 in February 2011.* * The Labour Market Monitor (March 2011) is a monthly report focusing on labour market information produced by Ontario Region, Service Canada Labour Market and Socio-Economic Information Directorate. lmi-imt@servicecanada.gc.ca.

14. Toronto Census Metropolitan Area (CMA) • Toronto economic region consisted of the following census division:the City of Toronto, and the regional municipalities of Durham, York, Halton, and Peel. • Majority of the landed immigrants to this region in the last 3 years (2008-10) were of the working age-group 25-64 years totalling 56,164. • Labour Market Monitor reported that employment increased by 109,600 with gains coming from both full-time (+44,200) and part-time (+65,400) employment. The employment rate rose to 62.3%, 1.1 percentage points higher than February 2010.*

15. Windsor – Sarnia • Windsor – Sarnia economic regionincludes the census division of Chatham-Kent, and the counties of Essex and Lambton • Labour Market Monitor reported that from February 2010 to February 2011, the size of the labour force in the Windsor-Sarnia economic region remained unchanged. Employment increased by 5,100 all in full-time positions. • Windsor-Sarnia has the second highest unemployment rate among all eleven economic regions in Ontario.* * The Labour Market Monitor (March 2011) is a monthly report focusing on labour market information produced by Ontario Region, Service Canada Labour Market and Socio-Economic Information Directorate. lmi-imt@servicecanada.gc.ca.

16. Sector Profiles • Human Resources and Skills Development Canada (HRSDC) has identified a number of new and emerging industry sectors in the economy including: • Aerospace • Biotechnology in agriculture, forestry, fishing and pharmaceuticals • Distance-learning • Environment • Green energy technologies • Health informatics • Multimedia, particularly for mobile communications.[1] • The Ontario Trillium Foundation has observed that the green economic sector is “expected to experience serious labour shortages in years to come”[2]. • ECO - CANADA[3] identified the following opportunities in the green economy sector: • Renewable Energy & Energy Efficiency • Buildings, Retro-fitting & Construction • Waste Recycling & Waste Management • Transportation and Alternative Transportation technology • Fresh Water / Wastewater Treatment • Biomaterials • Environmental Protection • Pollution Control • Other supporting services [1] Ontario Job Futures; http://www.tcu.gov.on.ca/eng/ojf/upComingJobs.html [2] Ontario Trillium Foundation. “Green Economy” 2008, page 1. [3] Defining the Green Economy: Labour Market Research Study 2010; published by ECO CANADA page 17.

17. Sector Profiles • Construction sector output advanced 2.1% in the fourth quarter of 2010, the sixth consecutive quarterly gain. Residential construction rose 0.8%, while non-residential and engineering construction increased by 3.0%. For 2010 as a whole, real residential construction investment jumped a robust 10.4%, after declining in 2009 (-8.1%) and 2008 (-3.1%).[1] • Mining output jumped a solid 9.5%, boosted by increased production of copper, nickel, lead and zinc ore. Utilities output rose 0.8%, decelerating from a 4.8% increase in the third quarter.[2] • The financial sector, including insurance and real estate and leasing (+1.4%), information and cultural (+2.9%), construction (+2.1%) and wholesale trade (+1.5%) sectors all posted significant advances.[3] • The auto assembly and parts production surged 30.0%, the first annual increase since 2005 and follows sharp declines in both 2008 (-24.5%) and 2009 (-28.3%).  The primary and fabricated metal products (+6.6%) and machinery (+13.5%) industries also posted strong annual gains in 2010.  The paper products and printing industries declined 5.0% in 2010, the fifth consecutive annual decline.[4] • The manufacturing sector will continue to limit provincial employment growth. The recession compelled many manufacturers to become more efficient, allowing them to be more profitable with fewer employees.[5] • The information and Communication sector (ICT) continue to be a viable occupational sector. Between 2011 and 2016, Canadian employers will need to hire approximately 106,000 ICT workers. Ontario accounts for approximately 47% of all workers in ICT Occupations.[6] [1]Fourth Quarter (October-December) 2010 Summary: Released byOntario Ministry of Finance in April 2011; http://www.fin.gov.on.ca/en/economy/ecaccts/ [2] Ibid [3] Ibid [4] Ibid [5] Conference Board of Canada, “Provincial Outlook”, Summer 2010. [6] ICTC Council on Ontario outlook 2011-2016 for Information & Communication Technology Professionals; website; http://www.ictc-ctic.ca/Outlook_2011/on_en.html